Traders have scrambled to calculate what the limit move in oil would be, after Saturday’s drone attack on the ‘’world’s most important oil processing plant’’. And moments ago, Brent crude reopened for trading, exploding almost 20% higher, its biggest jump in 28-years time.
Traders have scrambled to calculate what the limit move in oil would be, after Saturday’s drone attack on the ‘’world’s most important oil processing plant’’. And moments ago, Brent crude reopened for trading, exploding almost 20% higher, its biggest jump in 28-years time.
Dow Jones' o&g sector/counters are very green now. Independent explorers/drillers, equipment/pipeline suppliers, refinery all are benefiting from the Aramco refinery fire.
Saudi refinery being attack, to my understanding refinery margin shall elevated hence benefit to hengyuan? This happened long ago the largest refinery in Europe caught fire.. Crack spread up...
Tension between the United States and Iran has been rising since President Trump abandoned the Iranian nuclear agreement last year and the attack on the oil facilities has spurred concerns of an escalation into a new war.
Est will go down till Shell level as overall fundamentals do not change much and results is getting worst. Est goreng time is over. If not becoming like other Chinese listed firms here, it is considered very lucky.
15.00 be greedy when others are fearful 12.00 be greedy when others are fearful 8.00 be greedy when others are fearful 6.00 be greedy when others are fearful 4.40 be greedy when others are fearful
To people who are totally clueless about the recent Asia refined products price movement, margins have improved a lot since Q2 this year. Q2 cracks averaged USD3.3-3.6 with some days even going below USD1, yes very low. But in Q3, due to 1.late Q2 Philly refiner's fire that permanently shutdown 335K b/d refinery, 2.multiple refineries going into maintenance and 3.attack on Saudi's production and refining facilities. A lot of news focus on the oil production but for market players on the refining products, things have not recovered yet. Say Naphtha, which Hengyuan doesn't produce a lot, the price has shoot up to multi years high. Even in Q2, its spread was negative to a low of about -USD15 but guess what, after the attack, Saudi's supply was affected and spread shot to a high of about USD110 on 14 Oct, unimaginable in recent time! As for gasoline spread, about USD11 on 4 Oct (beginning Q4). So far this month's average is about USD9. I suspect despite the recent event, the much improved refined products margins will help Hengyuan make up for the loss. Lets wait and see Q3 results in Nov.
And one more fact for investors to ponder. in Aug news Saudi is willing to pay about USD15bil for a 20% stake in Reliance Industries (complex refinery) 500K b/d valuing the deal at USD75bil. Go and calculate yourself HY at 156K b/d refining capacity, is it over or undervalue. That's all from me.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Robinson
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Posted by Robinson > 2019-09-13 11:51 | Report Abuse
is not down trend, is GG. tp 3