probability

Probability | Joined since 2014-03-18

Investing Experience Not Disclosed
Risk Profile Moderate

Probability is a measure of 'likeliness' that an event will occur - there are no 100% certainty.

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News & Blogs

2020-01-27 22:13 | Report Abuse

The video below explains why WHO never declared it as an emergency:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q9E1iwUn_d8

simply because it does not spread internationally

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2020-01-27 19:37 | Report Abuse

Condom stocks will limit up!

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2020-01-27 19:37 | Report Abuse

there is an underlying hidden message being transmitted....

those who are functioning at the right frequency...may able to tune into it

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2020-01-27 19:00 | Report Abuse

may need double layered condoms for extra protection from coronavirus

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2020-01-27 18:56 | Report Abuse

Gloves they may buy only one time...

Condoms will be everyday.....

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2020-01-27 18:54 | Report Abuse

Why waste time here on gloves stock?

Condom stocks will limit up...

40 Million chinese locked-down can only make love everyday at home.

Condom is a must for protection against coronovirus!

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2020-01-27 18:54 | Report Abuse

Why waste time here on gloves stock?

Condom stocks will limit up...

40 Million chinese locked-down can only make love everyday at home.

Condom is a must for protection against coronovirus!

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 18:52 | Report Abuse

Condom stock limit up!

40 Million population make-love triple the rate before...only form of exercise/work at home!

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 18:50 | Report Abuse

China people locked-down in house...can only make love!

Condom stocks limit up!

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2020-01-27 18:48 | Report Abuse

Karex limit up tomorrow! Coronavirus protection!

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2020-01-27 15:40 | Report Abuse

exactly buy only you believe sincerely that it is fundamentals that had pushed the price from 1.30 to 1.60...within just 3 days

and that the virus issue is merely a coincidence...

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2020-01-27 15:25 | Report Abuse

in fact chances of death from Wuhan virus after infection is only 2.6%...malaria is 20%...

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2020-01-27 15:06 | Report Abuse

In fact 95% chances are you wont die if you get infected in Wuhan...(statistics says that)

but the odds of surviving on supermax for the next 20 days is very much lower...95% chances certain death..LOL!

Posted by Tedinvestor > Jan 27, 2020 3:01 PM | Report Abuse

You have to get infected in order get immune? I suggest everyone start travelling to Wuhan. Hahaha

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2020-01-27 15:01 |

Post removed.Why?

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2020-01-27 14:15 | Report Abuse

Buying gloves stock is equivalent to "call warrants" expiring in 20 days.

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/regional/2020/01/27/expert-believes-china039s-control-measures-on-wuhan-virus-will-take-effect-in-20-days

BEIJING (Xinhua): Momentum of the Wuhan virus epidemic outbreak may decline in 20 days based on the current prevention and control measures of pneumonia caused by the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), a leading virologist said on Sunday (Jan 26).

The increase in confirmed cases recently resulted from people infected with the virus about 20 days ago,
...............................

said Wen Yumei, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, adding that the current measures are expected to prevent future infection.

The human body will gradually become immune to the microorganism, which may drive an end to the epidemic, said Wen, who is also a professor at a key lab on medical molecular virology in Shanghai.

Noting most patients that are in critical condition have other existing diseases with immune system disorders, Wen said the public does not need to panic, as a large number of those infected will recover with the help of their immune system.

However, effective self-protection measures like wearing masks are needed, as the epidemic is infectious without typical symptoms during the incubation period, said Cao Wei, deputy director with the infection department at the Peking Union Medical College Hospital. -Xinhua

Stock

2020-01-27 14:14 | Report Abuse

Buying gloves stock is equivalent to "call warrants" expiring in 20 days.

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/regional/2020/01/27/expert-believes-china039s-control-measures-on-wuhan-virus-will-take-effect-in-20-days

BEIJING (Xinhua): Momentum of the Wuhan virus epidemic outbreak may decline in 20 days based on the current prevention and control measures of pneumonia caused by the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), a leading virologist said on Sunday (Jan 26).

The increase in confirmed cases recently resulted from people infected with the virus about 20 days ago,
...............................

said Wen Yumei, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, adding that the current measures are expected to prevent future infection.

The human body will gradually become immune to the microorganism, which may drive an end to the epidemic, said Wen, who is also a professor at a key lab on medical molecular virology in Shanghai.

Noting most patients that are in critical condition have other existing diseases with immune system disorders, Wen said the public does not need to panic, as a large number of those infected will recover with the help of their immune system.

However, effective self-protection measures like wearing masks are needed, as the epidemic is infectious without typical symptoms during the incubation period, said Cao Wei, deputy director with the infection department at the Peking Union Medical College Hospital. -Xinhua

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 14:11 | Report Abuse

Expert believes China's control measures on Wuhan virus will take effect in 20 days

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/regional/2020/01/27/expert-believes-china039s-control-measures-on-wuhan-virus-will-take-effect-in-20-days


BEIJING (Xinhua): Momentum of the Wuhan virus epidemic outbreak may decline in 20 days based on the current prevention and control measures of pneumonia caused by the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), a leading virologist said on Sunday (Jan 26).

The increase in confirmed cases recently resulted from people infected with the virus about 20 days ago,
...............................

said Wen Yumei, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, adding that the current measures are expected to prevent future infection.

The human body will gradually become immune to the microorganism, which may drive an end to the epidemic, said Wen, who is also a professor at a key lab on medical molecular virology in Shanghai.

Noting most patients that are in critical condition have other existing diseases with immune system disorders, Wen said the public does not need to panic, as a large number of those infected will recover with the help of their immune system.

However, effective self-protection measures like wearing masks are needed, as the epidemic is infectious without typical symptoms during the incubation period, said Cao Wei, deputy director with the infection department at the Peking Union Medical College Hospital. -Xinhua

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 13:58 | Report Abuse

China detects large quantity of novel coronavirus at Wuhan seafood market

http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-01/27/c_138735677.htm

the above means, most of the living and non living food sold at the market already got contaminated ...and had been consumed by the wuhan residents for quite some time...even storing in their fridge...

these consumers itself can easily reach thousands...

this explains the unusually large victims in wuhan and most importantly...it means

"the virus needs close contact for infecting human"

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 11:13 | Report Abuse

yup, so far all patients reported internationally had directly been in wuhan earlier....

it as though...the virus has a territory in wuhan only...may be it requires an ideal specific temperature during spreading...which wuhan was able to provide

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 10:40 | Report Abuse

these people who are patients in overseas obviously travelled for many hours in confined planes with other nationalities.....and yet there were no cases of other nationality getting infected.

this means the virus requires are much closer contact....as good as being close relatives to get infected

News & Blogs

2020-01-27 01:39 | Report Abuse

there has not been any spreading to the locals in foreign country so far...that's a little reassuring

News & Blogs

2020-01-25 12:20 | Report Abuse

That team hopes to make an RNA vaccine based on one of the crown-like spikes on the surface of the coronavirus that gives the family of viruses their name, an approach that, unlike many vaccines, would not expose people to the virus.

At the University of Queensland in Australia, scientists backed by the global health emergency group the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI) said they are working on what they describe as a "molecular clamp" vaccine approach.

The technology adds a gene to viral proteins to stabilise them and trick the body into thinking it is seeing a live virus and create antibodies against it

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2020-01-24 00:50 | Report Abuse

and it cannot infect children....mainly only the elderly with weak immune system...


after 1 month less than 20 deaths only

vaccine is easily produceable within 3 months

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2020-01-24 00:48 | Report Abuse

and it cannot infect childrens....mainly only the elderly with weak immune system...

vaccine is easily produceable
.............................

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2020-01-24 00:33 | Report Abuse

for it to mutate..it has to spread from one person to another and again....a few times...

evolution takes place not just in 1 or 2 generation via random mutations...but thousands of generations...

not that fast

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2020-01-24 00:26 | Report Abuse

it was first reported on 31 st dec....now its almost a MONTH AFTER and death toll is less than 20

another 3 MONTHS max toll could only be 100 or 200

that lesser than the Iranian plane crash victims
...................

and note: The vaccine can be found even earlier than 3 months!

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2020-01-23 23:47 | Report Abuse

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/01/23/coronavirus-wuhan-china-quarantine-vaccine/4551112002/

Americans face little risk from the deadly new coronavirus spreading across China and a vaccine could be ready for human testing within three months, the nation's leading expert on infectious disease says.

"We don't want the American public to be worried about this because their risk is low," Fauci said. "On the other hand, we are taking this very seriously and are dealing very closely with Chinese authorities."

.........

3 MONTHS ONLY??

looks like we dont need to worry at all...

all GLOVES stock will COLLAPSE back to square one by Tuesday!

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2020-01-23 23:46 | Report Abuse

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/01/23/coronavirus-wuhan-china-quarantine-vaccine/4551112002/

Americans face little risk from the deadly new coronavirus spreading across China and a vaccine could be ready for human testing within three months, the nation's leading expert on infectious disease says.

"We don't want the American public to be worried about this because their risk is low," Fauci said. "On the other hand, we are taking this very seriously and are dealing very closely with Chinese authorities."

.........

3 MONTHS ONLY??

looks like we dont need to worry at all...

all GLOVES stock will COLLAPSE back to square one by Tuesday!

Stock

2020-01-23 23:46 | Report Abuse

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/01/23/coronavirus-wuhan-china-quarantine-vaccine/4551112002/

Americans face little risk from the deadly new coronavirus spreading across China and a vaccine could be ready for human testing within three months, the nation's leading expert on infectious disease says.

"We don't want the American public to be worried about this because their risk is low," Fauci said. "On the other hand, we are taking this very seriously and are dealing very closely with Chinese authorities."

.........

3 MONTHS ONLY??

looks like we dont need to worry at all...

all GLOVES stock will COLLAPSE back to square on by Tuesday!

News & Blogs

2020-01-22 20:19 | Report Abuse

Isnt she doing the same thing that she had accused Ramkarpal?

Is Mahathir such a team player to be approached for discussion?

He is a DICTATOR.

Ramkarpal didnt have a choice...did he?

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2020-01-22 15:28 | Report Abuse

PRESS RELEASES

Monetary Policy Statement
Ref No : 01/20/03 22 Jan 2020

http://www.bnm.gov.my/index.php?ch=en_press&pg=en_press&ac=4980&lang=en

At its meeting today, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Bank Negara Malaysia decided to reduce the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) to 2.75 percent. The ceiling and floor rates of the corridor of the OPR are correspondingly reduced to 3.00 percent and 2.50 percent, respectively.

The global economy continues to expand at a moderate pace. Latest indicators and the recent dissipation of trade tensions point to improving global trade activity. Monetary easing across major economies in the second half of 2019 has helped ease financial conditions, and is expected to continue to support economic activity. However, downside risks remain due to geopolitical tensions and policy uncertainties in a number of countries. This could cause a resurgence of financial market volatility and weigh on the global growth outlook.

For the Malaysian economy, latest indicators and supply disruptions in commodity-related sectors point to moderate expansion of economic activity in the fourth quarter. For 2019, growth will be within the projected range. For 2020, growth is expected to gradually improve, with continued support from household spending and better export performance. Overall investment activity is expected to record a modest recovery, underpinned by ongoing and new projects, both in the public and private sectors. However, downside risks to growth remain. These include uncertainty from various trade negotiations, geopolitical risks, weaker-than-expected growth of major trade partners, heightened volatility in financial markets, and domestic factors that include weakness in commodity-related sectors and delays in the implementation of projects.

Headline inflation averaged at 0.7% in 2019. In 2020, headline inflation is expected to average higher but remain modest. The trajectory of headline inflation will be dependent on global oil and commodity price developments and the timing of the lifting of the domestic retail fuel price ceilings. Underlying inflation is expected to remain broadly stable, reflecting the continued expansion in economic activity and the absence of strong demand pressures.

The adjustment to the OPR is a pre-emptive measure to secure the improving growth trajectory amid price stability. At this current level of the OPR, the MPC considers the stance of monetary policy to be appropriate in sustaining economic growth with price stability.

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2020-01-22 15:26 | Report Abuse

Malaysia Unexpectedly Cuts Policy Rate in ‘Pre-Emptive Measure’

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/malaysia-unexpectedly-cuts-policy-rate-070110419.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAABVMOr6inp2k9eUNDTe_b8QhunK1mgagZ0Rs1JOOgj4RKtjbMZAMZ6nsYC-W6r2Xp2C6EZ9oelgj95AaJfOS7VbrU4i6Uh0o7YD8vsR6jLyTLZgDigRPxe2_jw70znBP8fmB7YZiWVxcJlyUaX3W63bJpjrPeZPW4bES3KWhrjUs

Bank Negara Malaysia reduced the overnight policy rate to 2.75%, a 25 basis-point cut predicted by just two of the 26 economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The rest forecast no change.

..................

Jaks 25 years recurring income...almost risk free

The above news should give a boost to such low risk recurring earnings from overseas.

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2020-01-22 11:13 | Report Abuse

Uncle Koon did STEAM BLOW test here today.....about to generate lots of power i guess.

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2020-01-22 01:19 | Report Abuse

fuel cost pass-through mechanism

only cost would be Operation & Maintenance i suppose

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2020-01-21 22:56 | Report Abuse

let us feel the energy and contain it within:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iDcEnSkrBlU

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2020-01-21 22:46 | Report Abuse

Oh just saw...that super fantastic news DK66!
Thanks for sharing...

real CNY firecracker is at the Hai Duong power plant!!

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2020-01-20 23:11 | Report Abuse

walao eh...with 4 years contract this much power..imagine what 25 years BOT contract can do?

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2020-01-20 22:15 | Report Abuse

Pharmaceutical stocks spike after China reports new coronavirus cases

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/01/19/investing/asian-market-latest/index.html

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2020-01-19 22:07 | Report Abuse

at 7238 hrs , which is 82% of the 8760 hrs available in a year, IRR would hit 16%

its a 25 years USD cash flow

Posted by human > Jan 19, 2020 6:10 PM | Report Abuse

6500 hours is the government guarantee mechanism used to calculate for power sales post both unit 2 operational, whether the actual power output meet this number or not the government will pay this "minimum" amount. During AGM the project manager confirm this.
Actual power sales can be higher if the plant more efficient or there are more demand.

Watchlist

2020-01-18 12:42 | Report Abuse

no pjseow, i bought only after seeing your recommendations

since i was heavy in Jaks, my 2020 return is at 6% now

Stock

2020-01-18 11:48 | Report Abuse

the volume of shares changing hands last 2 months is unprecedented..never in last 10 years.

its very likely 'ini kalilah'!...

coal cost is too cheap to ignore


Posted by Alfonso > Jan 17, 2020 4:28 PM | Report Abuse

ini kali lah

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2020-01-18 11:38 | Report Abuse

Mudajaya sees ray of hope in turning around

March 11, 2019

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/mudajaya-sees-ray-hope-turning-around

“The outstanding challenges that remain will be to secure a PPA (power purchase agreement) for Unit IV and its associated working capital,” said Wong.

He expects further share of losses in the next two financial quarters in the Indian operation. The losses are mainly from depreciation and interest cost of the completed units but have yet to commence power sales.

“Notwithstanding this, we remain confident that the IPP project in India will generate positive results once power sales from all four units commence in the near future,” he said.


.........................

3 financial qtrs had passed now from above date..

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2020-01-18 11:09 | Report Abuse

(Icon) Mudajaya (2) - With Multiple Assets Maturing, Risk Is On The Upside

Author: Icon8888 | Publish date: Mon, 28 Dec 2015

http://icon8888.blogspot.com/2015/12/mudajaya-2.html

Now, we are finally seeing light at the end of the tunnel. But exactly how much profit can we expect from the IPP project ?

According to an article dated 3 March 2014 in The Star, Mudajaya's CEO expected the IPP project to contribute approximately RM70 mil to Group profit. Was he referring to EBITDA, PBT or net profit ? If I am not wrong, according to accounting standard, associate contribution is booked in at Net Profit level. As such, it is likely that the RM70 mil is referring to net profit (Accountants please chip in here).


However, there is still one loose end to be tied up. Over the past 18 months, currencies have been on a roller coaster ride. How would that affect the IPP project's contribution to Mudajaya ? The 3 March 2014 article shedded some light on this issue as well.


First of all, let's have a feel of the movement of Rupee vs Ringgit. When James Wong mentioned that Rupee was weak, it was back in March 2014. During that time, one Rupee can get you 0.053805 Ringgit.


However, in 2015, Ringgit has depreciated substantially against the Rupee (Malaysia is a net oil exporter while India is a net oil importer). As at 24 December 2015, one Rupee can buy 0.064287 Ringgit, 19% more.


There is one more hurdle to clear. India does not have a strong power equipment manufacturing industry. As such, it is likely that the IPP needs to import the equipment and parts. We have all known by now that if you import anything, you need to pay US Dollars. Bearing in mind that the Rupee has depreciated against the US Dollars, how much USD debt does the IPP have ? Will all the advantge gained from strengthening of Rupee vs Ringgit be offset by the Rupee vs USD depreciation ?

Luckily, according to the 3 March 2014 article, both the IPP's revenue and debt are denominated in Rupee.

It seemed that we have a winner - no USD adverse impact, but strong Rupee will boost profit contribution to Mudajaya. Nice.


...................

The reason management forecasted RM 100 Million is likely due to the exchange rate movement and higher tariff in India currently as explained on my postings above

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2020-01-17 23:42 | Report Abuse

its always very soothing to read pjseow postings

love the word 'equanimity'

Posted by pjseow > Jan 17, 2020 3:03 PM | Report Abuse

While many are enjoying the joys of making profits, many could be feeling sad for missing the boat or even.lose money because of wrong judgements , let me share.with you the 4 states of mind a.buddist should.possess. There are metta , karuna, mudita and upekka . Metta is loving kindness. DK 66 ,OTB and many.others has shared their research work freely without.any condition . These are the expression.of metta. For those who lost money or miss the boat, we should.feel.karuna .or sympathy for them . For those who are joyful in making profits, we.should feel joyful or mudita for their well beings. For those who attack us with nasty remarks , we should.feel upekka or equainimity 。Equanimity means neutrality, tranquility, peaceful , no anger, no jealousy, no hatred , no sadness. Among.the.four states of.mind.,.Upekka is the most difficult to practise.

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2020-01-17 22:37 | Report Abuse

you want me to promote when its 0.51 or when its 1.50?

timing of stock selection matters...

Jaks was 0.5 too just a few months back

what more when Mudajaya power plant is 100% completed and just waiting to sell

Stock

2020-01-17 21:50 | Report Abuse

4 more units of 360MW at 4 times cheaper price means...

SIXTEEN(16) × MORE ATTRACTIVE NOW!

compared to when Koon promoted on 2014 much ahead of completion

Its purely waiting to sell the electricity now..

Watchlist

2020-01-17 20:14 | Report Abuse

I have a small plantation...so if the palm oil price sustains, its good news to me too..he he

Watchlist

2020-01-17 20:12 | Report Abuse

i bought MFCB quite a lot and small qty on Dpharma (after price went up)

MKH...no buy...as the price went up too fast from 1.20...as i am not too sure palm oil price is sustainable above RM 3000

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2020-01-17 19:38 | Report Abuse

Further,

From 2013 to 2020, the wholesale price index of electricity in India went up from 102 to 115, by 13%:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/685948/wholesale-price-index-of-electricity-india/

During the same period, the exchange rate from Indian Rupees to MYR went up from 0.052 to 0.057, by 10%

https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=INR&to=MYR&view=10Y

.............

The above means Electricity price in India went up by 25% in terms of RM during the last 7 years