should see a positive trend after Q4'13 and 12M '13 (Sep'13) today. Expected to do RM 250m in Revenue and RM 38m NP for 12M'13 according to estimates. Good stock. not to worry
honestly is good,you know why, bcz year to year, profit increase. this quater was lower due to higher tax. i still think its a good buy. tomorrow, many research hse will give either neutral call or buy...
Maintain BUY. Barakah’s FY9/13 results were in line, at 106% of our estimates. The key angle to this stock lies with its prospects for the Pan Malaysia T&I job. Securing this contract would be a major catalyst, which could see a 45% and 65% upgrade to our earnings forecasts to MYR100m and TP to MYR1.65, on a higher PER of 14x (blue sky scenario). Without this contract, our base case TP is MYR1.00, pegged to 12x FY15 fully diluted PER.
Snapshot of 4QFY9/13 results. 4Q revenue and core net profit of MYR87m (+51% QoQ) and MYR11m (+97% QoQ) took FY9/13 net profit to MYR41m (+24% YoY). The underlying QoQ growth was due mainly to higher contributions from its installation and construction services division. Revenue jumped 10x to MYR42m, driven by its pipelay barge KL 101 deployment as an accommodation barge to Pertamina at a DCR of MYR50k over Jul-Nov 2013. This offset lower earnings at its pipeline and commissioning services division (revenue fell 16% QoQ to MYR45m). Group effective tax rate in 4Q was 51%, as Barakah was hit by MYR11m in deferred tax provisions.
2-year net profit CAGR of 29%. Our base case forecasts are unchanged. We expect FY14/15 earnings to grow by 15%/45% to MYR47m/MYR69m, driven by higher profits from its: (i) KL 101 pipelay barge and (ii) hook-up and commissioning (HUC) operations, underpinned by a MYR756m order backlog. Our FY14/15 forecasts assume: (i) KL 101 will be deployed for 120/180 days for T&I works and 200/140 days as an accommodation barge, coupled with (ii) HUC operations reporting revenues of MYR100m/MYR150m p.a..
Eyes on the Pan Malaysia T&I Package A job. Barakah’s MYR6.1b worth of tenders is equally split between local and overseas bids. The focus is on the local tenders. The lucrative Pan Malaysia T&I award is likely to be announced soon with Barakah as the frontrunner for Package A, among six other bidders. Our estimate of a 15% net margin on revenue of MYR500m p.a. (100km of pipelines at MYR5m/km) suggests this job alone could contribute a net profit of c.MYR75m p.a..
i have some sense barakah now is control only by someone in price now and its seem start to slowly let it ready to break through 1.40 soon. better ready to grab on the cheaper price now.
I) 12M Sept 2013 - REVENUE jumped by a whopping 48% from RM 202m (Sept 2012) to RM 299m (Sept 2013); and NET PROFIT rose by 24% from RM 33,2m (Sept 2012) to RM 44.1m (Sept 2012), EXCELLENT. I was expecting a revenue around RM 250m.
(ii) Q3'13 - REVENUE increased by a whopping 70% from RM 51.2m (Q3'12) to RM 87.1 m (Q3'13); and NET PROFIT BEFORE TAX (NPBT) rose by whopping 52%. from RM 14.2m (Q3'12) to RM 21.6 m (Q3'13).
(iii) Q3'13 - NET PROFIT AFTER TAX dropped to RM 10.6m (Q3'13) from 14m (Q312) because Barakah was hit in Q3'13 by MYR11m in deferred tax provisions (51%). This when compared to tax in Q13'12 of 1,6% (227,000). THIS HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH THE OVERALL BUSINESS PERFORMANCE
VERDICT: EXCELLENT FINANCIALS. BOOK ORDER OF RM 756m FOR THE NEXT FIVE YEARS). BARAKAH LOOKING FORWARD TO THE ENTICING RM 2b-4b PACKAGE A of THE PAN MALAYSIAN 'T&!" PROJECT,- THE NEXT BIGGEST ANNOUNCEMENT FROM PETRONAS Q4'!3
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
mysterious99
496 posts
Posted by mysterious99 > 2013-11-26 09:28 | Report Abuse
prc4wifefe, are you certain with this?? will be good if its true, would like to lay my hand on this.