Zhulian pay 3sen TE quarterly + special dividend 4sen = total 16sen. Based on current price 3.40, its dividend yield at 4.7%. However, if next Q1 also follow recent Q4 earning, record just 3sen due to slump in its Thailand business and depreciate Thai bath, then share price will again may have another round of knee Jerk effect.
So long the Thai condition not improve, better stay sideline, or at least wait for another quarter result to see whether the current adverse earning is long lasting
if feb election on, the opposition not happy, if not go on, yinluck & gangs not happy. either case, it will be a while go back to normal, it will take more than a quarter.
the king is too old, the army is flying kite at the sideline, the police is confused, the ppl r excited over something they don't really know - rich vs poor
it is true that cimb might be the one shorting down to benefit themselves, but the analysis is not true, because to hedge zhulian-ca, cimb would have to makan Zhulian mother shares too so that there is no loss to them, investment banking issue call warrants to earn fees, not to profit and trade
One quarter hiccup? I'm staying in bangkok and the political turmoil is not going to end soon, even the fact that military still chose to stay back and watch....Local paper estimate this turmoil going to end by march and it take maybe 1 to 2 month for the market to recover, so in the end it's around half year away for this company to "RECOVER"....
I just bought in CIMB at RM6.91. Hopefully it will fly again to RM8.50. The dividend there also nice, 4.4%. ~.~" I will reenter Zhulian if the share can hit RM2. Hehex~
As far as I know, zhulian don't have any retail outlet in bkk but do have some distribution centre here(correct me if i'm wrong). With the growing intense situation and protest going on, almost all business is affected as everyone tend to keep more cash and not willing to spend more.
I think the situation had gotten worse, only this week alone there's 2 cases of hand grenade attack and 2 shooting which involve the protesters and the "RED" shirt...
Other than this, there's another case which involve the padi farmers whereas the government had been delaying the payments to all the padi farmers in Thailand now they are staging their own demonstrations too by blocking on certain highways.
So don't expect the Thailand political crisis going to end soon, here is not malaysia where they practice total democracy system. Thailand MACC had just open investigation case on the caretaker PM(Yingluck) for corruption in padi scheme and the Thailand armies is not "helping" the government with demonstration or protest, they chose to be on the "neutral" side.
The total profit for last year is still 3.4% higher compare 2012. So any fall is a good opportunity to enter as I have entered at 3.50 when market open and sooner it will rebound back to 4.00.
The management is conservative and good, so no need worry.
This is my opinion and doesn't represent a call for buy or sell.
morivae: what happen in bkk/thailand is always short lived. military coup in 2006 did brought SET down and PTTEP was dirt cheap then. last week Aberdeen asset guy told forum audience its thai representative was busy snapping up thai shares during new year n their mfg economy is thriving... cheers
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ganasai
1,671 posts
Posted by ganasai > 2014-01-24 09:37 | Report Abuse
dividend = FD rate only. Price should not more than 3. sorry to say that.