There are a lot of famous Investment quotes in the world. Today, i want to emphasize on this: Investing should be more like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. I treat TA as a grass and wanna watching my grass to grow for the next 3 months. How about you my friends?
@singh1, we are here to sharing and caring each other :) @ironcrowz, if the independent come out with "very attractive offer" comment, i will be the first one to report SC and question thier integrity of the report. They can only give "very attractive offer" suggestions provided TA Enterprise no more landbanks, negative ROE, PE more than 20, all hotels occupancy below 50%, without cash cow biz - TA securities, property projects launched with take up rate less than 40%. However, the TA Enterprise current situation is very far different from given example above.
my guess is TT wants to take TAGB private via TA enterprise. the whole value is in TAGB. so everyone buy some TAB now to prevent him from getting TAG delisy=ted one day
You commented that Datuk and pac members have 33%. He is allowed to accumulate up to 2% within 6 months without having to revise the offer price. Where you read this information and can you share with me?
Based on my understanding, Tiah can continue to buy TA shares in the open market and not just limited to 2% during this offer period. If he buy RM0.66 above, he definitely need to offer the highest price to us. Let say MGO failed this time, then Tiah cannot buy more than 2% shares within 6 months (Currently, Tiah is holding 33% above, if Tiah acquires more than 2% within 6 months, it will trigger another MGO, which is not allowed by law)
No of shares 100% : 1,711,909,630 units 2%: 34,238,192 units
Tiah recent purchased in open market after MGO announcement.
6July - 2,500,000 units 9July - 1,360,400 units 10July - 200,000 units 11July - 300,000 units 12July - 500,000 units 13July - 800,000 units 16July - 1,300,000 units 19July - 2,000,000 units
The rules are so many, some rules will override others. So it is rather complicated.
From my understanding, during the offer period up to the 59th day he can purchase from the open market at above the offer price and make a new offer based on highest price paid during open market purchase. He will need to give two weeks notice before the maximum offer period which is 74 days. Which means the two weeks notice would be from 60th - 74th day.
Another rule states he would need to make an offer before the 46th day from beginning of offer period in order to make a revised offer. In this case I guess it can be done without having paid a higher amount in the open market.
There are also many rules in the notice of MGO as follows:
Please don't sell your shares. Your shares worth RM2.50 (after properties revalued) a share. Don't sell it for R0.66 and being looked foolish by Datuk. Datuk will not thank you but feel proud that he is able to take advantage of you.
Please don't sell to unrealistic offer. We purchase TA Enterprise with our hard earned money. It is a very good counter with very good potential going forward. Don't "LELONG" your shareholdings away.
I have different views. Tony wants to increase its shareholdings in TA to more than 50% if not privatising the whole company entirely. That is his tactic to make the shareholders think that he is not aiming at your shares. Bare in mind, Tony is very experienced and a veteran financier. He is many times above us.
Major shareholder usually makes the most money from privatisation. The following example shows very clearly about this. Symphony House was bought over by its chairman Tan Sri Azman at RM60mil in 2014 and sold at RM164.1mil to Boardroom 4 years later. He laughs all the way to the bank with RM104.1mil profits. Minorities are always on the losing side as many of them do not have the financial knowledge.
Minorities do not look at the real value of the company. What they know is the property market not good. Don't buy property stock. I give you a very good analogy for the current TA offer. Do you sell your semidee that you have bought at RM1.45mil many years ago for RM660k as the property market is not good. Worst still is that semidee worths much more today. Minorities, don't sell at 66 Sen.
The proposed merger of RHBand AmBank last year, the deal came to one time price-to-book (P/B) value for both banks.
The last major merger and acquisition (M&A) in the stockbroking industry was about 4 years ago when Affin acquired Hwang-DBS Investment Bhd at 1.3 times P/B.
Market said that Kenanga is going to buy Inter-Pac stockbroking assets at RM142mil, but Inter-Pac net value assets at RM100mil, which valued at 1.42 times P/B.
Accept the MGO @ RM0.66? When you referring to above information, i believe i dont have to tell you the answer already.
my cost is at 57sen. bought in 2013. holding for 5 years now.
i have sold off 40% of my holdings at 0.655 with total profit of 33% and CAGR of 5.92% over the 5 years holding period. consider decent la...though its far from my 15% requirement.
anyway keeping 60% while waiting to see how this MGO pans out.
Five years to me is pretty long time. 5.92% is only slightly higher than risk free FD rate. Now for the next few months TA gonna remain static at 0.65 to 0.66 while most other counters are bouncing up from their lows.
More than 10 years ago, companies are allowed and encouraged to revalue their landbanks. Therefore, the NTA would reflect the actual market values of the landbanks. However, the subsequent FRS (Financial Reporting Standards) by Bursa requires the landbanks to be carried at cost. This new requirements is suitable for companies who bought lands for immediate developments like SDB, Hua Yang, MCT, Thriven and Sunsuria.
However, there are some companies that bought their development landbanks and keep them for a long time, between 10 years to as long as 40 years in some cases. The NTA in this type of companies is grossly underestimated. As the NTA does not show the true picture of the company, the financial analysts then create a new term for the actual NTA when the current market values of the properties are calculated. They name it RNAV (Revised Net Asset Values). In fact, the RNAV is actually the NTA of the development companies.
I would say Bursa has set the wrong FRS and enable the property counters to grossly underestimate their NTAs and hence artificially suppress the share price of the property counters. The major shareholders are very happy with this because they can buy back the shares from the market either in their personal capacities or company share buybacks at very low price. That is the reason that there were so many privatisations taken place in these few years in property counters.
This includes Hunza, OSK Property, PJ Dev, Wing Tai and a few more. The two ongoing mandatory general offers are TA and TAGB. The major shareholders are taking advantage of the wrong situations and ignorant of the general retail shareholders. If Bursa Malaysia does not revise the FRS and corrects the situations, more and more companies will be privatised. The counters that fall into this catogery are E&O, MKH, Paramount, Oriental, TA, TAGB, KSL, Tropicana and some others.
Many of the retail investors do not have the financial knowledge and are fooled by the wrong situations. For me, I am equipped with the financial knowledge and many years of experience in Bursa to witness and realise the wrong development took place.
They will not revise unless Bursa changes the Financial Reporting Standards (FRS), requiring them to revalue their landbanks every fixed interval (may be every 3 years).
The retailers who want to sell at RM0.655 will definitely become lesser and lesser. If MGO @ RM0.66 failed, price almost confirmed going up steady without much resistance. Why? Because they sold cheap to Tiah already. Tiah will not going to dispose any shares in an open market. For those who refuse to sell now mostly want to see the price closed to its intrinsic value.
Just sharing for ppl to understand that we should look at RNAV instead of NTA. RNAV is the actual and the correct NTA to refer to. For TA Ent, the actual NTA should be RM2.50 per share.
Therefore, Datuk's offer at RM0.66 is only 26.4% of the actual value. In simple words, he wants to buy your RM2.5million bungalow at the price of RM660k. Offer is too bad. Don't sell.
enid888, thanks for your sharing your knowledge. anyone volunteer to write to bursa to inform them of this unfairly rules towards minority shareholders. bursa should implement rules that require all companies to revalue their assets and liabilities if the major or anyone intend to take a company private
@hopetobecorrect, your view that the assets of the target privatisation company should be revalued is really constructive. It is workable and correct from every aspects. Bursa and SC should really think about it and put it as a requirement. It is also making the items in the balance sheet showing true and fair figures. The balance sheet should shows the present and up to date figures, not historical figures like the existing balance sheet is showing now. After this, the RNAV will become the NTA in the balance sheet.
When the offer period ends, there are two possible outcomes. Either the buyer (offeror) achieves 50% condition or the buyer does not achieve. If achieve, the buyer accepts all shares sold to him. If not achieved, buyer cannot accept the shares. After offer period the share price will start to move up or down as before. Hopefully up. He! He! He! Nobody knows !!!
TA1 & TA2 landbank is like Singapore orchard road. Once sold,is irreplaceable. TA is different like other developers, they are more focus on recurring income.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
luckypunting
1,930 posts
Posted by luckypunting > 2018-07-18 12:20 | Report Abuse
waiting for Independent Advisor comment and see how Independent they are .... hope for price revise ... :p