Ultimate undervalue club

Why Zelan? Part 3 - Total RM567million revenue in the next 3 quarter???? (TP: RM0.91)

itjustabouttheprofit
Publish date: Sat, 06 Jun 2015, 11:30 AM

I am here to ANSWER a simple question. Why Zelan? (Part 3)

Refer part 1 - http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/undervalue/63542.jsp
Refer part 2 - http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/undervalue/64661.jsp
 
a) Oversea project - Meena Plaza, Dubai - RM417million
b) Local project - Pengerang, Johor, Drawbridge in K. Terengganu City Centre,International Islamic University Malaysia in Gambang, Pahang - RM150million (amount estimated base on latest quarter report- RM50million per quarter)
c) Profit after taxation - 96.39million (Eps - 11.4sen) (Based on profit margin of 17% - from 31 March 2015 quarter report)
 
Estimated share price
 
PE8: 91sen
 
Topic to discuss in this article are as below:
 
1) 417million unbilled GDV from Meena Plaza
2) Background of the owner of Meena Plaza, Tamouh Group
3) Currency gain from AED (Arab Emirates Dirham)
4) Risk
 
 
1) 417million unbilled GDV from Meena Plaza
 

 

 

As per mention in the 1st part of my post, Zelan had signed a second supplementary agreement for Meena Plaza Development Project. The gross development project is stood at AED515,490,023.94 (equivalents RM463mil as at Sep 2014).
 
Below is the revenue that have been reported in the past quarter report on Meena Plaza:
 
 
  Revenue (Million)
Sep'14                              3.20
Dec'15                            18.90
Mar'15                            23.80
Total revenue for Meena Plaza                            45.90
Total GDV (as per contract)                         463.00
Revenue to be utilised in next 3 quarter                         417.10

As the project ended at 31 December 2015. the remaining RM417million will be utilised within the next 3 quarter. (Jun'2015, Sep'2015 and Dec'2015). Hence I predicted that the revenue and profit for Zelan will be skyrocketed in the next three quarters.

 

2) Background of the owner of Meena Plaza, Tamouh Group

I have done my research on the Meena Plaza owner, Tamouh.

The official website for Tamouh.

http://www.tamouh.com/#

You able to see in our project tab that Meena Plaza is one of their project. Other than that, Tamouh also developed Reem Island in Dubai.

 

So what is Reem Island? According to wikipedia, the Reem Island are as follows:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al_Reem_Island

Al Reem Island (Arabic: جزيرة الريم) is a residential, commercial and business project on Al Reem Isle, a natural island 600 m off the coast of Abu Dhabi island. It is currently being developed separately by Sorouh Real Estate (Shams Abu Dhabi), Reem Investments, and TamouhReem Developers [1] the overall dimensions of the project as 6.5 million square metres and investment costs as exceeding $30 billion. The project has gained international interest as one of the first free zones in Abu Dhabi, where foreign nationals can buy property as leasehold.

As the company having multiple project in hand, I am confident that Zelan able to collect back the money from Tamouh once the project finished.

 

3) Currency gain from AED (Arab Emirates Dirham)

As per chart above (extracted from www.xe.com), the currency for AED have been increase from AED1= RM0.90 (Nov'14) to AED1= RM1 (June'15) in this few months. As the project is signed using AED, the gain in AED will surely increase the revenue and profit for Meena Plaza.

4) Risk

- Oil price dropped

- GST effect

- 1MDB

- Failure to complete the project in time

- Property slow down in Dubai

 

Trade at your own risk!!! Do research before any investment decision!!

 

 
 
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2 people like this. Showing 5 of 5 comments

tonytaylor

sifu, zelan still can buy?

2016-01-19 20:40

BILLC

Halo sifu,syed botak is madey n moohidin man,both already blacklisted by ah jib kor,
So ,this zelan still can play ka?

2016-01-20 02:50

paperplane2016

Zelan gone horland.

2016-01-20 04:17

why_no_dividend

? Fake acct? Meena Plaza claim. AED40,980,997.61 & AED51,549,002.39.
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/4953985

2016-01-20 07:27

Desa20201956

holland lor.

2016-01-20 07:33

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