HIBISCUS PETROLEUM BHD

KLSE (MYR): HIBISCS (5199)

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Last Price

2.79

Today's Change

+0.08 (2.95%)

Day's Change

2.71 - 2.80

Trading Volume

5,582,100


67 people like this.

104,590 comment(s). Last comment by James_Bond 6 hours ago

zhangzuode

244 posts

Posted by zhangzuode > 2022-05-18 09:25 | Report Abuse

Proff P, congratulation to you and the others who invested about same time should be reaping >100% return.
Question now, would it double again to 3 (2x1.5) within 12 months?

kahhoeng

3,897 posts

Posted by kahhoeng > 2022-05-18 11:13 | Report Abuse

it's not yet crossing above 1.50, but can I start asking when's my 1.70?

Posted by mokluhanj21 > 2022-05-18 11:20 | Report Abuse

@titanium yes conceptually plantation should be able to hedge against inflation. however, be cautious on each company's size of hedging of forward contracts (ie lock yesterday's price for tomorrow's selling price)
i got in one company for the macro but the mgmt screwed up by overhedging. in this buoyant market, naked price is syiok .

Titanium

4,158 posts

Posted by Titanium > 2022-05-18 11:43 | Report Abuse

Good point. Never occur to me some company might have have already lock in their produce on a future contract. So, with current rise of CPO price, they won't be able to benefit much. But it goes both was as well. If the price tank, at least they have sold. Can't have best of both world.

myongcc5

708 posts

Posted by myongcc5 > 2022-05-18 15:17 | Report Abuse

If not because of increased systematic risk like interest rate hike, inflation, currency exchange manipulation, equities mkt worldwide will not fall into the doldrum like now. Otherwise, Hibiscs shid be at least 2 by now. EPS fr coming qtr shid be at least 7 sens

zhangzuode

244 posts

Posted by zhangzuode > 2022-05-18 15:58 | Report Abuse

myongcc5 - 7 sens, very bullish. This includes negative goodwill and the likes?

kahhoeng

3,897 posts

Posted by kahhoeng > 2022-05-18 16:04 | Report Abuse

when's my 1.70? I'm so excited...

rr88

6,320 posts

Posted by rr88 > 2022-05-18 16:08 | Report Abuse

TOPPISH. Its called a SLOW MOTION TOP. Slow motion uturn coming then downward acceleration. Make or lose or breakeven, get out! The earlier you escape, the better.

myongcc5

708 posts

Posted by myongcc5 > 2022-05-18 16:21 | Report Abuse

Zhangzuode, All in. Not really bullish given the price of Brent n production from Repsol.

myongcc5

708 posts

Posted by myongcc5 > 2022-05-18 16:27 | Report Abuse

Based on 2012m shares. 7 sens = 140m.

ks5S

4,601 posts

Posted by ks5S > 2022-05-18 18:10 | Report Abuse

profit 150 MIL. dividend 3 sen

twynstar

356 posts

Posted by twynstar > 2022-05-18 18:59 | Report Abuse

When’s my RM 3.00 ??

Can hibiscus reach RM 3.00 within 12 months ??

According to latest Hong Leong Investment Bank research, published on 9th May 2022, for FY2023 ( July 2022 - June 2023), assumptions :

1) average realised crude oil price for FY2023 = USD 90/bbl
2) net production for FY2023 = 23,380 bbl/day
3) revenue RM 2628m, EBITDA RM 1565m, net profit RM 626m
4) cash RM 714m , debt = zero

If share price RM 3.00 , total share 2012m, market cap should be RM6,036m

How to evaluate hibiscus ?

1) Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) method
PER for FY2023 = market cap / net profit = 6036 / 626 = 9.64

2) EV / EBITDA method
EV = Enterprise Value = Market cap + Total debts - cash
EV / EBITDA = ( 6036 + 0 - 714 ) / 1565 = 3.4

3) EV/ 2P reserves method
EV = Enterprise Value = Market cap + Total debts - cash
USD to MYR conversion rate = RM 4.1
Latest 2P reserves = 77.3 million boe
EV = 6036 + 0 - 714 = RM 5,322m = USD 1,298m
EV/ 2P reserves = 1298 / 77.3 = USD 16.8/boe
If compared with EnQuest = USD 12/ boe.
Range of EV/ 2P reserves for other medium E&P companies in Norway and UK = USD 13.6-31.1/boe

Conclusion : If the local and foreign fund managers are willing to evaluate hibiscus at PER around 10, EV/EBITDA around 3, and EV/ 2P reserves around 17 , hibiscus has possibility to reach RM 3.00 in FY2023

zhangzuode

244 posts

Posted by zhangzuode > 2022-05-18 20:58 | Report Abuse

twynstar - thank you for the comprehensive insights.

ks5S

4,601 posts

Posted by ks5S > 2022-05-18 21:19 | Report Abuse

no 2.00 no sell

Trevor777

3,055 posts

Posted by Trevor777 > 2022-05-18 23:16 | Report Abuse

Hahaha..looks like from the generosity of Hibby, you'd be getting free Twynsta (BP meds), Lipitor (cholesterol) and even cardiprin (blood thinner) for life !

Titanium

4,158 posts

Posted by Titanium > 2022-05-19 07:39 | Report Abuse

The summer holiday is coming in US. It is about 1 month time from now. Can expect hell a lot of travelling going on for the next 3 months. The demand will increase significantly. If now already deficit, I couldn't imagine how much more it could be short.

rr88

6,320 posts

Posted by rr88 > 2022-05-19 08:36 | Report Abuse

New york free falling, oil collapsing. Told u toppish.
Cut all qs n dump to buyers 4 sec b4 market open.

BeeNeutral

106 posts

Posted by BeeNeutral > 2022-05-19 10:25 | Report Abuse

Not surprised if it closes over 1.5 today as the the QTR result is very likely to be out this week or next week

Titanium

4,158 posts

Posted by Titanium > 2022-05-19 11:12 | Report Abuse

Hahah....rr, thought u dump all at 1.35 and waiting for 1.30 ma. If follow ur advise, I make less 10c a'dy.
Already said, no need expect brent to be above 110. $90 to $100 already ciak beh liao. . No 1.80 also no consider selling. Furthermore now brent still $110. Half quarter production selling at $105 to $110. Don't forget Sabah oil sell on premium some more.

newbie8080

2,729 posts

Posted by newbie8080 > 2022-05-19 11:15 | Report Abuse

Wait for results to determine the outcome to top up or reduce holdings

ks5S

4,601 posts

Posted by ks5S > 2022-05-19 13:18 | Report Abuse

confirm profit 150 MIL.

Posted by King_Musang > 2022-05-19 14:10 | Report Abuse

ok Thanks for the information, will buy more today.

kakiminyak

231 posts

Posted by kakiminyak > 2022-05-19 20:40 | Report Abuse

Lets look ahead not in the rear view mirror.

Icon 888

2,215 posts

Posted by Icon 888 > 2022-05-20 03:05 | Report Abuse

Oil 115

hoot9eonly

516 posts

Posted by hoot9eonly > 2022-05-20 11:13 | Report Abuse

Hengyuan and Hibiscus both started with H is just best. Keep on going....

Windy1974

724 posts

Posted by Windy1974 > 2022-05-20 11:43 | Report Abuse

Let me again be your fake technical analyst for the day.
Hibiscus has broken previous resistance at 1.38 and holding above the resistance level for now. Barring oil price sharp correction, Hibiscus is expected to scale new heights. As to when it would reach another meaningful resistance, use volumes from end of Feb to mid March as a guide.
Don't trust technical analysts, they can always twist and turn like fortune tellers.

izoklse

5,203 posts

Posted by izoklse > 2022-05-20 15:12 | Report Abuse

Waaa still cannot break 1.5. Come on Hibiscus.

derrtan

1,796 posts

Posted by derrtan > 2022-05-20 15:15 | Report Abuse

no one want to push beyond 1.5

Posted by GeneralXVIII > 2022-05-20 15:25 | Report Abuse

should be today release QR?

newbie8080

2,729 posts

Posted by newbie8080 > 2022-05-20 16:12 | Report Abuse

@derrtan
Some may be cautious just in case the QR result is not as expected.
Wait for QR result then decide to top up or sell down.

Posted by Mixologist > 2022-05-20 19:30 | Report Abuse

According to logic, insiders should know by now therefore the price should have jumped already

rattynz

94 posts

Posted by rattynz > 2022-05-20 19:31 | Report Abuse

Just be a bit patient. Q1 22 results will be very good, but Q2 22 results will be marvelous.. I reckon RM150mill and almost RM400 mill respectfully.. I believe they are pumping more than they indicated..Close to 30000 barrels a day.. Oil price for Q2 for them will average over US$115 a barrel and USD also now 4.4.. Profit margins also increase as oil goes up, for every dollar of profit above operation break even around 40% is tax bit the rest is pure profit. If you do the math for Q2 you might surprise yourself

Moneymore

532 posts

Posted by Moneymore > 2022-05-21 00:33 | Report Abuse

Byk untung lah Q3 coming next week, confirm 300M

Posted by bullmarket1628 > 2022-05-22 08:30 | Report Abuse

Report: MoF Inc eyeing financial support for Sapura Energy 
Saturday, 21 May 2022 7:20 PM MYT
By John Bunyan

https://www.malaymail.com/amp/news/malaysia/2022/05/21/report-mof-inc-eyeing-financial-support-for-sapura-energy/8076

KUALA LUMPUR, May 21 — The Minister of Finance (Incorporated) MoF Inc may provide financial assistance to ailing oil-and-gas giant Sapura Energy Bhd, according to sources.

Sources familiar with developments at the wholly-owned Finance Ministry unit told The Edge that the intervention would be made under MoF (Inc) Act, which empowered the finance minister to enter into business transactions for social and strategic purposes.

"From what I know it is MoF Inc that will step up (lend a helping hand to Sapura Energy. What is discussed at present is some sort of assistance package...it could be a grant of some sort and it could be announced soon," one source was quoted as saying in the latest edition of The Edge.

It also said Finance Minister Tengku Datuk Seri Zafrul Aziz has been working on the proposal for several weeks......

stockraider

31,556 posts

Posted by stockraider > 2022-05-22 08:37 | Report Abuse

Very positive news for sapnrg loh!

U see with or without govt help at current price of 6.5 sen sapnrg should do very well if they go thru the restructuring mah!

Of course with govt help, it will do very much better mah!

Very strong buy for sapnrg at 6.5% loh!

Surewin mah!

Posted by bullmarket1628 > 8 minutes ago | Report Abuse

Report: MoF Inc eyeing financial support for Sapura Energy
Saturday, 21 May 2022 7:20 PM MYT
By John Bunyan

https://www.malaymail.com/amp/news/malaysia/2022/05/21/report-mof-inc-...

KUALA LUMPUR, May 21 — The Minister of Finance (Incorporated) MoF Inc may provide financial assistance to ailing oil-and-gas giant Sapura Energy Bhd, according to sources.

Sources familiar with developments at the wholly-owned Finance Ministry unit told The Edge that the intervention would be made under MoF (Inc) Act, which empowered the finance minister to enter into business transactions for social and strategic purposes.

"From what I know it is MoF Inc that will step up (lend a helping hand to Sapura Energy. What is discussed at present is some sort of assistance package...it could be a grant of some sort and it could be announced soon," one source was quoted as saying in the latest edition of The Edge.

It also said Finance Minister Tengku Datuk Seri Zafrul Aziz has been working on the proposal for several weeks......

Posted by bullmarket1628 > 2022-05-22 08:47 | Report Abuse

财经新闻
财政部机构出手救沙布拉能源?
2022年05月21日
https://www.enanyang.my/财经新闻/财政部机构出手救沙布拉能源

(吉隆坡21日讯)财政部机构将出手救助陷入财困的沙布拉能源(SAPNRG,5218,主板能源股)?
财经周刊《The Edge》引述消息人士透露,政府如今打算透过直接隶属于财政部的财政部机构(MoF Inc),援助这家深陷困境的油气服务供应商。

“据我所知,站出来的将是财政部机构。目前正在讨论的是某些援助方案……可能是某种形式的赠款,预料很快会宣布。”

报道也指出,财政部长东姑扎夫鲁早在数周前,就着手拯救沙布拉能源的计划,但政府透过哪家官联机构出手却一直是个疑问。
财政部机构是在1957年财政部机构法令下设立的官联机构,主要目的是投资在私人界缺乏兴趣的社会服务领域。

国家石油(Petronas)、国库控股(Khazanah),以及一马发展公司和负责拯救朝圣基金局的Urusharta Jamaah私人有限公司等,都隶属于财政部机构。
前首相拿督斯里纳吉建议由国家石油出手相救,但市场观察员认为,作为沙布拉能源的客户,国油收购其承包商并非好主意。
而沙布拉能源的最大股东国民投资机构(PNB),在重压下料也不敢贸然伸出援手。

2018年沙布拉能源发行附加股筹资40亿令吉时,国民投资机构豪掷接近27亿令吉,购入大量未被认购的附加股,让手中持股从原本的12.6%,大增至接近40%。
然而,这笔无法为单位基金持有人带来收益的投资,已经引发投资者的不满。
曾经是全球第二大油气服务供应商的沙布拉能源,1月杪的短期债务已经飙高至106.6亿令吉,其严峻的财务危机,已经引发政商界的高度关注。

Posted by Mixologist > 2022-05-23 09:06 | Report Abuse

This should be shooting up this week, correct?

Posted by HuatlaiOnglai > 2022-05-23 09:49 | Report Abuse

Qrt earning result should be out by tomorrow: price going to shoot up once the strong result is reported.

kahhoeng

3,897 posts

Posted by kahhoeng > 2022-05-23 09:55 | Report Abuse

when's my 1.70???

derrtan

1,796 posts

Posted by derrtan > 2022-05-23 10:47 | Report Abuse

not sure what happend?

Nepo

3,287 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2022-05-23 10:59 | Report Abuse

because QR today out

Nepo

3,287 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2022-05-23 11:06 | Report Abuse

Fly or die, let see..

dragon328

1,895 posts

Posted by dragon328 > 2022-05-23 11:21 | Report Abuse

My estimate is RM150m net profit for Q3 if Rapsol production was 9,000 b/d and RM220m if Rapsol production was 15,000 b/d

hoot9eonly

516 posts

Posted by hoot9eonly > 2022-05-23 11:48 | Report Abuse

Nice return on Hibiscus, 77 to 1.46. Is flower so cantikkkkkkkk.... love it

izoklse

5,203 posts

Posted by izoklse > 2022-05-23 11:51 | Report Abuse

Q report today ker ? Bila la sampai RM 2.

DragonG

143 posts

Posted by DragonG > 2022-05-23 13:14 | Report Abuse

RHB coverage dated 23rd May 2022 - MYR1.84 FV, based on EV/2P oil reserves of USD10.00/boe.

iPlay

1,812 posts

Posted by iPlay > 2022-05-23 16:57 | Report Abuse

Best day to buy !

Posted by kokchengkai > 2022-05-23 17:44 | Report Abuse

cukai makmur mst clear ..although the QR sales n profit is nice number hahaha takut tak?

Posted by smachian04 > 2022-05-23 18:00 | Report Abuse

Petroleum tax (38%) is higher than cukai makmur (33%)

izoklse

5,203 posts

Posted by izoklse > 2022-05-23 20:26 | Report Abuse

last year 24th May. Maybe this year same.

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