Administration expenses wont be cut. Possibly, government will hold back some of the mega projects and impose taxes on those gaming, alcohol or cigar business.
I have been a Mbsb Shareholder for longer times,nothing to stop me to hold for longer time due to their unique competitive strenght.There is always potential merger to be likely to occur in future which was happened in the pass (RHB@MBSB),Another points is there has yet to announce the dividend payout in this financial year,predicting at least conservative 10sens to be payout.The lower prices provide more opportunity to purchase more.
Just wait for announcement today. They meet to talk whether to continue or not. May b change in some details if really want to proceed. But the chance is slim.
Important timelines for MBSB: End January 2015: MBSB is expected to announce final quarter 2014 results. The Star quoted an official from MBSB as stating that the 2014 financial year profits would be "record" profits; April 2015: MBSB is expected to declare dividend. If merger is off, chances are MBSB will be giving higher dividend.
@hwangte, i hope u r right. I already focus on long term investment instead of shorterm money back scheme. Good revenue n profit will definitely push up d share price.
Whether merger or no merger, MBSB EPS is strong around 28 to 30 cents per share. At current price of 2.15, the PE multiple is only 7.2. Even if there is no merger, MBSB PE multiple will be re-rated upward as the management has taken proactive steps on improving its banking standards. Its strong earnings can support good dividends payout in future. I have bought into MBSB yesterday evening when there was panic selling!!!
MBSB had shown it had paid dividends of 16% to 32% gross in the past. If merger is off, MBSB shareholders can look forward to better dividend payout in future. With merger, MBSB PE will be re-rated upward.
KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 14): CIMB Group Holdings Bhd ( Financial Dashboard) chairman Datuk Seri Nazir Razak was non-committal on the status of the bank's planned merger with RHB Capital Bhd ( Financial Dashboard) and Malaysia Building Society Bhd (MBSB) ( Financial Dashboard), saying an announcement would be made soon on the matter.
Speaking to reporters today, Nazir said CIMB, RHB Capital and MBSB were still assessing the deal based on existing terms to determine whether the exercise should proceed.
He also dismissed reports that RHB Capital's seeking a cash portion in the merger deal as one of the reasons for the proposed deal likely to be called off.
"There is no truth to that. Right now, we are evaluating whether to proceed with the merger based on the existing terms. There has never been any discussion on any change in terms," Nazir said.
He said this after launching CIMB's special report on the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean).
The report is entitled "Re-drawing the Asean map : How companies are crafting new strategies in Southeast Asia".
Nazir's comment came amid rife speculation that the CIMB-RHB Capital-MBSB merger might be terminated.
Yesterday, The Edge Financial Daily reported that the CIMB-RHB Capital-MBSB merger was off and an official announcement was expected before the end of the week.
The Edge Malaysia business and investment weekly (Edge Weekly), in its latest January 12-18 issue, also reported that there was a strong possibility the merger could be called off due to the economic landscape becoming tougher, and the fact that RHB Captal was seeking a revision of the terms after the substantial fall in CIMB’s share price since the structure of the merger was first announced on October 9 last year.
Look at MBSB very good profit records for past few years, low PE ratio, reasonable dividend yield and 64% shareholding by EPF......nothing to worry as a stand alone fundamentally sound counter, with or without the mega merger. Do not worry, it could be either merged with Maybank or be given a banking licence in the future. At current price, it is not expensive at all. Investment gold finger Tan Sri Chua Ma Yu holds a very substantial stake in MBSB. Will not go wrong investing in this counter. Its intrinsic value is easily RM 2.80. Its debt exposure to IMDB is very small, 2.3% vs. 50%+ for Maybank and 30%+ for RHB bank.
If cimb not taking mbsb, Maybank will. Main clients of Mbsb are government servants, good captive business. Rock solid becos EPF owns 64% of it. EPS of mbsb is impressive, PE ratio below 6 and DY at abt 5% at current share price. Should be more worried about RHB performance.
KUALA LUMPUR: The outcome of the merger talks among CIMB, RHB Capital and MBSB would be known by the end of the month, said CIMB Group chairman Datuk Seri Nazir Razak.
"We will make an announcement very soon. The talks have not been called off and it is still ongoing at a very intense stage now," Nazir said on Wednesday.
The revenue synergies of this merger have been mentioned before may not be much and it is more of cost synergies. Although the cost synergies may not be effective translated an economic environment that is not doing so well," he added.
Asked if there was a broad buy into this merger from the other parties he said that he was not in a position to comment on that matter adding that more details will be made "very soon".
Syndicates were responsible for spreading false rumour regarding the merger call off. Even with Nazir denial, many still doubt. But for those who bought yesterday like me, the reward is definitely worth.
Even with merger calling on, Price RM2.80 onwards seems impossible.
Uncertainty like this, is what makes Investors angry.... Magazine The Edge should write a apologetic note to public for the false news. Why not until now...?
Maybe the 3 banks really did wanted to call off the merger due to the current economic factor...and in longer run it's not going to be a profitable banking business looking at escalating higher debts in lending and GST.
Najib,have hinted to do some changes to Budget 2015. All due to flood in east coast. More money going to pump out to help to build back the states, their water loji systems, infrastructure and etc.
The merger will expected to take longer time to come into effect.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
cfoong
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Posted by cfoong > 2015-01-14 08:08 | Report Abuse
Administration expenses wont be cut. Possibly, government will hold back some of the mega projects and impose taxes on those gaming, alcohol or cigar business.