After EverSendai 2017Qtr1 results & TA Analyst's comments "After revising the earnings estimates and rolling forward our valuation base year to CY18, we reduce the target price from RM0.68 to RM0.58, based on 6x CY18 EPS. This is after applying 2x PE multiple discount to our target PE multiple of 8x. The discount is in view of sizeable collectibles in the oil and gas division. Downgrade the stock from HOLD to SELL as we think the share price have run ahead of its fundamentals.
Just wondering now whether Ty-Koon will sell down Sendai and move to export stocks...
But it serves as a relatively good source of passive income as the dividend is quite handsome and may be better than fixed deposit pending on the purchasing price...
This recent related party transaction to buy the industrial site is not necessary...The purchase price is RM19.7 M. The savings are from the rentals that Liihen is paying to the owners (also the directors) is about RM2 M/yr. Therefore it's 10 yr payback. Why need to buy a space for a factory site, rent will do.. multinationals do not buy the land where they operate factories, they just rent. Business can change and factory sites can also change.... all Liihen need is a space for equipment & workers for factories, preferably near the port. The factory land in Muar also has low value n low rate of appreciation compared to Klang or JB. The argument that purchase of land will prevent disruption of business is not valid. Liihen should have an option to move to other factory sites where rentals are much cheaper. To prevent PRT, it is better not to use or buy directors's properties as property valuations are not in the minority shareholders interest, only directors.
This recent related party transaction to buy the industrial site is not necessary...The purchase price is RM19.7 M. The savings are from the rentals that Liihen is paying to the owners (also the directors) is about RM2 M/yr. Therefore it's 10 yr payback. Why need to buy a space for a factory site, rent will do.. multinationals do not buy the land where they operate factories, they just rent. Business can change and factory sites can also change.... all Liihen need is a space for equipment & workers for factories, preferably near the port. The factory land in Muar also has low value n low rate of appreciation compared to Klang or JB. The argument that purchase of land will prevent disruption of business is not valid. Liihen should have an option to move to other factory sites where rentals are much cheaper. To prevent PRT, it is better not to use or buy directors's properties as property valuations are not in the minority shareholders interest, only directors.
I hear Trump is going to print billions of helicopter dollars again....causing world wide inflation and thus reducing the purchasing power of currencies around the world including Msia of course. Consequently, the Ringgit will be indirectly devalued thus driving up asset prices again including houses and land. It will be a very painful experience this time especially when housing and land prices are already unaffordable to most salaried workers including professionals. How sad! Take care people.
It should be fair for all if Liihen can reward all shareholders with a 20M special dividends at the same time the directors gain 20M from the PRT factory land transaction...
Seems like nobody realised this news. Liihen Group acquired the related co named Domain Partners S/B ("DP") with purchase price of RM19.738 million. Net assets of DP as at 31/3/17 is RM2.84 million and the remaining balance is revaluation surplus on the DP's property.
Passed dividend history show that DY is above 4% which is very good than rather FD in banks
But the main issue is, can that dividend payment will be continue to sustain in future? Without much growth plan in future the dividend payment might be affected.
No point looking at high DY of the past....important is, is it the high DY will be able to sustain in future??
nobody will know what would happen in future or even tomorrow ......... without much growth meaning still growth better than no growth or even worst declining ...... So just get whatever is given now
If we use the performance of Liihen in the past 10 yrs to make a graphical extrapolation the probability of continuous growth into the future is extremely good. This is the main reason i decide to put some of my funds into this counter. However, in business, there is always the risk of the unknown in future; and more so in the future. Ok people!
Letter to the BOD...those attending AGM can relay this msg
What2Do: 1. New markets in Europe, M-East & W-Asia. Get on board Alibaba Online Furniture Biz. 2. Expansion of factories 3. Fast expansion by mergers & acquisitions. Use your cash reserves to buy competitors & other innovative furniture companies 4. Focus on logistics & automation to streamline costs & improve your competitiveness
WhatNot2Do: 1. Do not venture into planting rubber for rubberwood own supply. Rubberwood is cheapest in Malaysia vs China, Thailand, Cambodia or Vietnam. There is no shortage, only price. If wood prices are up, furniture prices also up. Planting rubber do not add value. Plantation project is a 12yr+ payback period. It does not add value to your furniture business. In fact, you can source better quailty rubberwood from others. 2. Do not buy land for factory site - it does not add value & is another 10 yr payback project. Furniture factories can operate any place in Muar Johor. Location is not an issue, logistics is.
From now all the info such as qtr report or annual report does not have any growth news or plan that really excited me
I think now sales and profit of Liihen just depend mainly on US economy condition and forex gain only. If US unemployment rate is multi year low again and housing sales in US is good going forward , this will push Liihen sales and profit. And the forex, MYR if weaken more will forex gain. But this 2 is external conditions and hope Liihen can do some RIGHT and CORRECT expansion ahead with its huge cash pile for better future prospect of Liihen instead of just do nothing and pay high dividend only
Liihen share price has been in the same range for the past 1 year ...even before Koon Yew Yin start to dump Liihen shares .....let say if KYY finish his dumping activities, will Liihen move up ? I hope it move up, but there are lack of catalyst for Liihen except for its high dividend only
I don't think Liihen shares will appreciate much as now all the furniture company in Bursa also same and cannot move . The main good thing is only the dividend . My dividend yield now is about nine percent of my capital .
The puzzle is, will Liihen continue this high dividend payment culture going forward? Can the share price appreciate as there is no RIGHT growth plan? After KYY finish dumping....can Liihen up?
Revenue for 1Q2017 is 173M/qtr. As the US Employment & housing Starts statistics is on an upward trend, you can probably expect increasing demand & sales (as seen in the increasing Malaysian export data). Liihen's Revenue for 2017 can attain 690-720M (170-180M x4qtrs). At 720M, this an increase of 100M over 2016's revenue (same effort was shown from revenue increase of 120M from FY2015 to FY2016). Accordingly, you can expect the Market cap to increase by 100M to 676M or RM3.80/shr. So, there is still some upside to appreciation while you spend your dividends every qtr. 'tis better that Ty-Koon spoils the party now rather than later...........
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Max2838
504 posts
Posted by Max2838 > 2017-05-26 10:25 | Report Abuse
Can you imagine how LHen will fly when Ty-Koon finishes with selling?