BAT won first round patent right against Philip----Most likely this will give BAT leg up first in distributing Vap and HnB products in Malaysia too----Capture major market share First
PN government collapsed! So, basically the regulations of e-cigarettes and the enforcement of contraband cigarettes will be ignored especially no government for the time being…
More like he support Vaping just to protect his party's voting only. In year 2015, he already said Vaping will not be banned outright but simply regulated but until now still no Regulation yet.
For a year, i was hyping that illegal Cigs RM8 / packet is NOT even BAT market so while is management keep complaining like no tomolo. As i predicted, Management was sleeping when the massive shift to Vape has taken place right under their nose....CEO changed has taken place this month.---- However if Ahmad Maslan is going ahead with RM8 "legal" Cigs( now illegal selling at 8.50 ) BAT should have no problem coming out a New Brand. Just give BAT a break in Sale tax for Budget Cig ( margin is not so Good and it will Cut into KYO and Rothmans ) However the Volume is very, very Huge
Recently, I have been very busy doing several M&A projects. There are fewer opportunities for foreigner to invest in Malaysia's business after this pandemic. Earning money from M&A projects is pretty fast. So I am very very busy.
BAT is a solid counter. Do not worry so much.
Just hold this BAT for mid term like 3-6 months. Should not be an issue.
Have you seen BAT substantial shareholders' listing as of 22 Feb 2021?
Look! Number 5 Tan Yu Yeh and Number 10 Tan Yu Wei both are bosses from Mr. DIY
Why did they dump so much in BAT?
I am very very OPTIMISTIC in BAT.
I am preparing to collect more if BAT price decreased further
On top of this price fluctuation, one of the reasons is because of Call warrant BAT-C3. I have already done a sensitivity test. The recent plummet in price is very common. Do not worry.
30 August 2021 will be the last day before BAT-C3 expires.
Based on my sensitivity and scenario based analysis, so long as the mother share price be reduced to RM14.15 (with deviation plus minus 1 - 1.5%), and assuming those warrant holders who have been holding warrant at price around average of 0.210, with the exercise value of RM11 and exercise ratio of 15, at present price of RM14.02, the issuer is considered making money already from warrant holder.
Under pessimistic scenario, the price will plummet to the most RM13.94 on the last day, i.e. 30 August 2021. Not to forget, the above average price of warrant at 0.210 is set very prudently, the price might be even higher when the mother price was slightly higher than RM14.02 and before the Dividends.
Mr. Nadel Louay Salem will be on board w.e.f. 1 September 2021. Operators and Syndicates will definitely be more than happy to give him a welcoming gift by pushing up the mother share price on 1 September 2021 and maybe for 1-2 weeks temporarily. New appointment of CEO will trigger positive sentiment which in turn enhance market confidence and this will reflect in BAT share price to spike w.e.f. 1 September 2021.
I believe Mr. Nadel Louay Salem will continue to bring BAT to next level very very soon. RM20 by end of year 2021. I look forwards to seeing recovery of economy and control and containment of Covid-19 which will then speed up formalisation of regulation for Vape and E-Cigarette which is beneficial to BAT and society as a whole.
Stay Positive in BAT and Quarter 3 result should be very impressive as well!
FYI, now I am holding a lot of BAT. 100% of my fund is allocated and invested in BAT.
During early July, I acquired MBSB when its price decreased to 0.58/0.585 and I subsequently sold all on 26 August 2021 when the price rose to RM0.65/0.655. Again I put all eggs in one basket.
My journey from 1 Jan 2021 till 30 August 2021 is exciting yet rewarding. My total Return on Investment (ROI) in just 8 months during year 2021 is 36.17%.
My watch lists comprise mostly 2nd Tier stocks although also have blue chips.
1) Alliance Bank 2) CIMB Bank 3) Thong Guan 4) Cocoaland 5) Asiafile 6) MBSB 7) Tunepro 8) Muda 9) Hexza 10) BAT 11) Tongher 12) Uchitech 13) Sunway - PA - identify opportunity for Arbitrage
To me, investment and trading need to be strategised. They should not be a 1 way fit all method. My strategy has always been assessed and re-assessed to manage my investment risk according to my evaluation of value, risks and profit appetite.
Again, it depends on your own strategy and evaluation of risk, value and profit appetite. Use your own method to maximise ROI to make money is the way!
Last but not least, hope that everyone who are BAT shareholders can continue to prosper and grow together with BAT. All the best.
Disclaimer: The above is only a sharing and not to suggest any investment decision. Remember, BUY or SELL or HOLD at your own discretion and you are responsible for your own money.
wow, another "guru" wana be, telling people he acquired at the lowest price, "sold all" at the highest price, then "all in" in one stock, putting all eggs in one basket...how perfect... giving u a watchlist of "bluechips" during this "exciting moment"...
There is always a risk there but as long as I could manage it at a level that is acceptable by me and matches my risk appetite. Why not?
Contingent plan if the market did not go according to my plan is that I will switch my strategy from Short/Mid Term to Long Term Investment.
Intrinsic value of BAT is higher than current price of RM14.02. BAT is a blue chip counter with strong fundamental. Upon formalisation or enactment of law or regulation in Vape and E-Cigarette, I could foresee there is no issue for BAT to become a multibagger stock.
I am optimistic that BAT could go up to RM30 in 1-2 years time if I have been compelled to hold for long term.
Hopefully, everyone here could make a beautiful ROI from BAT.
Let's welcome the new CEO later by hoping that there is/are operators to push the price of BAT up.
I am not a guru. I am a normal person who has done due diligence on the investees and has put in place sound risk management when it comes to investment.
Still, there is a steep learning curve for me.
Please let me know if you have feedback on how to make big money.
Let's prosper together. Okay. Hope that everyone could make money during this pandemic.
We help ourselves when we could not place high reliance on the government solely.
Margin of safety is a principle of investing in which an investor only purchases securities when their market price is significantly below their intrinsic value. In other words, when the market price of a security is significantly below your estimation of its intrinsic value, the difference is the margin of safety.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
warrantKing
394 posts
Posted by warrantKing > 2021-08-01 18:44 | Report Abuse
if u check BAT Vs Carlsbeg and HEIM , u will feel BAT worth RM22 (Provided QR can maintain)