If u understand what happen in 2017, hurricane Harvey caused shutdown of so many refineries and this caused the crack margin to spike . However , the shutdown only lasted a couple of months and once the refineries are back up, crack margin dropped and naturally HY share prices also follow suit. This time around it is very different , there is a shortage of world refining capacity due to many being shut and increased demand for refined products . This will be a protracted issue and will last maybe till end of year to more
German minister says Russia oil embargo possible in coming days Crude Oil
5min ago
Germany's economy minister expects the EU to agree to a ban on Russian oil imports soon, with the bloc working on measures to cap price rises that came in the wake of previous sanctions against Moscow.
Robert Habeck told broadcaster ZDF on Monday that he foresees a breakthrough on the issue "within days" when asked about prospects for a Europe-wide embargo on Russia's oil, with recent holdouts.
Germany initially opposed a ban but has softened its stance in recent weeks.
The minister added that the EU and US are working to find a way to cap the upside on oil prices and prevent Russia from enjoying potential benefits from an uptick in oil prices that an embargo would likely bring.
"This is an unusual measure, but we live in unusual times," Habeck said.
Habeck lashed out at Hungary at a World Economic Forum panel in Davos on Monday, describing Budapest's holdout as an example of "the worst of Europe".
Hungary has repeatedly said it needs more money from the EU to invest in energy infrastructure if it is to give up existing energy contracts.
It has been pushing Brussels for concessions that would allow it to keep receiving pipeline oil from Russia, keeping oil flowing to its MOL-owned Dunai refinery in Budapest and not risk abandoning a cosier relationship with Moscow than most other European states enjoy.
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If the above happened, giant refinery Schwedt will likely shut its operation (being fully owned by Rosneft)
In 2017, uncle helped to push up the share price kaw2 in just one month, even though crack spread then was nowhere near as high as now. Now he's not in the picture, or is he buying in silent mode?
HY call-warrant C22 expiring on 31/5/22 and last trading suspension on 30/5/22 HY closed at 6.60 HY C22 closed at 0.37 Exercise 4.75 with 5:1 Exercise price = (6.60 - 4.75) / 5 = 0.37 Exercise price 0.37 is same as HY C22 closing price , so HY C22 is out of money as of 24/5. HY might announce QR May either on 27/5 or 30/5 or 31/5. HY C22 trading suspension on 30/5. The price might go sideline or slightly lower for next few days. It is time to load as much as you can.
Arigato all the sifus.... very good chance for me to buy more C24 =D
Ahahah
HY call-warrant C22 expiring on 31/5/22 and last trading suspension on 30/5/22 HY closed at 6.60 HY C22 closed at 0.37 Exercise 4.75 with 5:1 Exercise price = (6.60 - 4.75) / 5 = 0.37 Exercise price 0.37 is same as HY C22 closing price , so HY C22 is out of money as of 24/5. HY might announce QR May either on 27/5 or 30/5 or 31/5. HY C22 trading suspension on 30/5. The price might go sideline or slightly lower for next few days. It is time to load as much as you can.
Before this, there were many days where the price would rise to high levels intraday but come down sharply from the peak at closing. It's clear who's behind this.
Oil futures: Prices climb on US gasoline stocks draw, Russian sanctions talks
Crude oil futures in Asian trading hours Wednesday were climbing higher as a sharp fall in US gasoline inventories and the impending fresh sanctions on Russian oil underpinned sentiment.
Front-month July ICE Brent futures were trading at $114.34/barrel (0515 GMT), compared to Tuesday’s settle of $113.56/b.
At the same time July NYMEX WTI was trading $110.64/b, versus Tuesday’s settle of $109.77/b.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a 0.57 million barrel build in crude stocks last week, while gasoline inventories dropped 4.22 million barrel and distillate stocks were down 0.95 million barrels.
Traders focused on the already tight gasoline market as the US heads into the summer driving season with the upcoming Memorial Day.
On Tuesday, US weather forecasters said the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season was expected to be above average, raising concerns that a major storm such as last year’s Ida could tip the delicate supply/demand balance.
Germany's economy minister expects the EU to agree to a ban on Russian oil imports soon, with the bloc working on measures to cap price rises that came in the wake of previous sanctions against Moscow.
“Given the EU embargo on Russian oil is a “when” not an “if” question, even if Hungary fails to fall into line; it is clear that Russian exports are under pressure and will continue to be so on the back of the EU nations that support the ban,” said Stephen Innes, managing partner SPI Asset Management.
France’s new foreign minister also expressed confidence in a proposed EU sanctions plan that would prohibit Russia from importing oil.
“We must adopt the sixth package of sanctions as soon as possible to ensure the gradual cessation of Russian oil imports and to remove any residual reservations,” Catherine Colonna said.
The EU is scheduled to meet next at the end of the month to try and break the deadlock but the laggards, led by Hungary, are pushing for concessions before backing the proposal to phase out Russian oil by the end of the year.
The price drop has nothing to do with oil demand worldwide even though it is going up. It is CIMB throw HY stock for it's warrant. Retailers should not sell but they should buy. Values will go up soon. Let CIMB be the loser.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Investing_Bursa
2,403 posts
Posted by Investing_Bursa > 2022-05-24 22:45 | Report Abuse
If u understand what happen in 2017, hurricane Harvey caused shutdown of so many refineries and this caused the crack margin to spike . However , the shutdown only lasted a couple of months and once the refineries are back up, crack margin dropped and naturally HY share prices also follow suit. This time around it is very different , there is a shortage of world refining capacity due to many being shut and increased demand for refined products . This will be a protracted issue and will last maybe till end of year to more