"Globally, we expect a shortage of one refinery annually for the next few years. If we were to include arbitrage crude advantages, which RIL highlighted earlier, margins would be even higher, and 50% above their last peak seen in mid-2008," said Morgan Stanley Research in a June 6 report.
According to analysts, the global oil and finished products that were already stretched due to the pandemic and later the Russian invasion of Ukraine, could see further tightening once Chinese demand normalises as China unlocks from the pandemic induced lockdown.
irrespective how pessimistic many in this forum are, I am buying the dips in HY and Petron on staggered basis and hold them for 6-9 months . I am never a trading guy. With poor and nervous market sentiment, coupled with extremely lack of buying support from retailers and institutions, manipulators are in temporary control tempering prices even for the most solid stocks. Meanwhile, day traders, short term view traders and panicky retailers get crushed .
Inflation fear , interest rate hike and recessionary pressure induced by high inflation are dampening equity in general . But , crude oil producers, refinery, CPO producers are the few places to be .
Should crack spread averaging usd20/bbl which I think will be , HY’s NPAT for 2022 will EXCEED a whopping $1 bil ! This is good enough reason for me to shift more capital to it. You don’t have to believe this .
what is hedging loss or gain at a particular point in time?
As i understand its a snapshot indication on the effect of the concern variable changing from what was anticipated either favourably or unfavourably between the hedging moment till the time the implications are reported.
once you had shown the hedging loss or gain on the financial report at a particular moment in time and that these variables are unchanging from then on, there will not be hedging loss or gain at a later point in time
No point to calculate n post projected EPS or TP prices again n again it doesnt help at all to move up the share prices...Sifu e mailed n whataspped his calculation on Q profit everyday but share prices keep dropping...
Now hv to figure out what's the plan of Chinman...
Personally i think the more prices drop in the coming weeks the higher the chances of rebound comes Q2 result in Aug
Oil posted its seventh weekly gain as tight fuel-supply balances sustain bullish fundamentals. Crude is going to be at the mercy of the markets. Traders assess inflation’s impact on long-term demand. Refiners are churning through as much crude as they can as prices of fuels surge to record highs.
Rising prices at the pump are causing pain for Americans with gasoline on the verge of hitting $5 a gallon. Banks r forecasting gasoline will rise to above $6 by the end of the summer.
China National Petroleum Corp., the nation’s top oil producer forecast rising demand in the third quarter, warning of further disruptions from fresh supply outbreaks.
I think people are more concerned with what these Chinese management do with the hedging policy than the stability of the crack spread in the next 9 months.
Record UK Diesel Jumps Above $2.49 a Liter on Motorways. The pump price for diesel passed £2 ($2.49) a liter for the first time ever on motorway service stations, according to the RAC motoring group. That’s about 6% more than the national average. Petrol also neared £2, feeding into a wider cost-of-living crisis for many.
“Another day and another round of fuel price records,” said Simon Williams, a spokesman for the UK RAC motoring group
I hate to break another bad news this beautiful morning. Im sure you already knew of 880 pts plunge in new york overnight. This is the bad news you already know. My bad news to you is that the last half hour in new york there there was a move with huge momentum to break days low to new low. Other words, it will plunge again monday night, after our market closes.
So cut all queues n dump to buyers at opening bell monday. Damage control.
These are the things you look at. Chart pattern formations, strength n sentiment, impact of severe drop in other major markets. Not the earnings forecast, wrong forecast, calculation, wrong calculation, crude oil, crack spread. You looking at wrong things at wrong places. All these craps are already built into price chart, patterns, sentiment, volume.
Air, land, and sea shipments have all become more expensive as a result of record oil and gasoline costs. These increases in costs have been shifted to consumers, which is one of the primary drivers of inflation. Fuel surcharges are at historic highs, and these adjustments get passed directly on to shippers, and in turn, on to consumers.
Actually i m more interested to see if HY price drops to Sifu's cut loss point (61.8% Fibo or 70 sma or whatever) next week, will he cut loss or buy more....lets c
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
probability
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Posted by probability > 2022-06-10 22:04 | Report Abuse
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/energy/oil-gas/ril-margins-at-a-20-year-high-as-asian-benchmark-grms-hit-a-record/articleshow/92045903.cms?from=mdr
"Globally, we expect a shortage of one refinery annually for the next few years. If we were to include arbitrage crude advantages, which RIL highlighted earlier, margins would be even higher, and 50% above their last peak seen in mid-2008," said Morgan Stanley Research in a June 6 report.
According to analysts, the global oil and finished products that were already stretched due to the pandemic and later the Russian invasion of Ukraine, could see further tightening once Chinese demand normalises as China unlocks from the pandemic induced lockdown.