Posted by Sslee > Jun 1, 2022 9:00 AM | Report Abuse
High energy cost will destroy economy recovery and without economy recovery people will have less money to spend, travel, invest and etc. The good balance is for crude oil at USD75 - 100 per barrel and crack spread between USD 15 -25 per barrel.
the spike we see on diesel crack from 18$/brl early march to 38$/brl by end of Mar 22' could also explain the derivative loss in Q1 which wont repeat in Q2 as long as it does not shoot up further by 20$/brl suddenly by end of June
the gross profit will reflect the margin without the derivative effects
on the other hand if it reverts to 18$/brl there will be a derivative gain
i see gross margin appears to be lagging by at least a month period on their financial report vs crack spread chart
Posted by probability > Jun 1, 2022 10:05 AM | Report Abuse X
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I know la whats going on. Now i spell it out for you.
Friday, operator bought. Monday, operator continue to buy and pushed it up 6.30++ to 6.70 anticipating confidently that qr to be released that evening wud be very2 good n wanted to push n goreng it sky high the next day.
Unfortunately, the results was bad causing at 70 cent gap down at open yesterday.
Instead of letting go his shares at some losses, this operator doubled down by mopping more shares at 6.00 to 6.25, i.e. averaging down.
Unfortunately again, broad market sentiment has turned quiet and negative with markedly lower volume across the board.
So now this operator ended up with many ugly babies unable to con people and sell them away. (Stucked holding a lot of shares in a quiet market)
Why u want to stucked with a konman like Hengyuan leh ??
Go for Petron lah! At least got good corp governance & it pays at least 20 sen div mah!
Btw...Petron also makes more money than hengyuan...what talking u leh ? Posted by probability > 8 minutes ago | Report Abuse
@stockraider, quite disappointing to see your worthless comments (likely confusing newbies) despite being an old experienced investor in HY in 2017.
As i had detailed many times you must see HY as a refinery processing 10.7 million barrels per quarter whereas PetronM refinery at less than 1/4 of HY capacity, i.e about 2.5 m barrels. Reason being PetronM is a simple refinery which produces more than 30% Fuel Oil with crack spread hitting negative - 15 USD/brl .
Without Hengyuan (the HEAD) share price rising, do not expect PetronM ( the TAIL) to perform, unless if PetronM had raised it retails sales volume significantly.
As a matured investor you should know this better
Posted by probability > 1 minute ago | Report Abuse
it appears as a conman - coz you dont understand its business model and financial tools
Posted by stockraider > 1 minute ago | Report Abuse
Btw Petron business have both head & tail unlike Hengyuan only head mah!
in 2017 General Raider lead his army and charge through all the road block from RM 5 to RM 18 but unfortunately when the tide turn his army got slaughtered in the field without mercy and General Raider retreated to his Tibet cave to practice meditation.
With you jerichomy, this place is not only a zoo, it’s become a jungle! You can study biodiversity here. Better still you can see cross breeding among different animals.
But Ccp is fighting each other within. You will probably have more uncertainties in different region of China. Hence buying more ural crude doesn’t mean it can get converted to refined products and to be exported
Posted by stockraider > Jun 1, 2022 12:28 PM | Report Abuse Not that late lah! I was at Petron at Rm Rm 4.00 to 4.20 mah! But i think can go above Rm 10.00 loh!
This time I had to say raider is early then me to the Petronm party hope he can stay late for the lucky draw a BMW iX xDrive50 rather than leave early with a Myvi.
I hope by listening to you I can become a millionaire too but all advices you provide is ikan bilis ikan bilis ikan bilis. How can I become millionaire orh?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
rr88
6,531 posts
Posted by rr88 > 2022-06-01 09:57 | Report Abuse
Desperado, why dont you come to your senses...
How to manipulate when company performance is lousy?
Infact they didnt make 47mil profit, they ACTUALLY LOST 63mil due to 110mil hedging losses.
Fundamentals will catch up with it. It will tank any moment without warning.