haiyoh we all know refinery companies need crack margin 4 to break even loh Imagine lah if you are the hedging manager lah When you see refining margin goes up to 12 What is your action lei? Push the buy button lah of course Lock in gross profit of 8*4.2*10millions = 320 millions loh Who knows russian will attack Ukraine lei at that time?
So, the manager hedge maybe 1 ~2 million barrels every months until 2024 loh. It is possible to hedge 5 millions barrels for 33 months? Impossible lah.
In 2022, refining margin surge to the moon lah The manager continues hedge loh.
Checking CME data, hedging price after July 2022, is below 9 lah So, the manager no more hedge after July loh.
That’s why we see the margin is 9.5~36.1 loh
One more things yah The margin in 2022 is 8~12.30 lazy explain lah Go check the data, you will find in which quarter they were hedging lah Is FIFO one lah. Most of margin below 12 had been closed position in 2022lah. Forwards, Hengyuan enjoy very high very high crack spread margin lah.
Noticed this year, refining margin is above normal loh
Diesel maybe a bit lower but they already hedge it high mah
shipping cost & insurance premiums pun dah turun lah
Btw we already full load in petron m loh. Hengyuan no rush, buy slowly while others tak Percaya loh
WTI is 68 means China refiners is buying unlimited Russian Urals, refine to diesel and dump into international markets. With cheap Urals, 3 Gorges, low China salaries, HRC is having a headache
to rescue HRC from PN17 will need rapid defeat of Russia
Hrc kena tunjuk profit next QR baru boleh kerja PETRON. PETRON 40c QR sangat bagus among most company in bursa, shld cross rm6 or rm7 as compared to Petdagang rm22 with eps 30c only
(June 15): Boustead Holdings Bhd. is considering divesting its gas stations in Malaysia and is seeking as much as RM2 billion, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
So how much the Petronm retail petrol service stations worth?
Next week bahaya loh But no many know 2Q is recording derivative gains loh 2Q will make more than 200m PAT . Limit up loh August But limit up is from 3.6 lei or 2.8 lei? Macam 2.8 loh
CNN — Russian warlord Yevgeny Prigozhin has claimed he is moving against Russia’s military leadership and that his fighters have entered the country’s Rostov region ready to “destroy everything” in their way – in a stunning series of developments that pits Moscow’s security establishment against a militia leader whose forces have played a pivotal role in the invasion of Ukraine.
In year 1991 Iraq invaded Kuwait oil price shot up 100%. Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin's rebellion against Russia’s top military brass signalling increasing chaos and uncertainty of the Russian-Ukraine war and may trigger oil price surging next week. Those who panic sold off O&G stocks yesterday would regret.
If civil wars last longer than Ukraine war lah Oil price 150 pun boleh loh Is not talking about sanctions, is about production loh Production may cut down 50% , or totally down loh Refinery have the same faith loh That time, all stocks died except oil and gas loh
Monday monitor loh, if fly baru grab loh
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Posted by kebling98 > 2023-06-09 22:39 | Report Abuse
haiyoh we all know refinery companies need crack margin 4 to break even loh
Imagine lah if you are the hedging manager lah
When you see refining margin goes up to 12
What is your action lei?
Push the buy button lah of course
Lock in gross profit of 8*4.2*10millions = 320 millions loh
Who knows russian will attack Ukraine lei at that time?
So, the manager hedge maybe 1 ~2 million barrels every months until 2024 loh. It is possible to hedge 5 millions barrels for 33 months? Impossible lah.
In 2022, refining margin surge to the moon lah
The manager continues hedge loh.
Checking CME data, hedging price after July 2022, is below 9 lah
So, the manager no more hedge after July loh.
That’s why we see the margin is 9.5~36.1 loh
One more things yah
The margin in 2022 is 8~12.30
lazy explain lah
Go check the data, you will find in which quarter they were hedging lah
Is FIFO one lah. Most of margin below 12 had been closed position in 2022lah. Forwards, Hengyuan enjoy very high very high crack spread margin lah.
Noticed this year, refining margin is above normal loh
Diesel maybe a bit lower but they already hedge it high mah
shipping cost & insurance premiums pun dah turun lah
Btw we already full load in petron m loh. Hengyuan no rush, buy slowly while others tak
Percaya loh
Tesla up 7% loh kayanya my cowboy sifu