Investment abroad is certainly attracted higher inherent risks due to social instability, environmental or power struggling within political systems of a country. Natural resources-extracting firms are especially likely vulnerable to these factors.
MSC is one of the victim for venturing Indonesia. It was forced to abandon investment in smelter and dredging facilities , via its 75-percent-owned Koba Tin, worth more than USD 60 million. Indonesia government has treated MSC unfairly by refusing to extend the permit to operate a mine which Koba Tin is entitled to a second extension of 10 years to 2023. State-run PT Timah, which is a minority shareholder of Koba Tin, would take over the concession. MSC has suffered huge exceptional loss as a result of government discriminated action.
After having gone through a major setback in overseas venture, MSC is strived to revitalize itself by restructuring the group. It has stop bleeding by divesting Koba Tin and making sufficient impairment provisions of its associates. MSC has cleaned up mess on investment abroad whether in the form of associates or JV. The rest is history.
Tin smelting segment remains the bread and butter over the past 10 years. This segment alone has contributed PAT 55 million ( EPS 55 cents ) in the last 4 rolling quarters.
Share price dropped to bottom 2.70 in Feb 2014 before staged a strong rebound to as high as 3.70. It went through another two months consolidation period after hitting peak. Currently, its price traded at PER 6.1 times. It is the ripe time to grab the share at this price?
Financial performance of International tin smelting:
31 Mar 2014 - EPS 12 cents ( PAT 12 million ) 31 Dec 2013 - EPS 27 cents ( PAT 27 million ) 30 Sep 2013 - EPS 10 cents ( PAT 10 million ) 30 Jun 2013 - EPS 6 cents ( PAT 6 million )
Year 2013 - PAT 52 million Year 2012 - PAT 57 million Year 2011 - PAT 70 million Year 2010 - PAT 69 million Year 2009 - PAT 46 million Year 2008 - PAT 18 million
Why invest in MSC:
1. Share price traded at low multiple PER 6.1 times 2. Core business, tin smelting segment, has proven to be a profitable business more than a decade 3. Price of tin rise above USD 25,000 per ton given lack of new tin mines 4. Basically, all overseas associates and JV valued at NIL as costs associated with divestment of Koba Tin or impairment on Associates outside Malaysia has been fully charged to profit and loss last year. 5. Indonesia ban exporting mineral ore 6. Dual-listing on the SGX 7. Exploring the economical viable through large scale mining for potential tin reserves in Eastern and Western Belts of Peninsular Malaysia are estimated at 900,000 Mt
Forget about icap, ttb under performed as he keep too much cash past few yrs while market go crazy bullish. He try to time the mkt and he is proved wrong. Why? Maybe he din study economy mah. Globally malaysia is one of most resilient countries. With gst com8ng we see positive in funds com8ng in, it will drive everyth8ng in this country higher. Property, bond, equity, you name it. But slowly salary lah, kaka.
Ttb should go for economic class before we starts his icap. To me he not as good as many other fund managers loh, at least i think coldeye better than him, dr.neoh from dynaquest also better than him. He called himself Warren buffet malaysia? Yeah, for holding so many cash.
This is the last and final shock from Indonesia operation. Looking on the bright side, it could be good time to accumulate more shares at cheaper price. The profit after tax for both Tin Smelting business and Tin Mining maintained at 16 million which is similar to 1st quarter.
after adjusting to net exceptional losses (RM44.0 m), this company made a net profit of RM15.3 m for 2Q14. Together with RM18.2 m in 1Q14, combined earnings for 1H14 was RM33.5 m or EPS of 33.5 sen. With prospective PER of below 5 times, this is definitely a valued stock to invest.
Financial performance of International tin smelting and Tin mining operations:
EPS: 71 cents PER: 4.7 times
30 Jun 2014 - EPS 16 cents ( PAT 16 million ) 31 Mar 2014 - EPS 15 cents ( PAT 15 million ) 31 Dec 2013 - EPS 27 cents ( PAT 27 million ) 30 Sep 2013 - EPS 13 cents ( PAT 13 million )
if take eps 15cents each quarter averagely (a year 60cents eps) which is easily achievable, and also if considered they start giving out div (treat this as something extra), i strongly believe this share value definitely won't not just below than rm5... just my cheap 2 cents opinion only...
Many people will only believe when the price has gone up. It is not easy for them to overcome greed and fear. That's why we can buy at cheap cheap price. Lol
buy...buy...buy...........if you buy gold, you should buy this share, why ? gold can eat? cannot , but this share can make everybody to pay for it, why? electronic product sure will impact. buy this share better than buy gold.....................
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
TonsilBasher
535 posts
Posted by TonsilBasher > 2014-03-06 13:40 | Report Abuse
huat ahhhhh!!