Well we never know when we would reach the lowest bottom so buying its way down is an optimal option. Karex won't go lower than 2.00 I guest now could be a good time to accumulate. I am waiting for 2.09, finger crossed.
No barrier. Karex has dominant share in condom making industry. Not allowing Karex into Europe is like disqualifying Apple's products in a market. Apple is not something in need by the people but condom surely is. Karex business is not limited to retail, in Europe and other western countries, it is common for teenagers to take free condoms from local clinics. Karex is a supplier of those clinical condoms too.
The European could be friendly to us too. Example, they have anti dump policy for metal imported from China but our company like Chinwell etc. are excluded from that.
Don't be optimistic guys! The Karex management announce to bought Pasante (UK condom company with spending of 6 Millions pound earlier May 2016) hoping to use it to opens up EU market. Nobody will foresee Brexit succeed, and now everyone telling ppl Brexit got no harm to their business, what the hell!!
For pharmaceutical products yes, the European system have a rule that unless you are in EU, you cannot sell pharmaceutical products around. But Karex is a consumer product, unless there is a matching producer (in terms of production capabilities, price, etc.) in Europe, it should be business as usual.
Also, there will not be an embargo of UK based product in EU, not even an embargo of Malaysian/Thailand/etc. exports where Karex actually stands firm in, what should we worry? As the USD would rise in value and Pasante has strong footprint in local UK market, I foresee a profit making opportunity for Karex than a total loss. Imagine if (but not a likely scenario) there is no more condoms flowing in UK market from EU.
But I agree with @bestbuy that we should not bottom fish abruptly now, calculate stages of price and buy successively.
Seth Klarman once said : You must buy on the way down. There is far more volume on the way down than on the way back up, and far less competition among buyers. It is almost always better to be too early than too late, but you must be prepared for price markdowns on what you buy.
The acquisition will complete by 1QFY17. Their original plan was 6m pound with RM35.9m based on RM5.98 currency). With Pound weakening, KAREX going to save a lot in ringgit now. This we call timing.
Plan and calculate several steps of up and down, and buy successively in a distributed manner. You have better chance of buying near the bottom in such way. Do not throw in everything abruptly. One thing to highlight also, rubber price is still low compare to historical values.
@kinfatt999 being the largest cdm manufacturer with good access to markets and rubber supplies worldwide, it is one of the best non large cap counter you could own. Buy and accumulate slowly. Because of price volatility, it is not wise to sailang so buy successively.
My next entry point is 2.09, it should be a long way to go. Not necessary that the next quarter result will be bad because the company's management do opined that Karex could yield good profit from the strengthening USD. News here: "The strengthening of the US dollar against the ringgit could fuel double-digit growth from last year’s condom shipment of RM431 million." Link: http://www.nst.com.my/news/2016/06/151151/karex-set-stretch-export-earnings
Hey I will post commodity prices weekly on my new blog, intention is to make it transparent and easy for us to access the commodity price while discussing our counters such as Karex. Let's keep the discussions going.
Hey I'll post weekly commodity price on my new blog, to make it clear and transparent for us to access relevant prices while discussing our counters such as Karex (rubber, USD/MYR conversion, etc.)
If you have a suggestion on what other TA to add to the chart please let me know. I am now just using SMA 10, 20, and 50 to briefly display the trend pattern. I can program other TAs too.
Karex will save a lot in the acquisition plan. Olympic is coming. One of the flying stock for the theme. Chart trying to turn positive. If not mistaken, first level ppl accummulating. Later volume will come. Stay on the ship.
Good justification. Olympic is surely a good point. Zika is transferred by aedes mosquito common in tropic region, and once committed could transfer to others via unprotected sx. A strong enough reason to practise safer protections in Brazil.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
littlelolita
121 posts
Posted by littlelolita > 2016-06-19 13:26 | Report Abuse
profit margin of 30% is useless when sale drop