KLSE (MYR): YTLPOWR (6742)
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Last Price
4.50
Today's Change
+0.06 (1.35%)
Day's Change
4.44 - 4.55
Trading Volume
12,536,100
2025-01-08
2025-01-07
2025-01-04
2025-01-03
2024-12-31
2024-12-30
darrenliew
1,080 posts
Posted by darrenliew > 2024-09-30 08:21 | Report Abuse
ANALYSIS OF YTLPOWR'S FUNDAMENTALS AS AT 30/9/24
POSITIVES :-
VERY STRONG GROWTH WITH INCREASING EPS N DECREASING P.E.s SEEN UP TO ITS 3Q 2024 (31/3/2024) RESULTS.
JUSTIFYING HIGH VALUATIONS AND PRICE TARGETS
NEGATIVES:-
ITS BUSINESS AND FINANCIAL FUNDAMENTALS SEEN TO HAVE PEAKED IN ITS 4Q (30/6/2024) RESULTS:-
(1) SPORE POWERSERAYA'S 4Q PROFITS DECLINED COMPARED TO ITS PRECEDING Q
(2) OVERALL ITS RESULTS WOULD HAD DECLINED IF THE EXTRAORDINARY GAIN (paper value gain) FROM ITS TAKE OVER SHARE PURCHASE OF RANHILL WAS NOT INCLUDED
(note that Ramhill's share price had since fell back. How is it's coming 1Q 2025 (30/9/24) going to be adjusted to reflect this decline?)
(3) DURING THE 3 MONTHS FROM JUNE TO SEPTEMBER 2024 (1Q 2025) YTLPOWR'S BUSINESS AND FINANCIAL FUNDAMENTALS HAD WEAKENED DUE TO :-
(A) THE BUSINESS DYNAMICS OF POWERSERAYSA HAD DETERIORATED BASED ON THE RESEARCH FINDINGS PROVIDED BY HNG33 (plse refer)
BASED ON THIS POWERSERAYA'S PROFITS WILL LIKELY DECLINE DURING ITS 1Q 2025 OPERATIONS
B) THE PERSISTENT STRONG RUN UP OF OUR RINGGIT AGAINST SGD, STERLING AND USD IS REAL
THIS WILL TRANSLATE ALL ITS OVERSEAS SUBSIDIARIES' RESULTS/PROFITS INTO SIGNIFICANT DECLINES AFTER FINANCIAL CONSOLIDATION ON 30/9/24.
LIKELY TO BE SEEN WHEN ITS 1Q RESULTS ARE RELEASED ON 23/11/24.
ALL THE ABOVE FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS DO NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT ANY PROFIT CONTRIBUTIONS BY ITS LATEST BUSINESS TIE-UP WITH NVIDIA BCOS AS POINTED OUT BY HNG33 THIS AI DC VENTURE IS UNLIKELY TO BEAR FRUITS UNTIL AFTER 2ND HALF OF FY2025
(4) MAAC INVESTIGATIONS INTO ITS 1BESTARINET RM4B PROJECT:-
MY ABOVE ANALYSIS DO NOT DWELL INTO THIS ONGOING PROBE WHICH WILL TAKE SOME TIME.
WHATEVER ITS FINDINGS THE FACT THAT MAAC HAD STARTED ITS INVESTIGATION AND EXPECTED TO BE QUITE A LENGTHY PROCESS IS ALREADY CREATING UNCERTAINTIES.