Must have patience and faith. The bonus issue game has not even started yet. Suppose to hand up the proposal to Bursa tomorrow. Now got to delay one month because got to do some amendment to the paper work.
Aluminum MMI® Increases 2.1% to 97; Aluminum Keeps Roaring And so Does Alcoa by MetalMiner IndX Reports on SEPTEMBER 9, 2014
There is not much to think about on aluminum. While the trend is up, you’d better be hedged. So far, the trend is up and there are no signs of weakness. If Alcoa can reach a 6-year high, so can aluminum.
Bloomberg reported that aluminum climbed for the second time in three days while the trade surplus in China, the biggest consumer of industrial metals, grew to a record as exports rose. China’s exports in August increased 9.4% from a year earlier beating with the 9%. Imports unexpectedly dropped 2.4% leaving a trade surplus of USD 49.8 billion.
The Beijing based customs administration said that the metal in London advanced as much as 0.3% to USD 2,100 per tonne.
1. It is the time for Press Metal Bhd (Press Metal) to shine as analysts expect the group to ride on aluminium price recovery and margin expansion in its Manufacturing and Trading (M&T) to drive earnings growth.
2. According to the research arm of Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd (Kenanga Research), it holds a bullish view on aluminium prices, premised on the increasing popularity of aluminium in the auto industry as a steel alternative, growing demand in emerging markets, and declining global production rates.
4. On top of margin expansion, Kenanga Research is also expecting superior revenue growth of 25 per cent to RM3.9 billion in FY14E on additional capacity expansion.
Latest Development and Announcement Soon (Buy Call) : Press Metal Berhad is expected to sign Power Purchase Agreement with Sesco for new phase of Smelting Plant in Bintulu which will increase the total production capacities for Bintulu plant from 330,000 metric tonnes to 660,000 MT. Together with Mukah plant, the total smelting capacities will be increased to 770,000MT. The plant will be built in the existing parcel of land measuring 264 acres and ready for production by 2016. With the additional capacities, it will boost the quarterly revenue to RM2Billion or RM8Billion per annum. This will rank Press Metal Berhad as Top 15 largest aluminium smelters in the World in terms of production capacities.
Extract From RHB Double Happiness.. Target Price RM8.20
♦ Profit surges. Press Metal’s 2QFY14 core net profit doubled q-o-q and tripled y-o-y to MYR60m. The successful re-commissioning of its Mukah smelter and the full operation of its Samalaju smelter from April 2014 were timely to ride on higher all-in aluminium prices, which rose 10.3% q-o-q and 4.2% y-o-y to an average USD2,168/tonne in 2QFY14.
Although Press Metal’s 1HFY14 numbers appeared to be below consensus/our expectations on simple annualisation, we deem the results in line as we expect a much stronger 2H profit on the back of higher aluminium prices and smelting volume. Therefore, we make no changes to our earnings estimates. ♦
Proposing 1:1 bonus issue and interim dividend. Besides posting strong 2QFY14 results, Press Metal’s board has proposed a 1:1 bonus issue to reward its shareholders and improve its shares’ liquidity. In addition, its board has proposed a second interim dividend of 5 sen per share (YTD 10 sen per share), which we think is a good practice to reward its shareholders on a quarterly basis. Going forward, we expect the company to record core profits of MYR80m in 3QFY14 and MYR90m in 4QFY14, with quarterly profit to normalise to around MYR94m in FY15 based on our all-in aluminium price assumptions of USD2,300/USD2,365 /USD2,400 in the corresponding periods.
'''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''' My Analysis of Q3 Earning :- Aluminium Selling Price Q2 : USD2168 Vs Q3 : USD2400 (Q3, 2014 : Current LME Rate : USD2000 to 2100 + Premium USD400 = USD2400 to 2500 Per MT)
Rought Estimate Q3 Profit at RM141,66 Million Vs Q2 RM60 Million Net Profit Q3 EPS : 25.7 Cents Vs Q2 EPS : 11.57 Cts Q2Q : 96% Growth in EPS
Buy now as the stock is still trading at 7 to 8 times forwar PE
The PPA and new capacity expansion will push PMetal stock price crossing RM8.00 with potential of making RM 1billion to RM2 Billion ringgit profit (Depending on Aluminium Price) by 2016.
If PMetal ventures into downstream manufacturing like coil sheet for automotive body segment, it will further improve the profit margin.
Q2 > Aluminium Selling Price at USD2168.. The profit is RM60 Million as provided by RHB Report
So assume Every hike of USD100.. 5% hike in bottomline as per Kenanga Analyst Actual Scenario Aluminium Selling Price For Q2 at USD2168 : PAT 6% at RM60mil Scenario 1 : Aluminium Selling Price At USD2268 : PAT 11% at RM110mil Scenario 2 : Aluminium Selling Price At USD2368 : PAT 16% at RM160mil
So.. coming quarter the PAT should be between RM110 million to RM160 million or EPS at 20 cents to 29 cents
Actually what is the yearly sales vol ? If nothing change except the increase in selling price, every dollar of increase will be added into the bottomline.
Aluminium Play is gaining momentum in Stock Market fueled by increase demand and shortages 1) Alcoa USA share price is up 3 days straight and is at 6 years height.. 2) Rusal share price is up 3 days straight and is in one year height, 3) aluminium price stabilizes around USD2000 to 2100 level + Premium at USD408 to 420 per MT
Alcoa has been expanding its production to capitalize on the growing demand. Alcoa is set to generate big profits with its organic and inorganic investments. Alcoa's share price has strong upside potential.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
newbie123456
274 posts
Posted by newbie123456 > 2014-09-09 15:59 | Report Abuse
Buy now.