ValueInvestor888

ValueInvestor888 | Joined since 2021-03-01

Investing Experience -
Risk Profile -

Followers

15

Following

0

Blog Posts

0

Threads

1,193

Blogs

Threads

Portfolio

Follower

Following

Summary
Total comments
1,193
Past 30 days
20
Past 7 days
2
Today
0

User Comments
Stock

2022-04-12 15:28 | Report Abuse

who will protect poor minority shareholders as a lot of investors lost heavily unlike big boys like CEO makes million in salary...they might loss in their investments but still have millions in their personal accounts...

Stock

2022-04-11 18:33 | Report Abuse

investors who suffer hugh losses how? it would negatively impact the capital markets if settled by compound...

Stock

2022-04-06 09:44 | Report Abuse

But commodity stocks cannot play too long...

Price too high will affect demand and increase supply after certain period of time.

Stock

2022-04-06 09:28 | Report Abuse

thank you for those who sell to me at 92sen+...

Stock

2022-04-04 15:42 | Report Abuse

those chased high loss money... those with patience n bought on weakness win...
History repeat again.

Stock

2022-04-04 15:36 | Report Abuse

Msc is a good pick by sifu OTB. Those attacked him owned his an apology...

Stock

2022-04-01 15:35 | Report Abuse

i am happy to bet some at 91.5sen today.

Stock

2022-03-31 14:38 | Report Abuse

no good news of peace talk...

Plantation counters will move up again soon for short term play, my guess only

Stock

2022-03-30 17:07 | Report Abuse

war may or may not be over soon, but sanction may not be over. They have missed the replanting season for sunflower and other crops. Edible oil supplies will remain tight at least this year...

Stock

2022-03-30 16:54 | Report Abuse

Why drop so badly today? Anyone know the reasons?

Stock

2022-03-23 16:14 | Report Abuse

pls don't stir thing up again....

Too free? I am busy selling HK and Tech stocks....

Stock

2022-03-23 11:55 | Report Abuse

haha, it is time to take some profits on MPI. Not chicken rice but can eat one month abalone...

Stock

2022-03-22 15:14 | Report Abuse

good chance to buy low...

Stock

2022-03-21 11:11 | Report Abuse

From recent low of RM 25, to RM 36 ++ rebound around 45%....Keng

Stock

2022-03-21 10:56 | Report Abuse

local steel stock price cannot move...
It is because steel is too common and many producers around with big capacity esp China and India.... or due to raw materials also increased a lot? or

Personally l like specialty commodity producers in Msia like Pmetal, PMBTech and MSC...

Stock

2022-03-18 15:33 | Report Abuse

I think both sifu Purebull and OTB also like MSC.

I also quite like MSC...

Stock

2022-03-18 15:30 | Report Abuse

not very fair leh...

Stock

2022-03-18 15:25 | Report Abuse

haha, when down badly scold sifu, must have follow sifu tips and lost money?

When up, all very quiet....

Stock

2022-03-17 11:22 | Report Abuse

Rebound from RM 25 to RM 35 or 40% in about 1 week time....

Stock

2022-03-15 15:07 | Report Abuse

why fighting? Today mega sales not only in Msia but also HK Mkt... You should be busy fishing for cheap sales during this panic selling...

Stock

2022-03-14 16:34 | Report Abuse

Effect should be temporary

Stock

2022-03-10 14:04 | Report Abuse

keng, rebound about 20% in 2 days time...

Stock

2022-03-07 16:37 | Report Abuse

very solid counter.... lots of counters drop badly today and last few days but PMB Tech price still stay firm

Stock

2022-03-07 10:42 | Report Abuse

Today or rather this week should be happy day to fish cheap stocks slowly...

Stock

2022-03-07 10:39 | Report Abuse

PE becomes less than 20. Another change to buy on dip for short term rebound?

Watchlist

2022-03-03 16:22 | Report Abuse

Bought Airport, sold some BPlant which has almost reached my target price with over 40% gain in less than 1 month

Stock

2022-03-02 15:16 | Report Abuse

The stock market is forward-looking as it places more emphasis on what is expected to happen in the future, not the past..

Stock

2022-02-25 16:23 | Report Abuse

Let see next week got any chance again.

Nasdaq dropping again...

Stock

2022-02-25 15:17 | Report Abuse

SOP is the most undervalued palm oil stock if based on current quarter EPS of 36sen...rolling PE is only 6. forward PE could be even lower

Stock

2022-02-25 14:25 | Report Abuse

In the prospect note, management highlights long term catalysts for metallic silicon - the IRREVERSIBLE GLOBAL MEGATRENDS of a more sustainable and greener future. Metallic sillicon is a key raw material in the value chain of the production of electric vehicles, solar panels just to name a few.

Stock

2022-02-25 14:23 | Report Abuse

PMB Tech with current mkt cap RM4.4b on path to be next Pmetal with current mkt cap of RM 55b. Along the way, there many be profit taking and adjustments...

Stock

2022-02-25 11:55 | Report Abuse

As investor of Jaks, you must understand that you buy jaks as a company which includes loss making property business, loss making construction business, poor sub standard management.... not just power plant.

Stock

2022-02-25 10:39 | Report Abuse

Why not? You buy 1000 shares, you made should make over RM 1000. Now up RM 1.26 from RM 35.10 yesterday close. Yesterday most of the time was traded below RM 35 in the afternoon session. I managed to get at RM 34.90

Stock

2022-02-25 10:23 | Report Abuse

I have some respect to Aaron Tan, at least he congratulates all making money. And this forum should allow difference views as long as no personal attack or simply create fear.

Stock

2022-02-24 18:39 | Report Abuse

Current quarter EPS is 51.44 sen, what a fantastic result

Beyond the current uncertainties, irreversible global megatrends of a more sustainable and greener future augurs well for the metallic silicon industry as it is an essential raw material in the value chain of the production of electric vehicles, solar panels and other resource and energy saving end products.

Stock

2022-02-24 16:59 | Report Abuse

Don't know what shares Aaron bought? Only metal, O&G and Palm oils are doing well...

Stock

2022-02-24 16:43 | Report Abuse

fantastic... all negative news like war also cannot bring down the price of PMB Tech

Btw, Russia is the world second largest producer of silicon

Stock

2022-02-24 15:27 | Report Abuse

Why fight in this forum....

Today should be a good day for those with right strategy.

Stock

2022-02-24 12:04 | Report Abuse

haha, got chance to make Charles famous chicken rice short term...

Plus, PE of 20 is not expensive

Stock

2022-02-23 14:22 | Report Abuse

Pmetal results will be announced friday. PMB Tech should also be announced on the same date...

Stock

2022-02-23 11:50 | Report Abuse

loan interest reduced by over RM 10m per quarter due to improving cash flow every quarter.

Results should improve every quarter unless there is one off impairment that we don't know...

Stock

2022-02-22 17:54 | Report Abuse

UOB Reseach

Mining to lead the earnings growth.

MSC’s mine managed to increase its average daily mining output to 11mt/day (from 8mt/day) in 2021 as it explored new deposits and utilised new technology. MSC will continue to boost its mining output to 12mt/day by 2022. In addition, MSC commenced mining activities at Sungai Lembing, Pahang last year with minimal average production of 100-200kg/day. In the next 1-2 years, the mine is expected to gradually produce over 1,000mt/year. MSC is also in the midst of finalising some potential JVs to expand its mining activities in the area surrounding RHT, which will further increase its mining output. However, since mining exploration is a time-consuming activity, we expect the earnings contribution will only be generated in the next 4-5 years.


• Margins improvement from the new smelting plant.

Smelting’s margin improved qoq from around 4% to 7% in 4Q21, partly due to utilisation of the new plant. The eco-friendly plant at Pulau Indah is now fully operational as evidenced by our recent ground checks. It boasts production costs that are at least 20% lower than the old ones in Penang as it has better efficiency via its single-stage smelting (vs multistage smelting process used
previously). The plant also has a 50% higher production capacity (60,000mt) while requiring >40% less manpower. MSC has also commenced the smelting of about 7,258mt tin intermediates at its Butterworth smelter in 3Q21, which will take about two years to complete. This will help to gradually boost its smelting earnings going forward.

• Prolonged rally in tin prices to boost earnings in 2022. As of 18 Feb 22, tin prices
continue to surge to new highs (over 100% yoy) to US$44,150/mt. In China, the temporary
shutdown of some smelters for maintenance and the disruption of tin ore imports from
Myanmar further disrupted China’s refined tin output. In Indonesia, there have been delays
to private smelter export licenses by the government that fueled speculation and pushed
prices higher. Although global production in 2021 improved 11% yoy to 378,400mt, tin deficit
is still expected to rise 24% yoy in 2022. As such, while prices may ease gradually in 2022
as supply improves, we believe prices will remain higher than the historical average of
around US$18,000/mt. The spike in production cost due to inflationary pressure and power
crisis amid the decarbonisation agenda will lend further strength to tin prices.


EARNINGS REVISION/RISK

• Raise 2022-23 net profit forecasts. We raise our 2022-23 net profit forecasts by 21% and
15% to reflect better margins and we increase our tin price assumptions from US$34,000
and US$30,000 to US$36,000 and US$32,000 per mt respectively, reflecting the prolonged
rally in tin prices. We also introduced our 2024 forecast with price assumption of
US$30,000/mt. Based on our sensitivity analysis, every US$2,000/mt rise in our tin price
assumptions would boost earnings by about 12% a year.


VALUATION/RECOMMENDATION

• Downgrade to HOLD despite higher target price of RM4.45, as share price rally almost
reflected the intrinsic value. Our target price implies 10x 2022F PE (five-year mean PE). If tin
prices remain at the current high of US$44,000/mt in 2022, it could result in a 10% upside to
our target price at RM4.89 (8x 2022F PE). Our blue-sky earnings suggest a potentially
higher target price of RM5.37 (8x 2022F PE), -1SD to its five-year PE mean.

Stock

2022-02-22 14:55 | Report Abuse

Russia is the second largest producer of silicon.

PMB Tech is a good hedge against war and inflation...

Watchlist

2022-02-22 14:17 | Report Abuse

Bought some MSC as hedge against inflation and war... like its recent quarterly results also

Now portpolio have palm oil and metal namely PMB Tech and MSC as hedge against inflation.

Stock

2022-02-21 18:14 | Report Abuse

Yes, thumbs up to Charles...

News & Blogs

2022-02-21 17:36 | Report Abuse

alamak uncle compares apple with orange again...

Stock

2022-02-21 17:30 | Report Abuse

this company is a low tech metal stamping company with a lot of mkt players, nothing special...

A lot of people kena con....

Stock

2022-02-21 17:01 | Report Abuse

Just my guess only....

Private placement is underway, likely 90sen to RM 1. Big boys need to sell and should have done the sale between RM 1.15 to RM 1.30 to subscribe for private placements...