THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN
Airasia & AAX -Strong Warning signs now Flashing & Flashing! Time to Run for your life! (Calvin Tan)
calvintaneng
Publish date: Mon, 16 May 2016, 11:15 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,803
Hi Guys,
I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.
I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.
Top Reasons Why You Must Sell Airasia & AAX - take your monies and Run Now!!
REASON NO. 1
Today in Singapore News
SINGAPORE: Eight Asia Pacific budget airlines on Monday (May 16) formed the world’s largest low cost carrier (LCC) alliance – the Value Alliance – aimed at provide more destinations, routing options, and greater convenience for customers.
The members of the alliance are: Cebu Pacific, Jeju Air, Nok Air, NokScoot, Scoot, Tigerair Singapore, Tigerair Australia and Vanilla Air.
With the partnership, customers will be able to book flights from any of the eight airlines in a single transaction. They will also be able to choose their meals and seats for flights from different airlines in a single itinerary.
The Value Alliance members currently have a collective fleet of 176 aircraft across the Asia Pacific region and serve more than 160 destinations.
Speaking to the media at an unveiling ceremony on Monday, the airlines said they hoped to strengthen distribution in their non-home markets, and expand their networks.
“By working together we can offer our guests a wider choice of destination and flights – at the most competitive airfares – all in one go,” said Scoot CEO Campbell Wilson.
“The Value Alliance is a clear example of how LCCs can accomplish more by working together than we could do individually,” added President and CEO of Cebu Pacific Lance Gokongwei.
- CNA/dl
Calvin comments:
With 8 formidable low cost airlines posing a strong challenge to airasia and aax the flight ahead is filled with inclement weather. Tiger Air already captured a good slice of the market flying into greater China Region.
And Scoot with its modern fleet of Boeign 787 Liners have captured the Australasian Markets by storm. Australians everywhere are giving a thumps up for excellent Scoot service.
REASON NO. 2
Since July 2015 to Now Insiders Have Been Selling & Selling Airasia Shares
This is not a good sign:
| Date | Name | Remark |
|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2016 | TAN SRI DR ANTHONY FRANCIS FERNANDES | Disposal of shares |
| 26/04/2016 | DATUK KAMARUDIN BIN MERANUN | Disposal of shares |
| 22/04/2016 | TAN SRI DR ANTHONY FRANCIS FERNANDES | Disposal of shares |
| 22/04/2016 | DATUK KAMARUDIN BIN MERANUN | Disposal of shares |
| 04/03/2016 | DATUK KAMARUDIN BIN MERANUN | Disposal of shares |
| 04/03/2016 | TAN SRI DR ANTHONY FRANCIS FERNANDES | Disposal of shares |
| 24/07/2015 | TAN SRI DR ANTHONY FRANCIS FERNANDES | Disposal of shares |
| 24/07/2015 | DATUK KAMARUDIN BIN MERANUN | Disposal of shares |
REASON NO. 3
Airasia benefited from cheap fuel. Now Crude Oil is moving near to US$50 a barrel. So the advantage is slowly being erased.
REASON NO. 4
Airplanes involve Very High Expenses. As soon as the new batch of planes arrive they start depreciating by the day. In the 2016 Berkshire Hathaway Meeting Warren Buffet touted the virtue of businesses generating regular profit with little outlay of capital. Airline is not one of them. SEE's CANDY & GEIKO INSURANCE Qualify due to their low cost of capital.
REASON NO. 5
Airasia has high debt due to heavy borrowings. So time to raise more fund. With high debt Company must be always on its tip toe to generate even more and more revenue. There is no moat or margin of safety as it Must Compete on Cost (Low Cost). Now 8 low cost airlines are in the fray. Making competition more crowded and stressful.
REASON NO. 6
For this cause there will be both metal fatigue due to more wear and tear due to the very frequent use of planes. This also create stress for the pilots. So accident do happen. Making these airlines high risk undertakings. Once a plane crashes share price will nose dive. When 2 planes crashed into New York Twin Towers in Sept Eleven even Singapore Airline shares crashed by 50%
REASON NO. 7
Both Airasia & AAX shares are now up more than 100% from its lows. So Calvin Tan Research now call for a strong sell.
Regards,
Calvin Tan
Republic of Singapore
Related Stocks
| Chart | Stock Name | Last | Change | Volume |
|---|
More articles on THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN
CALVIN TAN SAY, THANK YOU 9 MILLION TIMES FOR 9 MILLION PAGE VIEWS IN i3 INVESTORS' FORUM!
Created by calvintaneng | May 10, 2024
TSH RESOURCES (9059) The Events Yet Ahead. And They are Extremely Exciting, Calvin Tan
Created by calvintaneng | May 04, 2024
MKHOP (5139) What Is Its Current Forward P/E and Intrinsic Value, Calvin Tan
Created by calvintaneng | May 02, 2024
Discussions
2 people like this. Showing 50 of 147 comments
20. thick faced
21. shameless (figured out)
22. jobless (so free to read last posting date for past year)
2016-05-17 18:56
HighlightsExtended trade settlement of up to T+7. Check out the M+ T+7 Contra account. "Expand your profit opportunity."
0
THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN
Author: calvintaneng | Latest post: Mon, 16 May 2016, 11:15 PM | >> Go to Blog Dashboard
Hi Guys,
I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.
Blog Headlines (by Date) Blog Index
What is the Definition of SYNDICATE? Are they found in Bursa? Why YOU Should Avoid Them? (Calvin Tan
Author: calvintaneng | Publish date: Sat, 7 May 2016, 10:35 AM
Definition of syndicate in English:
syndicate
NOUN
A syndicate is a self-organizing group of individuals, companies, corporations or entities formed to transact some specific business, to pursue or promote a shared interest. In most cases formed groups aim to scale up their profits. Although there are many legal syndicates formed around the world, the usage of the term "the syndicate" in colloquial English often refers to one involved in illegal activities.[citation needed]
syndicate
noun
ˈsɪndɪkət/
1.
a group of individuals or organizations combined to promote a common interest.
"large-scale buyouts involving a syndicate of financial institutions"
2.
a committee of syndics.
Exerpts from Conversation with Charlie By Dr Neoh Soon Kean:
That turned out to be a rather long story. Let me explain it quickly before continuing with Charlie's story.
The loser's game.
Dr. Ramo noticed over a period of observing the game, that tennis is actually two different games. One type of tennis game is played by the professionals and very few gifted amateurs while the other type is played by all the rest of us.
Professional tennis is therefore a winner's game while amateur tennis is a loser's game. A professional wins because he is better than his opponent. An amateur, if he wants to win consistently, best plays a highly defensive game and lets his opponent attempt to make all the winning shots. This for sure he will not be able to do because he is an amateur. The opponent will always end up killing himself and handing over the game to you. This may be a very dull strategy but it works precisely because amateur tennis is a loser's game.
"Let us face it. It is a real jungle out there. How much chance do you think a small guy like me has against the big guys? Of course, one cannot prove it but there are syndicates with tens of millions of dollars to play the market, insiders with top secret news, investors who are in cahort with brokers and big boys who can eat you for breakfast without thinking. You must be a fool to think that you can win playing their game. What is the use of hot tips you get from your brokers? Do you think he passes them to you first? What is the use of chasing a stock after a bonus issue is announced? The smart guys would have bought it before the rumours had even started. Let's face it, in this game, we are as much losers as if I were to face Borg or McEnroe in a game of tennis"'
We only play where and when the big boys are not playing. We play on our terms, not theirs. Fortunately for all of us losers, there are some aspects of the market that are still in our favour.
First, big boys cannot play all the time. They can get into financial difficulties too. During a recession, even big boys face liquidity problems as well as other operational problems. They are only at the busiest when the market is nearly at the top and when there are lots of lambs for the slaughter.
Secondly, there are quite a few solid blue chip companies that are not so prone to speculation and insider activities. These we can buy with little fear of violent price movements or drastic changes in earnings.
Thirdly, the market is big enough and getting bigger all the time, such that there are always some market laggards that we can pick up at a low price.
Calvin comments:
To make money by Joining Syndictaed Stocks by Big Boys in Cahoot with Brokers & the Media is like
1) SWIMMING AND FEEDING WITH GREAT WHITE SHARKS.
How Many kena eaten
2) FORAGING FOR FOOD NEAR THE MOUTH OF ACTIVE VOLCANO
This volcano can erupt anytime and engulf careless victims
3) STEALING FOOD FROM LION KILLS
How many got killed by Lions instead.
So Next Time Better Stay Far Far Away!
Calvin comments:
I have warned about syndicated play on Sumatech (Sumatran Techno Tiger)
Also warned about IFCA -
If
Fall
C (Hokkien for "Die")
Argh!!
2016-05-17 19:00
23. full of hatred
24. revengeful
Calvin life is miserable! The lis is non-exhaustive!
2016-05-17 19:01
its called the i3 index ...very chun one.
everyone in i3 talk like that....AA will correct tomorrow.
2016-05-17 19:02
25. spammer (related to jobless)
26. lonely
27. attention seeker
28. drama king
Seriously, is life worth living?
2016-05-17 19:05
Haha!
Last time I warned about the pirate ship RegainCapitalChoco Passenger Ship.
Never listen to warning
The Entire Ship Sunk for over one year already!
Regain capital, Chocolate Ship passengers
Posted by hepitrade at Jan 2, 2014 06:04 PM | Report Abuse
What say you, bro & sis ?
Like Social Forum Comment
33 people like this.
Showing 10 of 26764 comments. Show more comments
NicholasNWH90 Newman u are back! Hahaha. Welcome welcome.
13/04/2015 12:54
See the last post was dated
13/4/2015
2016-05-17 19:09
Posted by iiinvestsmart > May 17, 2016 01:52 PM | Report Abuse
Our dear Calvin desperately seeking attention either good or bad to fill up his time. i3 has inevitably being Calvin's one and only meaning of existence - repercussion of the lack of real socialisation.
100% agree on above statement. A wasted life, sad!
2016-05-17 19:18
Calvin recommended MP Corp.
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5094509
2016-05-17 19:24
Calvin Tan, hopeless jobless story teller from Singapore. Product of little island with problematic egoistic little brain, if he has one
2016-05-17 19:26
Law of karma. Calvin reaps the result of his past action, a lonely life void of purpose and social connection. What is life? A food for thought!
2016-05-17 19:36
Warren Buffet says he won't donate a penny if he has vested interest,what a gentleman!
2016-05-17 20:06
CalvinTan kuat promoted PMCORP and propelled it fm 0.29 to 0.32rm then its share price down hover between 0.28-0.29rm. the capital return 8sen. Mungkin CalvinTan mau bikin itu Airasia punya saham jatuh harga then pungut murah? lu paham ke apa gua cakap? CalvinTan dari negara jiran...lu ban ban tan la...pundek...
2016-05-17 21:18
HAHAHA! As I expected after seeing the title of this post. Sure to receive a lot of abuse and obscenities from traders. Especially those with heavy positions in AirAsia or AAX.
Maybe Calvin is proven right over the coming weeks. After all, give any prediction enough time and it will likely come to pass. But for now I'd stick to the technical readings. These are clearly positive. There might be profit-taking today. But as long as it stays above the immediate support, it will be a while yet. Traders should know what to do when that happens.
2016-05-18 00:38
I3investor famous tin kosong
1. Calvin Tan shame of Singapore
2. Stockmanmy former Desa20201956
3. Optimusprime aka Talkcock king, bottom winner for stock pick 2015
2016-05-18 00:49
As long, Tony Fernandes is in charge of airasia/aax, I am very certain airasia will be moving forward……
Not even value alliance can destroy and stumble the airasia brand name….
“Now everyone can make money” with airasia…….of course, buy low, sell high…
basic value investing principles…
2016-05-18 12:50
Tony cakap: “sekarang semua boleh terbang bersama airasia”…
"Now everyone can fly with Airasia”…. Aku gerenti support punya airasia.... tak macam MAS selalu bagi orang susah… government kroni control sana sini sampai MAS jadi bankrupt….MAS hampir jadi muflis kerana gara-gara pengurusan tak betul……
Value alliance nak challenge Airasia??? No way… airasia adalah nadi utama pengakutan udara di Malaysia dan tunjang utama kemasyhuran budget airline di asia tenggara…..
2016-05-18 13:14
Loom at EasyJet just filled 35 million pound loss what gos up can come down
2016-05-18 13:33
nobody likes to lose money. Many traders claim to have the magical formula (fool proof) method in stock picking, commodities play, currencies or index trading using myrial methods.
Technical, fundamental, charts, computer program you name it they have it in the markets. No method is 100% assured whether you look at the charts, candle stick, reports, volume, MACD or Bank recommendation.
Long term, short term, intra day, contra or whatever be it margin or hedge trading. the result you win some and you lose some. the only way out is minimize your losses and let your profit runs.
saying is easy. Looks at Baring bros, Lehman , Citigroup, ING, Temasek holding. they have the deep pockets, means , technology, brains yet they incur hugh losses during times of uncertainties.
which tell us investment risk is always high if play big. always tell people play within your means. without offening anyone please avoid selling your house or sell whatever things you have in mind and punt BIG. Happy trading
2016-05-18 13:49
When the stock price at lower level, we have the margin of safety. When it goes up, we don’t know the outcomes…...
So don’t chased hot hot stocks at the very peak = total loss and bankruptcies…
Basic principles: never lose your capital….
2016-05-18 13:58
don't chase too high especially AAX-WA!
But i am comfortably holding AAX and Air Asia =D
My entry price was low!
The quarter should speak for the stock itself!
2016-05-18 14:05
Calvin write today instead of yesterday, not so many bombs.
One day too early
2016-05-18 14:28
retarded article, even I dont keep airasia stock, i think this article is crap especially no. 6, no empirical evidence at all. Period.
2016-05-18 14:41
8 in 1 for Asia Pacific Vs Airasia. I dont think its a easy task. AA still can fight and do better than them
2016-05-18 15:10
what are you mumbling about calvin ? Reason number 6 is silly. I hold aax and making a healthy profit and this qr is expected to be good. Your report for airasia is not even comprehensive.
2016-05-18 16:04
07 Apr
Aviation Metal Fatigue: What You Should Know Now
If you’ve ever taken a paper clip and bent it back and forth until it breaks, you know at least a little something about aviation metal fatigue. It’s the cyclical application of pressure on the metal of the paper clip that eventually causes it to snap. The same can happen with aircraft.
Aviation metal fatigue describes the effect of cyclical pressure and stress on metal parts. It’s particularly dangerous for aircraft since much of the aviation today involves at least 1-2 human lives on board in addition to any cargo. When a plane can’t handle the repeated pressure of loading and unloading, crashes are a huge possibility.
In fact, recent cases prove what engineers learned long ago – aircraft metal can only handle so much loading and unloading. The exact number of cyclical loads an aircraft can accommodate can be pinpointed with scientific precision.
Testing to Determine Metal Fatigue Levels
It’s has not always been possible to determine exactly how long it takes before metal fatigue can cause dangerous damage to an aircraft. However, recent science and engineering has developed a tried and true method.
The first step involves determining a set parameter by which to assess maximum breaking point for a certain type of metal or aircraft. The parameter, called the Limit of Validity, or LOV, sets the standard for metal fatigue test evidence.
According to the Federal Aviation Administration, the LOV can be defined as “the period of time (in flight cycles, flight hours, or both) up to which it has been demonstrated by test evidence, analysis and, if available, service experience and teardown inspections, that widespread fatigue damage will not occur in the airplane structure.”
Basically, the LOV is a measure of the amount of time a particular aircraft has before widespread metal fatigue becomes an issue. It’s a pretty important measure for several reasons.
One is that metal fatigue can be extremely hard to detect without knowing the LOV. Also, the onset of widespread metal fatigue as tiny cracks around screws and other aircraft parts can sometimes happen so rapidly that it can’t be stopped in time to prevent dangerous crashes and accidents.
Aircraft Metal Fatigue and Dangerous Crashes
Crashes attributed to widespread metal fatigue have happened as recently as the 1980’s. These days, the FAA requires aircraft carriers to take a number of additional precautions in order to prevent widespread metal fatigue, especially with older planes. In fact, the FAA requires retirement of an aircraft once limitations containing the LOV have been reached.
One of the most well-known aircraft accidents to occur due to widespread metal fatigue happened in 1988. The flight became so legendary that it was picked up by producers and turned into a TV film in the 1990’s called Miracle Landing.
The inter-island flight, Aloha Airlines Flight 243, took a roundtrip course from Hilo to Honolulu, Hawaii. Everything about the trip began as normal, but along the way, the rapid growth of widespread metal fatigue cracks caused a portion of the roof to come completely off the aircraft.
Miraculously, the pilot was able to successfully land the aircraft at the nearest site, an airport in Maui.
2016-05-18 17:31
have u heard Preventive Maintenance? Crap is crap calvin. Ageing assets if managed prudently still can be profitable.
Just consider I am "amazed" reading those kopipes random internet article you have posted above.
2016-05-19 21:41
Posted by anticonman > May 22, 2016 04:54 PM | Report Abuse
Jealousy-best described word for this blog.
Calvin replies,
What is wrong with your attitude?
Jealousy? Far from it.
The same thing was said about me when I warned those in sumatech & ifca. SEE. Finally I am proven correct. All those failed to take heed to my warnings have lost from 70% to 80% of their capital. For those who bought with margin already bankrupt by now.
2016-05-22 17:12
when its 100 against 1
its called overbought.
Those who want to buy already bought already, all waiting to sell to the next i.diot.
2016-05-22 17:44
when its 100 against 2
(Calvin and Me )
its called overbought.
Those who want to buy already bought already, all waiting to sell to the next i.diot.
disclaimer...I still got Air Asia c31)
2016-05-23 13:43
very pro article... can work in investment firm liao...
Do calvin recommend to buy aax & airasia when it is at low price?
Just wondering will it too late to sell after the incoming quarter report?
2016-05-23 23:34
calvinholang
1 post
Posted by calvinholang > Sep 17, 2016 10:46 PM | Report Abuse
Where is Calvin flashing now?
Hahaha!
Some coward is hiding in fake ID!
Listen! Listen! Listen!
When I warned about IFCA at Rm1.30 Ifca still shoot up to Rm1.80
So what?
It is like telling someone not to jump from the 13th floor. So he climbed up and up in defiance?
So?
So he jumped from the 18th floor and die faster!
Those who chased IFCA at Rm1.80 are now stuck below 50 cts! How pitiful
So will all those who chased Airasia to their detriment!!
Cathay Pacific & even SIA are now suffering from collapsing profits.
It is a matter of time this high flying balloon follows them
2016-09-17 22:52
the author calvin is stupid beyond imagination. listed reasons were conjured up from a shallow brain. the article alone is an insult to public. "rubbish goes into head and garbage come out from head" aptly applied to calvin.
2017-05-15 10:27
Post a Comment
Featured Posts
Don't Miss Out: Up to USD1,000 in Our Lucky Draw!
Apps
Top Articles
1
save malaysia!
Malaysia set to become hub for AI development and innovation
2
3
CEO Morning Brief
5
6
7
#
Stock
Score
Daily Stocks
Stock Name
Last
Change
Volume
Stock Name
Last
Change
Volume
Stock Name
Last
Change
Volume
Featured Advertisers / Partners
Ride The Bull Short The Bear
CS Tan
4.9 / 5.0
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
calvintaneng
Posted by calvintaneng > Aug 12, 2015 02:07 PM | Report Abuse X
nomanland is clever.
Now still cannot buy ifca yet.
When 99% of the people is bullish Ifca was Rm1.87.
That was the time to sell to over exuberant sor chai.
After 99% of People say ifca die and given up then only can start buying.
By then will ifca crash below 50 cents?
Or below 30 cents?
Or even back to 7 cents?
Hmmm?
Let's wait and see.
2016-05-17 18:51