our generation, we use to save every bit of money then finally after 10 years can afford cheap house. In the meantime we buy the cheapest proton saga for transport
See how many flippers with Teh Kim Swee sank to bottom of ocean without return. You can also foresee how many will be going down with LGE P2P home financing, which could be even worse than PRS introduced by previous administration.
nowadays i see a lot of youngsters whining about high property prices, but they can afford to buy Toyota Vios or Honda City as their first car. WTF! They rather use their saving to buy car than save up to buy property.
Posted by ks55 > Nov 4, 2018 04:03 PM | Report Abuse X
I was expecting LGE with the help of Cambridge Tony Puah will address critically and objectively to the problem of property (housing) overhung, but I was wrong.
They are barking at wrong tree. Instead of addressing root problem, they choose to dampen property market further. If property prices fall below the mortgage, loan become negatively pledged. All banks that loan big to property developers, contractors, and property buyers sooner or later will go holland. This was how US subprime mortgage crisis got out of control when FED decided to hike interest rate, just as what they are doing now.
What I can say is LGE is not up to the mark to be Finance Minister. We don't expect him to be perfect, but we do expect him to bring in brains when preparing for national budget.
I won't be surprised if he is replaced as Finance Minister if Malaysian economy getting worse because failing to have foresight and long term vision.
頭痛医頭 脚痛医脚
Blog: Govt proposes panel to monitor cost components of houses
Oct 11, 2018 10:34 PM | Report Abuse
Can someone enlighten us how does a housing developer determine selling price of : 1. Condo 2. Terrace house 3. Low cost flat/ PR1MA
I am no expert in housing, but try to figure out composition of each component:
1. Terrace house (say 100k) 1.1 Cost of house sold (60k) 1.2 Contribution to School reserve, Field and playgroud, Police Station, Bomba, Road reserve etc (6k) -- Assuming conversion rate 65% 1.3 Contribution to Bumi Quota with 7% discount, Low cost housing and PR1MA (6k) 1.4 Road, drainage, street light and other infra (3k) 1.5 Sales and marketing (3k)
Gross Profit is 100k - 60k -6k -6k -3k -3k = 22k So, if you sell a million dollar house, gross profit is 220k
Of course, you will have to give more discount under present weak market sentiment. Some developers give up to 15% or more (Understood MK Land gives up to 20% discount). Then you will just have 7% gross profit. What about interest expenses during construction period? What about interest expenses after houses already completed but not yet sold? What about HQ expenses?
Surely looking at the numbers, most developers will be losing money, unless the land cost is low.
How to make sure houses selling cheap, and developers still make decent profit? Only way is to removed items stated in para 1.3, that will save up to 6%.
For Condo and high-rise apartment, land cost component normally take up around 15%. Only problem is the developers tend to overpay for the land. So they will have to build 30 or 40 storey high-rise. That will take them 4 years to build before they can deliver VP to buyers. In between, if sales not good, they will receive less progress payment, and paying 4 years bank interest is enough to kill fly-by-night developers like Jaks Resources. Many such developers will prefer to abandon the project like Plaza Rakyat, for they could not afford to pay LAD.
As how to reduce selling price for the high-rise, better leave it to the authority to work it out. If the authority concerned is so dumb, learn the trick from S'pore HDB......
Buyer pays 20%, Investor pays 80%, property is worth RM100k, Investor is guaranteed 5% (simple, not compounded - ie RM4000 per year)
On the 5th year, property price is exactly RM80k
Buyer loses all his 'deposit' of RM20k.
Investor does not lose anything and in fact enjoys the 'guaranteed' the 5% (gets RM100k after 5 years having paid RM80k initially and getting RM20k returns [RM4000*5 years]) while still being left with the RM80k property)
As you can see, the 'capital guarantee' is capped at 20%, more than that and the Investor will also lose (hence the disclaimer on the website)
who pays the investor the guaranteed 5%? property developer? or buyer?
Posted by valuelurker > Nov 5, 2018 11:31 AM | Report Abuse
The way it works is this:-
Buyer pays 20%, Investor pays 80%, property is worth RM100k, Investor is guaranteed 5% (simple, not compounded - ie RM4000 per year)
On the 5th year, property price is exactly RM80k
Buyer loses all his 'deposit' of RM20k.
Investor does not lose anything and in fact enjoys the 'guaranteed' the 5% (gets RM100k after 5 years having paid RM80k initially and getting RM20k returns [RM4000*5 years]) while still being left with the RM80k property)
As you can see, the 'capital guarantee' is capped at 20%, more than that and the Investor will also lose (hence the disclaimer on the website)
Depending on the final structure of the P2P financing, it will create a bubble in the property industry. Property used to be an asset for diversification and slowly accretion in value but will this P2P it will become a pure speculation. Further, nowadays with those so called sifus like Adrian Wee, Michael tan and their property stacking theory with aggressive refinancing is just matter of time the industry becoming very sick
with this platform, anybody and any amount can speculate in property market....5 years.....
genius.....
for the potential owner....he needs to borrow the 20% deposit from a bank....any bank will let u 20%.............so, anybody also can be an owner....no more such thing as not affordable.....no more instalment to pay for 5 years.....
for the potential investor....no more gearing effect on the property, but it is gearing effect that traditionally makes property speculation so lucrative ( and so damaging in bad times).....for the potential investor....no more installments to pay....
this p2p scheme is just wanna clear old stock to people lar....where got good?giv u pay deposit first...later 5 years when house value up ady...ma start pay back bank lor....where got people buy house stay 5 years wanna sell ady one? like that better rent house lar.... this developer saying house price wont drop lor....in 5 years time sure capital gain....if u sell then maybe kena capital gain taz if got then but surely kena rpgt ady....hahaha...is like a trap...haha
agreed with joekit, said the properties price increased by 20% after 5 years (5% p.a.), buyer actually offered to buy the properties that time, the buyer still need borrow from bank loan / refinance with P2P subject to t&c that time... the future purchase price and T&C (risk) is uncertain...
Scenario for study:
Year 2018 - Selling Price RM300k 20% deposit - RM60k (Paid 2018) - by own or borrow from bank Year 2023 - Selling Price RM 360k (said appeciate by 20% after 5 years)
so the buyer offered to buy at RM 360k after 5 year , (360 - 60 = 300k), the buyer still need borrow/force out RM 300k (same with 2018 price) after five years ...
if this thing is successful, it produces a better society with less gearing, less speculations, less pressure to own a house, u can rent your property and speculate /invest on other people property to participate in property market.
Unless govt give incentive like tax deduction on your income upto rm 5k pa if u invest in P to P lending....if u r high networth investor...u may give a try & punt ....to diversify your earnings source loh...!!
I have updated the scheme after studying more. Now I figure out the developers' game plan which is to give effective 20% discount (by using buyers' money) to get investors to fund the 80% for returns. Best still, they even get to participate in the first 20% capital appreciation.
So developers get to sell inventory, get cash and potential capital appreciation to recoup rebate/discount and zero downside, while investors get returns plus potential capital appreciation with limited downside (most borne by buyers). It's the buyers that get the raw deal as depreciation will hit their capital while appreciation will mean higher refinancing cost. And ultimately it depends on their eligibility of a mortgage loan in 5 years' time
Can someone gyarantee the house apreciation is greater than 20% in 5 yrs time? Since house px almost stagnant recently. If not more,than 20% apreciation, investor dun get extra bonus. Might as well put in fd
Year 2018 - Selling Price RM300k 20% deposit - RM60k (Paid 2018) - by own or borrow from bank Year 2023 - Selling Price RM 360k (said appeciate by 20% after 5 years)
so the buyer offered to buy at RM 360k after 5 year , (360 - 60 = 300k), the buyer still need borrow/force out RM 300k (same with 2018 price) after five years ...
To make it as simple as possible, I just ask you all the simple questions below.
Can anyone crowdfunding education of my kids? Assuming the percentage are the same as above.
If my kids get job, they will pay all the rest of loans.
Investors only risk burning all their money if my kids failed in their exams.
Do you get what I mean? If you will never going to crowdfunding for my kids education, what more to say, you want to crowdfunding buyers in house purchasing? The concept are exactly the same.
///Sslee>>> Dear all, This is not a house ownership schemes but a 5 year term investment. The Buyer and Investor put in 20% and 80% to FundMyHome.com. FundMyHomes will paid developer 80% and retain ownership of the house and the 20% sum for management and paying the yearly 5% to Investor for 5 year. Meanwhile Buyer can rent out the house and collect rental or stay in the house. After 5 years the house is up for resale. 1. Must appreciate by 20% for the developer to recoup his 20% and Buyer and Investor to recoup their initial investment sum. 2. Zero appreciation developer lost the 20% and Buyer and Investor to recoup their initial investment sum. 3. Minus 20%. Developer and Buyer lost the 20% but investor recoup the initial investment sum 4. Minus > 20%. Developer and Buyer lost the 20% and investor got paid only what is the house resale value. 5. Appreciate above 20%. Developer to recoup his 20% and Buyer and Investor to recoup their initial investment sum plus the surplus (the % above the 20%) in 20: 80 split.
At the end the Fundmyhome is sure to make money from the 20% sum received at the beginning of 5 years and can use this money for investment with their only liability of paying 5% interest on 80% sum to investor for 5 year.
The problems are at the end of 5 years can that house be resold? What will happen if the house cannot be resold for many years? If the first priority of the resold is to the buyer then who will determine the valuation of the house?
Thank you 05/11/2018 21:11 ///
Just look at conditions no. 1 to 5 above, do you want to invest?
Developer only lost 20% in conditions no.2, no. 3 & no. 4 & make money in condition no. 5 above.
Developer lost 20% money meh in conditions no.2, no. 3 & no. 4 ??? The answer is No. Developer never lost 20% of his shares in fundmyhouse program. Why? Bcos developer can initially increased the price by 20% before selling the house to the investor or buyer in fundmyhouse program. Developer sure win in this fund my house program. Don't be fooled by clever developer in fundmyhouse scheme.
This is like Department store increases the price of items to 20% before giving discount of 20% during promotion or cheap sales time.
If this p2p financing for Fund My Home is viable, USA & other developed countries long ago alredi implement it. Do you think Msia is more genius than USA?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
speakup
26,881 posts
Posted by speakup > 2018-11-05 10:41 | Report Abuse
our generation, we use to save every bit of money then finally after 10 years can afford cheap house. In the meantime we buy the cheapest proton saga for transport