crude oil price up,la nina around the corner,high soy price,india great festival around the corner,stock pile down for 2 giant purchaser india and china to support cpo price rally in 4th qrt
KUALA LUMPUR (Oct 10): Exports of Malaysian palm oil products for Oct 1-10 rose 13.3% to 535,552 tonnes from the 472,780 tonnes shipped during Sept 1-10, according to independent inspection company AmSpec Agri Malaysia on Saturday.
KUALA LUMPUR: The crude palm oil (CPO) futures contract on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives is expected to trade higher next week, buoyed by expectations of stronger demand from India ahead of the Deepavali festival.
Singapore-based Palm Oil Analytics’ owner and co-founder Dr Sathia Varqa said the Festival of Lights, to be celebrated on Nov 14, would boost Indian demand for the golden crop in the near term.
"Traders also anticipate weaker production due to the rainy season which could contribute to the reduction of stockpiles in the country.
"Furthermore, they would also be waiting for the Malaysia Palm Oil Board’s (MPOB) report to be released on Monday,” he told Bernama.
On a Friday-to-Friday basis, the CPO futures contract for October 2020 rose RM174 to RM3,020 per tonne, November 2020 jumped RM201 to RM2,967 per tonne, December 2020 strengthened RM203 to RM2,911 per tonne, and January 2021 climbed RM191 to RM2,865 per tonne.
Weekly volume down to 241,460 lots from 318,816 lots in the previous week, while open interest surged to 258,490 contracts from 245,116 contracts.
On the physical market, October South stood at RM3,010 per tonne. - Bernama
looking for low pe oilpalm stocks? bumitama 48.5cts(p8z.sg) half year eps 2.3cts.sg , sarawak plantation and km loong.after ta ann took over the management of sarawak plantation,the efficiency increase dramatically to boost up net margin.ioi is one of the substantial shareholder of bumitama with 32.039%,total planted areas 187,679ha which 132,578ha nucleus and 55,101 plasma.the average age is 10.6years.must be patient.........
CPO price rally definitely beneficial to good plantation stocks counter the full recovery of the stock price can be anticipated and next coming quarter should see full-wings for most plantation-related companies with a stellar quarter result.
average cop price is 2753 per ton from july to september,and anticipated 2500 to 3000 per ton (average 2750 per ton) from Oct to december.3qrt and 4qrt combined net profit should be around 70 million.plus 1st art profit 2.26mil and 2nd qrt net profit 19.8mil.total net profit should be around rm92 million against tsh capital issued..it Eps should be 6.7 sen.based on 24x 2021 , before the 4qrt result out..price could be around rm1.6 (TSH upstream production of 21tons /hector of TSH 4500 hector of palm oil planted area)
political uncertainty could hv already priced ,market should be looking forward bigger and global vaccine good news..whole of 2021 should be a steady bull ahead.
Its chief executive officer Datuk Dr Kalyana Sundram contends that soy, sunflower and canola are so far behind in proving their sustainability, there is little chance that they can catch up to palm oil in time to meet the proposed legislations in the European Union (EU) and the United Kingdom (UK). He acknowledged that the EU and UK were looking to reduce deforestation in imports.
Prices of vegetable oil including CPO to take cue from soybean — Oil World CEO TheEdge Tue, Oct 20, 2020 04:20pm - 6 hours ago
KUALA LUMPUR (Oct 20): Oil World editor and chief executive officer (CEO) Thomas Mielke has told analysts that prices of vegetable oil including crude palm oil (CPO) are expected to be impacted by higher prices of soybean until the first half of 2021 (1H21) after taking into account delayed planting of soybean in Brazil and the lack of selling interest of the commodity by Argentina.
UOB Kay Hian analysts Leow Huey Chuen and Jacquelyn Yow, who spoke to Mielke at an online seminar yesterday, wrote in a note today that Mielke, however, highlighted that his views might change if rain arrived earlier in Brazil, Argentinian farmers kicked off soybean sales, and that China cut its soybean imports in view of elevated prices.
CPO and soybean oil are substitutes for each other, hence, prices of these commodities have been observed to move in tandem with each other based on their supply and demand dynamics.
"South American soybean production to set tone for global oilseeds and vegoil prices until 1H21. Given the expected disruption to Brazil's soybean production and lack of selling interest from Argentinian farmers, soybean prices in 1H21 are likely to trade higher. On top of that, other competing oilseeds, ie sunflower and rapeseed, have also reported sharp production declines due to the dry weather. If the weather in Brazil remains dry over the next few months, soybean production from Brazil could lose another 6m-8m tonnes," the UOB Kay Hian analysts wrote.
"This will enhance the bullish movement for soybean prices and have a spillover effect on soymeal and other vegetable oil prices. Mr Mielke expects average soybean oil and palm olein prices to average ~US$820/tonne and ~US$730/tonne in January-June 2021 respectively.
"After factoring in better rainfall and some yield recovery from the lack of fertiliser application in 2H18 and 2019, global palm oil production in 2021 is expected to increase by 3.8m tonnes yoy (Indonesia: +3.0m tonnes; Malaysia: +0.3m tonnes). Global palm oil consumption is expected to increase by 1.6m tonnes yoy — factoring in a partial demand recovery from the Covid-19 impact. Having said that, the stock-to-usage ratio for palm oil in 2021 is expected to be flat yoy because the inventory carried forward from end-20 is expected to be lower compared to that from end-19," they said.
UOB Kay Hian maintains its market weight recommendation on the regional plantation sector despite the possibility of better CPO selling prices in the short to medium term compared to the research firm's current assumptions, according to the analysts.
"We maintain our CPO price assumptions of RM2,400/tonne and RM2,350/tonne for 2020 and 2021 respectively.
"Plantation stocks (share prices) might not react to the surge in CPO prices. This is because higher CPO prices do not translate into higher earnings. The earnings should factor in erosion from higher operational costs, sustainability costs and additional taxes as prices move on the uptrend," they said.
On Bursa Malaysia today, CPO for November 2020 traded RM64 higher at RM2,952 a tonne at 3.55pm while prices for December 2020 CPO rose RM75 to RM2,900.
Malaysia's Oct 1-20 palm oil exports rise 4.3% m-o-m — AmSpec Agri TheEdge Tue, Oct 20, 2020 02:07pm - 8 hours ago
KUALA LUMPUR (Oct 20): Exports of Malaysian palm oil products for Oct 1-20 rose 4.3% to 1,084,701 tonnes from 1,040,085 tonnes shipped during Sept 1-20, according to independent inspection company AmSpec Agri Malaysia on Tuesday.
from October price for CPO..looks like ranging btw 2900+t to 3050..good news most of TSH palm oil land located in kalimantan hopefully.cpo price could break 3100 onwards.in view of good price soy bean la nina..depavalli festival china keep buying palm oil.but down stream production oil price would not been so positive especially biodiesel in iew of lock down many part of cities in the world. that would affect the crude oil price.
Plenty commenting CPO price break record high and etc anyone know that TSH's plantation 100% located in indonesia ? their goods selling price selling in Indonesia market (Rupiah) and not follow MPOC's CPO price
Indonesia CPO pricing is different. all palm producers are required to allocate & participate in their quota .Gapki pricing does not follow our Malaysia open system. not only TSH but others Malaysia owned companies also adhere to their country regulations. { Eg. sime, ioi,KLK, }
no need to answer that stupid question. all price is convert from usd . only difference is discount to soya oil price . he raise that question means he got no knowledge.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
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Posted by Investorrr > 2020-10-09 09:38 | Report Abuse
cpo 3000 now