While the termination of the land lease agreement (LLA) with the Federal Land Development Authority (Felda) will significantly reduce FGV Holdings Bhd’s landbank moving forward, the development is however deemed financially positive to the group and could even pose new acquisition opportunities, analysts say.
“The latest development could be a prelude to a merger and acquisition. Recall on Oct 15, 2020, FGV announced that it has received an expression of interest from Perspective Lane (M) Sdn Bhd (a wholly-owned unit by Tan Sri Syed Mokhtar Albukhary’s privately-owned Restu Jernih Sdn Bhd), which expressed its interest to participate in FGV via an injection of plantation assets into FGV,” said HLIB analyst Chye Wen Fei in a note today.
Assuming that FGV does receive a compensation of between RM3.5 billion and RM4.3 billion, this would give the group a significant war chest, noted AmInvestment bank.
“The group can either look for new landbank, repay its borrowings or pay additional dividends. As at end-FY19, FGV had gross external borrowings of RM4.0 billion and loans due to its ultimate shareholder of RM1.1 billion,” said AmInvestment bank analyst Gan Huey Ling.
MIDF's Khoo said that according to FGV’s management, the group currently incurs annual operating costs of about RM1.5 billion for maintenance and upkeep costs, such as replanting, fertilising, staffs’ quarters and plantation workers’ wages, mostly on LLA lands.
“As such, we anticipate that the group could potentially have a leaner cost structure should [the] LLA [be] terminated as Felda would probably need to assume those expenses, in addition to the removal of the fixed lease payment of RM248.0 million per annum to Felda,” noted Khoo.
Affin Hwang Capital said FGV now owns 64 mills, besides managing a total of 439,725ha of plantation land (Malaysia: 417,147ha and Indonesia: 22,578ha) and producing about three million tonnes of crude palm oil annually.
To a question on its 33.66 per cent interest in FGV, Abdul Wahid said Felda had no intention to sell the stake.
If they have 33.36 stakes, it will come naturally that FGV may use their mill plus Tradewind Mills..
It's all part of the family.. We still get cash injection, landbank from Tradewind and the right to use of our mills if we want to..
So its still business as usual plus capital injection, landbank and new better management under SM with good relations with Big Brothers..
I still see this is very positive development plus all the other upside as shared earlier..
with capital injections from FELDA & higher CPO + gain from global Rubber Shortage due to rising demand from China & Glove makers consumptions...FGV is a good buy now!!! collecting on big amount monday morning
That's why Mabel collected two batches at RM 1.07 and another two batches at RM 1.06 on Friday.
The current selling pressure on Wall Street may have been absorbed thoroughly and DJI rebounded, we expect this rebound may sustain after the US Presidential Election. Right now they are washing out all the weak holders. I expect a strong rebound will happen from the 7th November onwards. This happened in any US Presidential election irrespective who ever wins..
Overall, the narrative for the market remains unchanged and being cautious on the Covid-19 status going into winter season, where daily cases shot up near the 500k confirmed cases.
Nevertheless, market players are likely to stay sidelines given a few major events that will take place in the following weeks such as: (i) US presidential election, (ii) Budget 2021, (iii) local political developments, and (iv) BNM monetary policy meeting.
So actually it's an opportunity to accumulate as the CPO is in all time high. This A380 will starts flying from the 7th onwards.
Next Tuesday 3-11-2020 is US election day and on Wednesday 4-11-2020 we will know the result ! So, just countdown 3 trading days only !
For those who wanted to sailang, should sailang now or one day before the result is out, which is sailang before or on 3-11-2020 (Tuesday) !
Of course all politicians has to be taken with a handful of salts..
With 54 seats in GE15, I'm sure they will handle this tactfully..
Either ways FGV will be taken care off. They cannot afford to make the Biggest IPO a failure..
Mabel Motivation for collecting FGV..
+ FGV has both Oil Palm and Rubber Plantations which is important for our Gloves Industry. We are the World No 1 Producer of Gloves, World No 2 Producer of Palm Oil and World No 3 Producer of Rubber.
+ Compensation which can go as high as RM4.3 Bil to RM7 bil (Without mills FGV: Expects RM3.5bn-RM4.3bn compensation from Felda over LLA termination. With mills FGV is expected to get RM 6-7 Billion (estimate)..
+ Higher CPO. CPO closed at MYR 3,243.50. Next it will breach RM 3300
+ Gain from Global Rubber Shortage due to rising demand from China & Glove makers consumptions.
+ Felda now has the funding to pay FGV
+ Land injection by PLSB which will increase FGV’s landbank size to 212,170 hectares. It’s still the 2nd biggest plantation after SimeDarby.
+ Potential downstream activities that can help FGV.
+ The group currently incurs annual operating costs of about RM1.5 billion for maintenance and upkeep costs, such as replanting, fertilising, staffs’ quarters and plantation workers’ wages, mostly on LLA lands. As such, we anticipate that the group could potentially have a leaner cost structure should [the] LLA [be] terminated as Felda would probably need to assume those expenses.
+ The removal of the fixed lease payment of RM248.0 million per annum to Felda,
+ All lost making JV are being disposed. Right sizing employee WIP. Cost Saving also achieved and more to come. Dairy business and Animal Feed business. Paper pulp – WIP. Bio Gas /FMCG and cross plantation.
+ For Asian Plantation Limited Ventures — which FGV impaired some RM700 million on goodwill in 2018 — the group has seen five interested parties, and is looking forward to complete a sale by year end. Potential right back that will improve FGV Balance Sheet!.
All these should bring FGV at par with my Plantation Blue Chips. If the price dip further on Monday, Mabel will not hesitate to continue collecting for capital gain.
The problem with FGV is investor have no confident with their management. Give them how many cash also useless . Why waste time on them when there are better Blue chip plantations counter out there.
@Minagrace The problem with FGV is investor have no confident with their management. Give them how many cash also useless . Why waste time on them when there are better Blue chip plantations counter out there. 01/11/2020 1:30 PM
With the tight global vegetable oils situation, we expect palm prices to remain firm into early 2021, driving our Palm Oil Mill and Plantation results for the next quarter. Processing margins for Tropical Oils and Oilseed crushing margins are also expected to be satisfactory for the rest of the year. Our Sugar operations are expected to do well for this year, aided by the strong white sugar premium and the recent recovery in sugar prices.
@ming Syed mokhtar fights with Felda.. both goreng fgv fly to sky high..xD 01/11/2020 4:19 PM
Meow ming
Budak2 bermain gasing Bermain dgn adik Kak Mabel Alang2 kalau nak goreng Biar sampai dapat tukar katil Stainless Steel
JR Erwing duduk di Jalan Gasing Anak nya berambut Blonde bernama Mabel Absolutely ! Confirm FGV akan di goreng Kali ini FGV pilihan utama Mabel
RM 1.06 Harga saham di tutup Hari Jumaat Jangan risau sebab Auto Cruise sudah set pada Dua ringgit Jatuh naik saham langsung tidak berbangkit Ini Kali FGV akan melepasi Dua Ringgit.
When it was below RM 3, everyone was scared to buy ...too many Naysayers
Two weeks ago, Dphama breaches RM 4.20. Mabel managed to lock some profits and pump into FGV to grow more pineapples. Mabel loves pineapples. It shorten Mabel's period..
Everything in the market repeats, so stop worrying with negative thoughts. Once the operator has collected enough they definitely will push up the price and likewise vice versa as we have seen in many counters. Last rally FGV reach RM 1.56. This round it can go above RM 2. All risks has been factored in including Directors and Managements. CPO may breach RM 3300 soon
Selain pembentangan Belanjawan 2021, pasti ramai yang menunggu usul undi tidak percaya kepada Perdana Menteri, Tan Sri Muhyiddin Mohd Yassin termasuk usul menyatakan kepercayaan kepada Perdana Menteri.
Apa pun, semuanya masih berkisar kepada pandemik COVID-19 termasuklah isu politik, ekonomi dan hal ehwal sosial dan kebajikan rakyat.
For LLA Land FGV at the mercy of FELDA and also if FELDA decide to sell FGV with penny in open market but i doubt they will do that ... any other noises coming like Mill FELDA can't do anything unless FGV Board Approve and FELDA cannot vote ...
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ongth60
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Posted by ongth60 > 2020-10-30 22:13 | Report Abuse
Woof