THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

TOP 3 URGENT REASONS WHY YOU MUST SELL LIONIND FAST AND GET OUT, Calvin Tan Research

calvintaneng
Publish date: Sun, 26 Aug 2018, 08:06 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,805
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Hi guys,

The more I look at it the more Urgent I think all who holds LionInd should sell and get out quick

Here are my Top 3 Reasons for Selling

 

1) PH GOVT CHANGE OF EXPANSIONARY TO AUSTERITY DUE TO RM1 TRILLIONS DEBT BOMB

 

Any Change of Govt Directives Will Change The Economic Landscape soon

Since GOVT RELATED PROJECTS ARE INTO HEAVY DUTY HIGHWAY INFRAR Any Cut in Job Awards Will Lead to Dwindling Demand for Long Steel.

This was what happened to Iskandar Property Stocks when Malaysia Govt put housing restrictions for Foreign Purchase of Houses in Johore. starting from year 2014

See

KSL HOLDINGS BERHAD [S] (5038)

Company Website 
Annual Report 
General Meetings


KSL HOLDINGS BHD (5038) Chart
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UEM SUNRISE BERHAD [S] (5148)

Company Website 
Annual Report 
General Meetings


UEM SUNRISE BERHAD (5148) Chart
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CRESCENDO CORPORATION BERHAD [S] (6718)

Company Website 
Annual Report 
General Meetings


CRESCENDO CORPORATION BHD (6718) Chart
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COUNTRY VIEW BERHAD [S] (5049)

Company Website 
Initial Public Offering Document 
Annual Report 
General Meetings


COUNTRY VIEW BHD (5049) Chart
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PLENITUDE BERHAD (5075)

Company Website 
Initial Public Offering Document 
Annual Report 
General Meetings


PLENITUDE BHD (5075) Chart
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AS YOU CAN CLEARLY SEE FROM ALL THE ABOVE EXAMPLES WITHOUT FAIL ALL WENT UP IN TANTEM AND AFTER YEAR 2014 ALL ALSO GONE DOWN TOGETHER AS A GROUP. NONE CAN ESCAPE.

ALL BECAUSE BN GOVT CHANGED THE POLICY OF SINGAPOREANS/FOREIGNERS CAN ONLY BUY HOUSES OVER RM1 MILLIONS THRESHOLD.

 

AND NOW THIS PH GOVT HAS CANCELLED HIGH INFRAR PROJECTS IN AUSTERITY DRIVE WILL SURELY IMPACT ALL LONG STEEL STOCKS.

AS ECER WAS CANCELLED GAMUDA & A FEW OTHER CONTRACTORS STOPPED ORDERING LONG STEEL ON ITS TRACKS

EXPECT ANNJOO, SSTEEL, MASTEEL, LIONIND & PRESTAR TO FALL IN ORDERS FOR NEXT FEW QUARTERS & DRAGGING INTO MAYBE NEXT 10 YEARS. REAL ESTATE & LONG STEEL STOCKS ARE BOTH CYCLICALS

 

2) MANY LONG STEEL STOCKISTS STILL HAVEN'T BEEN PAID THE REFUNDS OF GST. SOME IN LIMBO AND MIGHT EVEN GO OUT OF BUSINESS. AND DEBTS ARE PILING UP IN DEFAULTS

Misif: Delays in GST refunds hurting steel industry

PETALING JAYA: The Malaysian Iron and Steel Industry Federation (Misif), which has some RM85 million worth of delayed goods and services tax (GST) refunds, views the delays in the repayment as a bane as it could impact jeopardise business operations and disrupt cash flows.

A total of 32 steel firms were affected by the delays and the aforesaid amount, and has been backlogged by several months, according to a Misif survey.

Despite “emphatising” with the government’s ordeal over the missing billions meant for GST refunds, it urged the government to reconsider and channel back the GST refunds to members as soon as possible without delay after the government announced that the input tax credit will be returned beginning next year.

Misif said the delay will cause tremendous hardship and uncertainties to businesses especially with the steel industry already being overwhelmed with a barrage of cost increases this year on account of the double whammy hike in energy tariffs (natural gas and electricity) which took effect on July 1, the implementation of the Employment Insurance Scheme (Jan 1) and numerous pending uncertainties relating to minimum wage and rehiring of foreign workers, as well as prevailing stringent credit access by financial institutions on the steel industry.

“The delay is untimely and continues to be a bane for exporters. It will exacerbate the existing cash flow situation, and the loss in business opportunities arising from the on-going implementation of the duty drawback mechanism for the importation of steel raw materials to produce finished goods for export purposes. All these have impaired the competitiveness and sustainability of the domestic iron and steel industry. “.

 

THE ENTIRE SUPPLY CHAIN HAS GONE INTO A LOG JAM AND SOME CONTRACTORS EVEN GOT THEIR CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT LIKE JCB REPOSSESSED BY BANKS FOR NOT PAYING LOANS ON TIME.

 

3) AS LIONIND IS GOING TO BUY MEGASTEEL IN THIS MOST UNSETTLING TIME THERE MIGHT BE A CASH CALL LIKE SAPNRG.

WHY?

ANSWER:

LIONIND GOT RM200 MILLIONS IN DEFICIT AND ANOTHER RM650 MILLIONS NEEDED TO ACQUIRE MEGASTEEL. SO THE SHORTFALL IS RM850 MILLIONS!!!

THIS MIGHT REQUIRE LIONIND TO ISSUE RIGHTS AT 50 SEN TO 70 SEN JUST LIKE SAPNRG GIVING OUT RI AT 30 SEN TO RAISE CAPITAL. SAPNRG SHARE PRICE WENT LIMIT DOWN. WILL LIONIND FOLLOW AS WELL?

 

SO THE VERDICT IS:

BETTER SELL OFF LIONIND WHILE THE SELLING STILL GOOD ABOVE RM1.00

 

BEST REGARDS,

 

Calvin Tan Research

Singapore

 

STOP PRESS!!  I almost forgot Keck Seng who still got some lands in Tmn Daya

 

KECK SENG (MALAYSIA) BERHAD (3476)

Company Website 
Annual Report 
General Meetings


KECK SENG (M) BHD (3476) Chart
Chart Perio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

So there is really no escape!

All collapse like Tent Pins!!!

 

 

 

 

 

Discussions
7 people like this. Showing 45 of 45 comments

calvintaneng

lanjiolang likes this.

Good. So fast clicked likes already?

i3 people now got hope and can be saved!!!

2018-08-26 20:25

calvintaneng

Posted by Doraemon*小叮噹 > Aug 26, 2018 08:33 PM | Report Abuse

calvin, lanjiolang is vulgar word in hokkien...

Aiyoo why i3 admin allow this?

Oversight?

2018-08-26 20:34

apolloang

can up also no wanna buy cos I got none at 70cts.uncle always buy cheap and call people to buy at more than 50-100% premium to the price he bought

2018-08-26 20:43

calvintaneng

2 people like this.
People who like this lanjiolang, gohkimhock

VERY GOOD gohkimhock also clicked likes

YESSSS!!

SAVE AS MANY i3 FORUMERS AS POSSIBLE

So many disappeared from i3 Forum in https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/forum/900608510.jsp

Many more died and disappeared in IFCA hot stock

57 people like this IFCA.
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More than 95% of those in IFCA HOT HOT STOCKS KENA TOTALLY WIPED OUT!!!

IFCA WENT 3 TIMES LIMIT DOWN

FROM RM1.87

BANG!
BANG!!
BANG!!!

TO 25 SEN

ALL SORCHAI , SARDINES, WATER FISF, SOTONG & IKAN BILIS DIED THERE!!! MORE THAN 95% GONE LEOW!!! AYOYO!!!

2018-08-26 20:45

Alex™

haha...yalo….uncle article indicator always late by few days...when I see the chart I also facepalm...

2018-08-26 20:46

calvintaneng

3 people like this.
People who like thisXlanjiolang, gohkimhock, moneykj


Very good moneykj clicked likes!

2018-08-26 20:53

moneykj

Commodities related counters on downtrend. I must warn Pmetal holders also. Lme for 2nd q avrg at 2258. July till now avrg at 2044. 3rd q will see big drop in earning. Although they recorded highest earning recent q. But market is always looking forward. Sell before the big players.
https://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=show_table&field=LME_Al_cash

2018-08-26 20:54

calvintaneng

4 people like this.
People who like thisXlanjiolang, gohkimhock, moneykj, Alex™


WHOA SO HAPPY ALEX" escaped with your Rm25K from lion's mouth!

So good!!!

2018-08-26 21:01

Alex™

hehe calvin bro always come to my rescue...I shouldn't do punting d

2018-08-26 21:04

apolloang

butaland lucky leh,sold oil palm land to bplant,now bplant loss pula.....haha.

2018-08-26 21:06

lachai2004

Calvintaneng, i think next 2 or 3 quaters' results wll confirm your predictions. If investors whose have shares in steel related counters by all means, sell!

2018-08-26 21:09

apolloang

I think uncle also not much confident lionind gonna post very good results this quarter,from the way he wrote

2018-08-26 21:11

abang_misai

Apa khabar mpcorpes?

2018-08-26 21:15

KLCI King

Do not agree with the following statement from Calvin in relating to all drops in property counters:

"This was what happened to Iskandar Property Stocks when Malaysia Govt put housing restrictions for Foreign Purchase of Houses in Johore. starting from year 2014"


Property markets went on to peak on 2013 & 2014, after that, all monies run out & no fresh money to chase the new launches, property markets started to feel less chase on the whatever launches (soft, pre-registered or official).

The whole property industry players knew many properties would be completed started in 2015 onwards. By the time more supplies rolling out to market, those sellers would then realize their units not easy to sell, like what was happened in 2015 until 2018.

Since already knew what was to be in future, all property counters would be all going down.

It was nothing to do with the statement as made by Calvin, the market boom since 2010 was not because of foreigners, but all because of local Malaysians.

2018-08-26 21:19

SecretOne

So high rebar price not helping LionInd?

2018-08-26 21:35

4444

Become corpse dare not answer?

abang_misai Apa khabar mpcorpes?
26/08/2018 21:15

2018-08-26 21:37

calvintaneng

Post removed.Why?

2018-08-26 21:44

calvintaneng

5 people like this.
People who like thisXlanjiolang, gohkimhock, moneykj, Alex™, apolloang

Good Apolloang so clever clicked likes!!!

You always kacau sharks & lions and crocodiles?

Whoa still can escape so many times & still stay safe!!

2018-08-26 21:53

Alex™

night liao, time to sing song

不得了~ 不得了~

2018-08-26 21:55

khatulistiwa1234

driver through drain this time , serious injured , Kyy is the whole movies creator , he want your buy his chips in hand .

2018-08-26 22:01

khatulistiwa1234

OTB is his runner .

2018-08-26 22:01

KLCI King

Your statement is not wrong, in fact, it is correct.

Your explanation on your statement also very fair & informative, really appreciate that.

Not to argue further, I have expressed my views & so did you. I trust we both understand on both views.

Hope to see more from you in pointing out traps & possible dangers in stock markets for many traders/investors/newbies.

Honestly, you are really knowledgeable when coming to stock market, though I don't agree with your method of stock selection, but everyone has its own way to do things, I respect that.

2018-08-26 22:02

khatulistiwa1234

after the listen and survey , i start believe back calvin eagle further research result , precise , Kyy is GHOST , otb is agent ghost , i am a GHOST in the end .

2018-08-26 22:03

khatulistiwa1234

MIXED with all ghost , in the end ghost become , i am in such misery .

2018-08-26 22:07

khatulistiwa1234

Kyy coward , old wolf tail is OUT , old wolf king rewarded .

2018-08-26 22:07

calvintaneng

Ok evening now

Alex say relax listen to this song

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VY1j3jDw4U0

2018-08-26 22:08

khatulistiwa1234

SOLD OFF all tomorrow , i select throw all , his around in this stock , is torture , it sure collapse , i sudden wake up , i still remember how he did me last crisis , i lose a harmony life , really my wife leave me , choose other .

2018-08-26 22:10

khatulistiwa1234

Dancing with wolf , you need to kill him first , otherwise he kill even fast than you , rhythm is all rotten and cruel , 1.00 down to 0.60 is possible , in fast fabulous dispose , he turn crazy onward , he want money only , stock he don't want , PLUNGED is highly trace .

2018-08-26 22:13

khatulistiwa1234

Sorry to calvin , please give me a tight slap at my left right face , i reserve the slap , i since to prejudice your truth , influence by OTB , even old wolf Kyy , both are this CRUEL GAME creator , i dreamland believe the reality , but after i wake up from SLEEP , heaven agent tell , i am facing a CRUEL DISASTER , only i wake up , i am trouble onward , one length close be a savage ghost .

2018-08-26 22:17

khatulistiwa1234

Post removed.Why?

2018-08-26 22:18

khatulistiwa1234

lionind is GONE CASE , fancy all , throw on MONDAY , if late , eat yourself .

2018-08-26 22:18

calvintaneng

Posted by khatulistiwa1234 > Aug 26, 2018 10:17 PM | Report Abuse

Sorry to calvin , please give me a tight slap at my left right face , i reserve the slap , i since to prejudice your truth , influence by OTB , even old wolf Kyy , both are this CRUEL GAME creator , i dreamland believe the reality , but after i wake up from SLEEP , heaven agent tell , i am facing a CRUEL DISASTER , only i wake up , i am trouble onward , one length close be a savage ghost .


No Khatu,

Calvin feels very sorry & wants to give you a hug.

As for Lionind i cannot tell short term how it will trade. But longer term it should be in downtrend

2018-08-26 22:24

apolloang

apa song datuk calvin? better listen to demi lovoto,let it go.....ask uncle to let it go.....hahaha

2018-08-26 22:25

calvintaneng

Is it this song Apolloang?

Let It Go
Demi Lovato
You know it wasn't so long ago
When things weren't as we know
Back when I was younger and had a hunger
For all the things I didn't know
And I remember the day when
I went out to play
And I bird flew down to my hand
Didn't want to leave and
When I asked to keep
I remember my dad said
Yeah son let it go away
Hope that it comes back
Here to you some day
Just let it go away
And if it comes back
you know it's here to stay
Since then I've gone through changes
Since then I've gone through life
Since then I found me a beautiful woman
I thought could be my wife
She said she really loves me
But she said she couldn't stay
She said I've got to go my love
To find things my own way
So I let her go away
Hope that she comes back
Here to me some day
I let…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kHue-HaXXzg

2018-08-26 22:35

apolloang

yeah lah tell uncle to listen and then lionind will be frozen......hahaha

2018-08-26 22:37

gohkimhock

i would like to repeat here again just in case someone missed it : -

same modus operandi by the same operators,
only difference is the victims.

let's see how intelligent you are whether able to grasp it.

2018-08-26 23:32

Jon Choivo

Calvin, given the drop in property company valaution so far.

Dont you think it is cheap enough to warrant a buy now? Almost all of them selling near or way below liquidation value.

2018-08-27 00:36

3iii

Recency bias.

I felt happy to lock in the gains when I sold Crescendo at 2.00.

I soon felt the "pain" when it rose to 3.60 over a short period.

Today its price is below 1.40. I felt lucky.


So, to say that your internal milieu is immune completely from the price fluctuation in the market is not totally honest.

However, a good investor learns to keep these emotions from influencing his investing too unduly.

2018-08-27 08:48

godhand

Jon Choivo Calvin, given the drop in property company valaution so far.

Dont you think it is cheap enough to warrant a buy now? Almost all of them selling near or way below liquidation value.
27/08/2018 00:36


buy the best one.

2018-08-27 08:55

stncws

the two big culprit of the stock market...CT N KYY, so call christian people..

2018-08-27 10:10

apolloang

AMEN.....hahaha

2018-08-27 10:11

calvintaneng

Jon Choivo Calvin, given the drop in property company valaution so far.

Dont you think it is cheap enough to warrant a buy now? Almost all of them selling near or way below liquidation value.
27/08/2018 00:36


Good morning Bro Jon,

If got Big Fund like Walter Schloss why not?

But since our bullets are limited we must buy only those with special catalysts like:

1) Political Changes: Langkawi/Kedah/Penang new triangle of growth due to previous BN Govt neglect. They poured in developments to other states like Iskandar, Pan Borneo highways and Greater KL.

Now Tun Dr M, Datuk Mukhriz, Datuk Anwar Ibrahim & LGE (former CM of Penang) will see to it that Deveopments play catch up. So can consider some Northern property Stocks.

2) NEW INVESTMENT REGION:
Like Proton City in Tg Malim. This Will Bring in Capital & Create Good Jobs - leading to Land price appreciation. So those Real Estate Companies with Lands here should do well

Another One is PENGERANG RAPID REGION as this place will create 30,000 to 40,000 jobs when completed. And indirect multiplier will bring a population swell to over 100,000 people. So look out for those with lands here


3) Niche Developers who are smart & nimble & can survive both good and bad times


4) PH Govt new emphasis in Tourism will also benefit Melaka & Langkawi & Malaysian Companies with direct exposure to Tourism


Others which depend on revival of Ecer/HSR later. If HSR is restored both UEMS & MULPHA should do well. If not must wait till things change for the better

2018-08-27 10:36

calvintaneng

For Iskandar the only bright spot i see is booming Pengerang

The place is now so hot and bursting at the seams. Dialogue storage tanks are also overflowing with oil. So with little precious lands left Dialogue has rented lands in Tg Langsat for more oil storage tanks.

And good point is Petronas now moving downstream into petrol chemicals

And Saudi has called off Aramco listing to concentrate on acquiring more chemical industries.

All these and more will cause land prices to rise near Rapid Region

And Mphbcapital has 2,000 acres prime freehold lands here just beside RAPID Pengerang. Book value still below Rm1.00 psf

So Mphbcap is now the great value buy.

2018-08-27 12:03

joetay14

but bodoh coward calvintaneng, u were very bullish on iskandar last mth.

why u change view so fast????

lol...........

2018-08-27 20:52

calvintaneng

Daiman going to be taken private for Rm3.00

Mphbcap no less than Rm2.00 if taken private

2018-08-28 03:58

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