Dear valued members, | |||||
You should be realistic about your goals. | |||||
"In this business if you're good, you're right six times out of ten. You're never going to be right nine times out of ten." | |||||
Peter Lynch | |||||
Disclaimer: Please be informed that the following mentioned stocks / symbols are solely for the purpose of education | |||||
only, It is neither a trading advice nor an invitation to trade. For trading advice, please speak to your dealer | |||||
representative or remisier or financial adviser. Please buy at your own risk. Final decision is yours | |||||
Inari-WA | |||||
My trading plan | |||||
I like the technical chart of this stock because there is a breakout at 1.03 on 25/11/2013. | |||||
Major resistance is 1.19. | |||||
Major support is 1.03 and 0.86 | |||||
Target price = 1.89 | |||||
Margin of safety = 40% (1.14) | |||||
Potential profit gain = 65% (1.14) | |||||
Cut loss at 0.86 = 24% | |||||
Risk reward ratio at 1.67 cut loss = 1 : 2.8 | |||||
Feng Shui element = Metal | |||||
Buy Inari-WA at 1.13 (5/12/2013). | |||||
INARI IV Calculation | |||||
Fundamental Rating | |||||
Total Net Profit Years | 3/3 | 91.67% | |||
Total Positive Operating Cash flow Years | 3/3 | ||||
Current Price | |||||
Total Dividend Payout Years | 3/3 | 1.54 | |||
Total Positive free Cash flow Year | 2/3 | ||||
11/12 | |||||
Growth % | |||||
3 Years Average Turn Over | 180,513 | 109.31% | |||
Current 4 Quarters | 377,833 | ||||
3 Years Average Net Profit | 26,887 | 106.49% | |||
Current 4 Quarters | 55,520 | ||||
2012 | 2013 | 2014 (Q1) | Growth | ||
EPS (Cent) | 6.06 | 11.19 | 14.73 | 31.64% | |
PE Ratio | 25.41 | 13.76 | 10.45 | 24.03% | |
NTA | 0.25 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 11.43% | |
Net Profit | 19,887 | 42,014 | 55,520 | 32.15% | |
Equity | 83,284 | 157,938 | 176,810 | 11.95% | |
ROE | 23.879 | 26.602 | 31.40 | 18.04% | |
Dividend | 2.8 | 4.5 | 1.5 | ||
Free cash flow | 30,203 | -59,084 | |||
Price CAGR % (Buy and Hold) | |||||
Average Return History | 82.27% | ||||
3 yrs Return | 0.00% | ||||
Method 1 | |||||
EPS | 0.15 | ||||
g, % | 10.00 | ||||
Y | 7.00 | ||||
IV= (EPS*(8.5+1.5g)*4.4)/Y | 2.18 | ||||
Current price | 1.54 | ||||
Margin of Safety | 29.22% | ||||
Potential gain | 41.29% | ||||
Method 2 | |||||
Discounted Cash Flows Calculator | |||||
Discount rate | 12.00% | ||||
EPS | 0.15 | ||||
Earning expected to grow (annually) | 10.00 | ||||
for the next (? Years) | 3.0 | ||||
before leveling off to an annual growth | 3.00 | ||||
Calculate Stock Value per share | 2.06 | ||||
Current price | 1.54 | ||||
Margin of Safety | 25.24% | ||||
Potential gain | 33.77% | ||||
Warrant | |||||
Margin | |||||
Inari-WA | Target Price | Gain % | of safety | ||
Expiration date | 6/4/2018 | ||||
Exercise price | 0.38 | 0.38 | |||
Price of Mother share | 1.54 | 2.06 | |||
Intrinsic value of WA | 1.16 | 1.68 | |||
Actual price of WA | 1.14 | 1.89 | 65.44% | 39.55% | |
Premium or Discount | -1.30 | 10.00% | |||
Gearing | 1.35 | 1.4 | |||
Chart | Stock Name | Last | Change | Volume |
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INARI2024-04-26
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INARI2024-04-22
INARI# Ooi- you mentioned that Jaks is related to Puncak and thus will not provide a write-up. However for completeness can you provide the input for Jaks in the following areas - Resistance, Support and Target Price.
2013-12-09 20:46
Jaks
The trading plan :
Reason to buy : Market rumour is a takeover target. More job will be awarded on water project.
The last 7 quarter results, there are profits made. No loss at all.
Major resistance = 0.575
Major support = 0.495, 0.455 and 0.42
NTA = 1.01
Target price = 1.10
Margin of safety = 54% (0.51)
Potential profit gain = 116% (0.51)
Cut loss at 0.42 = 18%
Risk reward ratio at 0.42 cut loss = 1 : 6.5
Feng Shui element = Water
Buy Jaks 0.51 (5/12/2013).
Thank you.
Ooi
2013-12-09 21:11
Great analysis and humble Mr Ooi...not selfish to share..and we all trade at our own risk..
2013-12-09 21:25
If more projects should be awarded to water project, I still.believe hiaptek should be benefits as well. Mr Ooi, any inputs?
2013-12-09 21:28
Hiaptek - Technical chart is very good. However, I think Hiaptek is more toward steel industry rather than Water industry.
My stock selection criteria, minimum potential profit margin is 50%. I do not know Hiaptek can meet my selection criteria or not.
Thank you.
2013-12-09 21:37
Thanks Mr Ooi...hiaptek also supply to water industry..everytime when engtex move..it follow by hiaptek later
http://www.htgrp.com.my/projects_completed.asp
2013-12-09 21:48
connie
oh yes....thank you so much mr otb :)
2013-12-09 16:27