30 August 2021 will be the last day before BAT-C3 expires.
Based on my sensitivity and scenario based analysis, so long as the mother share price be reduced to RM14.15 (with deviation plus minus 1 - 1.5%), and assuming those warrant holders who have been holding warrant at price around average of 0.210, with the exercise value of RM11 and exercise ratio of 15, at present price of RM14.02, the issuer is considered making money already from warrant holder.
Under pessimistic scenario, the price will plummet to the most RM13.94 on the last day, i.e. 30 August 2021. Not to forget, the above average price of warrant at 0.210 is set very prudently, the price might be even higher when the mother price was slightly higher than RM14.02 and before the Dividends.
Mr. Nadel Louay Salem will be on board w.e.f. 1 September 2021. Operators and Syndicates will definitely be more than happy to give him a welcoming gift by pushing up the mother share price on 1 September 2021 and maybe for 1-2 weeks temporarily. New appointment of CEO will trigger positive sentiment which in turn enhance market confidence and this will reflect in BAT share price to spike w.e.f. 1 September 2021.
I believe Mr. Nadel Louay Salem will continue to bring BAT to next level very very soon. RM20 by end of year 2021. I look forwards to seeing recovery of economy and control and containment of Covid-19 which will then speed up formalisation of regulation for Vape and E-Cigarette which is beneficial to BAT and society as a whole.
Stay Positive in BAT and Quarter 3 result should be very impressive as well!
wow, another "guru" wana be, telling people he acquired at the lowest price, "sold all" at the highest price, then "all in" in one stock, putting all eggs in one basket...how perfect... giving u a watchlist of "bluechips" during this "exciting moment"...
There is always a risk there but as long as I could manage it at a level that is acceptable by me and matches my risk appetite. Why not?
Contingent plan if the market did not go according to my plan is that I will switch my strategy from Short/Mid Term to Long Term Investment.
Intrinsic value of BAT is higher than current price of RM14.02. BAT is a blue chip counter with strong fundamental. Upon formalisation or enactment of law or regulation in Vape and E-Cigarette, I could foresee there is no issue for BAT to become a multibagger stock.
I am optimistic that BAT could go up to RM30 in 1-2 years time if I have been compelled to hold for long term.
Hopefully, everyone here could make a beautiful ROI from BAT.
Let's welcome the new CEO later by hoping that there is/are operators to push the price of BAT up.
Margin of safety is a principle of investing in which an investor only purchases securities when their market price is significantly below their intrinsic value. In other words, when the market price of a security is significantly below your estimation of its intrinsic value, the difference is the margin of safety.
You have to give atleast 95% trust to BAT Rm 22 Tp given by JPM....TopGlove today Hit 3.50. Most likely the most Heated / Contested TP in Bursa...My comment was instantly deleted the moment i mention TG JPM's TP (many, many times ..) Now it is History.....Patiently waiting for BAT's TP RM 22.....Chun-Chun one says JPM
@JJchan - Windfall Profit Levy was already implemented long ago. Rumour is about the Government might increase the rate as the CPO Market Price is increasing drastically. It has nothing to do with Ilicit Cigarette.
i would like to inform all share holders that BAT is going for on line purchase with effective today in upper North,namely ,penang ,kedah and perlis,BAT is using upper north as a trial run and set up an apps for all customers to place an order and will be delivered by third party [some thing like shopee service] all distributors had been terminated in upper north,this is popular in the west as drop in sales and rise in overhead will eventually eat into their profit,judge by yourself buy more or trim your holdings
in time to come ,bat will roll out on line purchase nationwide,i think south thailand is not the smuggling route for cigarettes as most counter brands are manufactured in vietnam,if they dont do it now ,they will suffer if another price increase and E cigarettes will come in a big way in a month's time,ten years ago ,price for a Daihatsu cigarette van costing rm 40,000. plus ,now rm 70,000 plus,ten years ago ,a cigarette van sales starting pay was about rm1500,now still paying the same,matter of time u cant get manpower,so market strategies have to be changed to adapt to the enviroment,pay third party for delivery service to save up cost,if not we all know what is the end result.
Obviously someone is trying squeeze as many shares out current situation " without Foreigner" However i see FF coming back sooner than expected bcos of Oil price. Ringgit will appreciate bcos Malaysia is Net Exporter. Funds flowing to ASEAN region will be more than expected bcos of China EverGrande debacle. Yuan will be depress with expectation More property sector will default (coming.}
My Bet is November onwards, BAT will surge with Good Results
I donT think Qwek Len Chan of HLG will stop collecting...I heard sapu anything below 15..... This is how Billionarie used money to make money....Look at MPI, without HLG pushing ----you thing MPI can reach 44.....When Qwek buys MPI at 7.50 many years back, i started collecting MPI too ( the reason given by HLG was different from current lack of IC. Anyway i made alot money too )
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....