buddyinvest 239 posts Posted by buddyinvest > Mar 31, 2016 07:24 AM | Report Abuse
Calvin, I have been thinking to switch from kmloong to sop. What's your take on this? Appreciate your thoughts
I think both will perform well. SOP might have better earnings now but KM Loong will catch up later. I think Sarawak Plantation is more undervalue tan SOP
Palm oil price is expected to increase as Indonesia was badly hit by Elnino. Malaysia was relatively insulated against this effect. Listen to the BFM interview this morning with Dato' Carl Bek Nielsen on-air. He knows his stuff.
@calvintaneng, I guess he is right in many ways. But there are also many other things to look out for. For example, will the reduction in FFB crop lead to reduced future revenue?
But it is heartening to know that the major part of KMLOONG's revenue comes from milling, while the recent UOB report mentions that up to 70% of their FFB needs are fulfilled by 3rd parties.
if majority of kmloong revenue's come frm milling wouldn't they be affected more , for el-nino wouldn't it benefit the upstream players as they sell in FFB at higher price, rather than downstream players right ?
i am moving away from Steel, Tin stocks, O&G and focusing on plantation now... why?
(1) the world population will continuously expand and demand for this cheapest cooking oil will always be there...the palm oil smear campaign had lost its arguments and people are realizing its even better oil than soybean oil...the price will soon be comparable to soybean's price.
(2) the land that had been relentless cleared in east malaysia and indonesia had come to a saturation point for planting further palm trees...meaning supply source is slowly becoming limited.
(3) you cannot find cheap land anymore....if you want to buy land for personal plantation purpose..i bet cannot find it cheaper than RM70K per hectare...look at thee price these companies are selling.
(4) O&G has huge upper limit on the price of Crude Oil (due to shale oil) just like palm oil has lower limit on its price due to biodiesel..
(5) Unlike all these steel companies, where they are dependent on raw material price, tariffs and selling prices...plantation's only major costs is free...the sunlight & natural minerals found from the soil and decomposing organic material of dead trees... Its like your costs are almost free..
even the laborers are being helped by machines which can harvest fruits from the trees...its just a matter of time - cheap robots will be introduced to harvest the fruits - they will work day and night for free with the fuel provided by Biodiesel from palm oil itself. If Japanese were ruling malaysia...this robots would have been here by now.
very soon one will never be able to afford to buy any land for their own..
PLANTATIONS IS THE ULTIMATE INVESTMENT for MALAYSIANS.. never lose your market share on this land bank. Price will only go up from now.....no returning back.
Check it out yourself. The production of CPO for KMLoong is going up compared to last year. This mean very likely better profit this coming quarter. BUY.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
___irene
11 posts
Posted by ___irene > 2016-03-30 21:59 | Report Abuse
PLEASE TRUST CALVINTANENG. HE IS REALLY MAKING GOOD PICKS THIS TIME.