Investment tricks

（非常重要！）****股市风险提高时的讯号****

akiha
Publish date: Sun, 18 Jan 2015, 11:58 PM
akiha
0 4
Following Message

一般上投资者都在问，到底要如何才能避免在股市中才到地雷？资深的投资者到底是怎么知道离场的讯号？到底怎样判断股市的风险提高了？在这里通过和一些资深投资者的交流和书籍的参考，跟大家分享一些股市风险提高时的讯号和解释：

 

1）市场上低价钱（根价值相比）的股已经几乎绝种.

股神巴菲特时常在别人问他，你是怎样预知市场会大跌的？时回答：当我发现市场上大多数股票的价钱都超过他的价值时（超价），这象征着股市的炒作已经到达一个不健康的水平。市场价钱炒得越高，大跌的风险就会大大提升。

 

2）好消息出尽

大公司和大集团不停的大放好消息，告诉你这市场有多好多好，仿佛买什么都会涨，这象征着大股东和大炒家们手上的票已经收够了。有一定的风险等小投资者进场后就出货。

 

3）大集团退出江湖，小投资者大量涌入

真正拥有操控股市价钱的时大投资家和大集团。当他们把大多数手上的票都推到涌入的小投资者受伤的时候，股市上涨的力道将会大减。

 

4）该涨时不涨

市场拥有庞大交易量之后，却没有涨价，是危险的讯号。

 

5）小量交易量创新高

购性不大，股价却创新高，这有一定操控的可能，风险很高。

 

6）通货膨胀

百物涨价造成2：人民购性差，市场风气不好 及 公司成本提高，盈利下降

 

7）银行贷款利息一直提高

银行对市场不看好。

 

欢迎任何回复和建议~！谢谢

 

More articles on Investment tricks
****股市反弹还是熊市陷阱？-----给你一些提示，自己判断！****

Created by akiha | Feb 02, 2015

**基本图表分析**Technical Analysis: Some basic chart analysis

Created by akiha | Jan 25, 2015

牛市熊市-----看股市高山和海底的景色

Created by akiha | Jan 16, 2015

Discussions
4 people like this. Showing 6 of 6 comments

ks55

Foreign funds selling non stop. What can you expect ?
Buy now? Want to take risk?
Just be a bit patient. Let foreigners stop selling first. Apparently market may rebound, is it a bear trap?

2015-01-19 15:46

ipomember

it could be something or nothing

2015-01-19 15:52

akiha

@ks55: I agree that it is probably more appropriate to wait and see whether the foreign funds stop selling or start to buy again. When they keep selling it causes the bad sentiments in market (people loses confidence) and lack of capital in market to push for higher price (normal investors do not have enough capital). If the market rebounds but big funds still do not repurchase or volume is not big enough, the risk is higher that it may be a bear trap, which normally in technical the double or triple top phenomenon may happen before it drops.
@ipomember: yeah, it could be something or nothing, we can only analyze the risk, but it is almost impossible to speculate definitely what will happen.

2015-01-19 16:03

AC Gan

Be Confident & Vigilant... Not so Pessimistic... for better Tomorrow..!

2015-01-20 09:19

akiha

@AC Gan: Positive thinking is good, but it's more important to be careful when buying stocks though, as we all know one wrong step will be a huge set back, haha

2015-01-20 16:07

Nyalas1955

Thank You!
Akiha for your concised yet comprehensive write up above.
One question I have for you, hoping you can help me in this.

Price and value
For eg. AA Dy:1.39, PE:10.29, DPS3.88, NTA:1.803, EPS 27plus.
Do you consider the price of RM2.80 as under value?

Kind regards,

2015-02-03 12:21

Post a Comment