Dear all, Should you buy AA now? Below summary of quarterly financial result of 2021: Basically AA is PN17 Company with total equity of negative RM 5.022 billion. As of 30/6/2021: Cash and bank balances: RM 235,612,000 (Already raised RM 336 million through PP in first quarter). Sales in advance: RM 922,252,000. Digital business are still loss making.
Someone said once AA start to fly it will earn Billion per year. Is that so and do you know how AA earned its billion? You can refer to Financial Year Summary 2017-2020 and read snapshot taken from financial report on revenue and other incomes for FY 2017-2020 to know where this billion came from. I have given you the facts and figures and it is your money and you decide whether to invest in AA now or otherwise?
Why are you regurgitating information investors already know? Seems like you are trying to push an agenda here.
Like it or not, good fundamentals does not necessarily translate to good valuation. An example would be Uber, they are loss making and they are valued at nearly a $100b. If you are just looking at fundamentals, you are doing it wrong.
The fact remains that AirAsia is going to appreciate in value just by virtue of being a recovery stock, it is just a matter of time when the share price starts trending upwards. Same goes with Genting and other recovery related stocks.
Is Uber or genting or any recovery related stocks negative equity companies? If you want to invest in PN17 companies please go ahead.
My agenda is to inform i3 readers AA is PN17 company and the reason on AA profitability previously is due to Aircraft Operating Lease Income
With the purchase of these huge purchase planes to fund their regional ambitions, as stated previously, Airasia, the Group Company now had a new income stream that would grow far more profitable than expected.
It would not be unreasonable to say that by 2016, this has grown to be their second largest revenue and largest profit contributor.
Without it, the Airasia Group would be lossmaking.
Externally, this also caused huge headaches with accusations by GMT Research that Airasia was only profitable due to the leasing of these planes resulting in profit transfers from unprofitable regional Joint Ventures, to the group holding.
Internally, i’m sure the other joint venture or associate partners did not feel comfortable about this as well, as it could be seen as Airasia Berhad milking the associates for all its worth.
This culminated in the sale of the planes and the leasing business
28 Feb 2018 (Completed 31 Dec 2018) – BBAM Limited Partnership / FLY RM 9,775.6 million and RM 262.3 million (82 Aircraft and 14 Engines) 24 Aug 2018 (Completed 8 August 2019) – Castlelake L.P. USD 739.5 million (RM 3,559.5 million) (25 Aircraft) 25 July 2019 (Completed 31 December 2019) – Castlelake L.P. (RM 1,240 million) (14 Airbus A320-200) Resulting in net gains of RM 298.8 million and RM 101.54 million, but a net loss in profit of around RM 643 million p.a until the new planes come in.
However, jet fuel prices have reached USD86.5/bbl and is likely to trend higher. For LCCs that have jet fuel expenses as a percentage of revenue of above 30%, it will be extremely challenging to be profitable operationally.
@Jlee88, to add to your point, analysts currently only value AA based on its airline business. All other business streams have not yet been taken into account. *IF* things from a Covid perspective improve quickly and AA executes reasonably well (doesn't even have to be fantastic) over the course of the next year, it will be in line for a major rerating. What if it successfully lists its digital business and Teleport? Even better.
Of course, there is a risk that they execute the digital side poorly too. In that case, status quo.
I think one of the major points overlooked (and in fact unfairly criticised during the early days) is the transformation of AA into an asset light company. Its a symbiotic relationship now between AA and its lessors. Imagine if they had owned all the planes through the pandemic ...
where are the Dumb gang? Sslee, i3lurker, DickyMee etc ....Pls come and share your negative views... repeat it everyday ....... I miss u all ........ huat Huat
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
strattegist
23,459 posts
Posted by strattegist > 2021-10-03 11:19 |
Post removed.Why?