EVERGREEN price had already discounted all known info. Now its share price is starting to factor in its strengthening core comptencies, much reduced capex in 2017 and additional new RTA products revenue n profit contribution.
This is just the beginning of the reversal up in its share price.
Evergreen is improving cash from operations from quarter to quarter, while at the same time, net debt drops from quarter to quarter (as most of the CAPEX for expansions have been used in 2015-16)... and if this condition continues, it will BECOME NET CASH company very soon!!!
Can't you see that coming? well, sxckperformer aka heaveakrea may not see it... how could this level of "speculators" see all this?
u r right sunztzhe.. i have been saying this since day 1... but not many have listened to me.. until now TheStar reported.. then only started to catch some attention.. more to come.. stay tuned..
same thing like what I said in SUCCESS forum... for those (not many) who listened to me since day 1.. they are laughing all the way to the bank already.. that is the power of value investing...
yeah... this joker is over-worried.. the world economic cake is so big... everyone can have a share of it if you are competitive enough.. the key word is competitive.. of course coupled with stable quality..
haha... raider.. this joker is biased and always manipulated info... see, caught red handed that he purposely not mentioned that Evegreen has MASSIVE cash of RM160M?
again, very obvious.. this idixt is a joker who accused things without a base.. just to save himself from being stuck in Hevea.. sometimes i feel sorry for his stupidity...
haha... take 2013 and 2014 (exceptional years) into account... why don;t you take a 10 or 20 years to calculate?
i have said that in 2013-14 (do not want to repeat long explanation again) was exceptional due to oversupply of MDF espeically in ASEAN... that is why Evergreen is not more cautious and started to diversify into particleboard and RTA which command better profit margin...
This is number 1: growth.. ok, growth itself is not enough, we look at fundamentals.. cash is increasing.. debt is reducing.. what is their free cash flow yield? over 4% which is great... are you still saying their cash flow have problem?
and more importantly, going to second half of 2017 or early 2018.. their improvement in cash from operation may bring Evergreen into NET CASH company, because the CAPEX for 2017 will reduce significantly...
One month ago, got a joke, evergreen is collapse and insider selling, and last week the director and shareholder buy back share, the joker = hevea + starperformer, such a bad indicator and jealousy person
Evergreen spend more than Rm 200m capex in 2016....going fwd only going to spend rm 50m....whereas depreciation is already rm 90m....evergreen going fwd 2017 will be very cash positive loh...!!
i agree with you myongcc5... this kind of share has a cyclical up and down... but it is pretty hard for us to time the market or when the commodity price will go up and down... what we can do is to invest in it when it is undervalued (better if it has a growth like in this case - evergreen)...
Evergreen management understands the volatility of commodity price.. so they are expanding also into value added MDF and RTA where they can better control costs and selling price... Vertical integration is what i mentioned here.. and more importantly, the share is selling at discounted price...
raider... all the while I did not say Hevea is bad.. i have to acknowledge that they are doing good too.. just that we all know that Evergreen suggest a better margin of safety due to its discounted price.. and their growth and expansion into this new lines would suggest a re-rating soon... whereas Hevea is more like a already-transformed company.. compared to evergreen.. more room for the share price to go up
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
sunztzhe
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Posted by sunztzhe > 2017-04-10 12:14 | Report Abuse
EVERGREEN price had already discounted all known info. Now its share price is starting to factor in its strengthening core comptencies, much reduced capex in 2017 and additional new RTA products revenue n profit contribution.
This is just the beginning of the reversal up in its share price.
First TP=1.49