MyNews to hit RM1.00 as a result of the renewed vigour for economic reopening as political stability is restored. Analysts believe that the worst is over for Malaysia and most emerging markets.
CU @1.50..buy and keep, once they hit 50 stores by end q1 and the vision to open 500 CU stores, this stock is worth close to rm4... Why?
500cu stores, assume on avg and blended profit for each store is just 15k per mth or 180k per year..(rm90m) . Divided by 682m shares x PE25... Simple math. Not even considering the current mynews outlets. Don't forget retail habits have shifted, ppl aware of the need for clean and quick meals with convince. 2 years of tuning consumer behaviour with MBO and grab food... Etc.
Trend shifting to the likes of tw, kr, jp where CU, FM, 7-11 are profitable...
Be careful of Mynews. Highly speculative to assume CU will succeed. Family mart is a very rare success in Malaysia. Many have failed where setting up retail chains are concerned.
MYNEWS is also not backed by strong financials like Family Mart. If the breakeven takes longer to achieve, very likely there will be share raising exercise to bolster its balance sheet which is a major negative to current shareholders who are already paying 30x earnings for mediocre business
Management cannot open aggressively like Family Mart either because if they fail they will go bankrupt. Risk management means they have to open slowly which is a major disadvantage to MYNEWS when family mart is opening at breakneck pace + newcomers have time to set up. Family mart has a huge advantage over CU. If you look at the Japanese and Korean market, there is only one konbini franchise brand that exist. This means in any geographical market there can only fit one konbini franchise. This is because the overhead cost for konbinis are significantly higher and marketing cost can be a long drag.
MYNEWS is not fit to compete with Family Mart. I am very concern with MYNEWS, just my opinion. So far, japanese food is much more favoured by Malaysians than Korean food. That is another reason why i said too many people are too careless in assessing the future of CU. That includes many so called value investors who think they are getting a bargaining without having complete and objective view of the situation.
I will also remind people during this time, very hard to get workers because of labour shortage. Time is of essence. We need to expand quickly in a short span so Family Mart doesn't book all the highly profitable locations. But alot of things is against CU. It may sound very trivial, but this is a very critical factor. Speed to market is the critical success factor which many analsyts and investors seem to ignore.
1) why would someone who is so kind come to a thread and purposely advising people don't buy ? Because he want the price to drop.
2) i accept great analysis and it help me to make inform decision. However, I don't find any concrete facts is provided. Malaysian love Japanese foods than Korean foods is not true. Unless you can provide a reliable market research report with good figure showing Malaysian dislike Korean Foods.
He wrote an article [MYNEWS] Convenience Store Business or Advertising Business? --> i just couldn't understand from the figure how the advertising revenue is the major source of income? isaw advertising revenue consist of 21.5% , 28% and 24.9% for 2013,2014,2015.
And now is 2021 already. i am studying the latest Annual report, didn't see any highlight on they are relying heavily on advertising revenue.
Millionology, I don't want to reply to you because I don't take noob retail investor seriously. I know a few retailers who are very good in company analysis. You're not one of them. You seem very blur and not able to understand simple concepts. Work on your ability to conceptualize first, then maybe I will debate you.
Yes i admit i am noob.i am still learning. Can other investors here explain to me what you understand of what he wrote? i am not debating here as i only own small portion of MyNews. i am learning
Let's see what Choivo says. He seems to be in an echochamber wih his fantastic stories. His stock stories are so captivating and ingenuous, so simple and it almost seems like he made sense of the whole situation, he may have managed to deceived himself.
Those who cut loss , curse the stocks , those who waiting to buy, spread whatever news they can. Those who holding a lot, also spread news. This is the nature of stock market.
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wallstreetrookie
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Posted by wallstreetrookie > 2021-08-18 10:12 | Report Abuse
Rakuten just dumping on retail investors every where.