Dear Mr hpcp I think what Mr Er meant is that the EPS is 0.223 and with current price of 1.95, the PE ratio= 8.7 by using the EPS quoted. The target price, I think, from what I understand is at PE=12 (which is believed to be fair PE for KLSE by some), so this translates to 2.67, again by using EPS =0.223 as the basis of calculation.
The sky is the limit !! Anyway, based on EPS of RM0.223, on 10x PE, its fair value should be RM2.23. HOWEVER, based on prospective EPS of say RM0.30 after factoring the USD strengthening and reference to similar furniture stocks like LIIHEN and LATITUDE, we expect the stock to fly toward RM3.00 within 6 months. On caution, we need to see their audited accounts which is expected to release end of this month, to ensure no major deviation between unaudited and audited figures; to see their Forex Forward exposure; and the collection status update on the China disposal. Particular attention to be paid in the Forward exposure. If no exposure then it is VERY GOOD news to Poh Huat to take FULL ADVANTAGE of the USD strengthening !
Surprisingly Poh Huat released its audited report so early this round. As commented earlier, its unaudited figure is same as audited figures which comfirm they have taken necessary step to review the unaudited figures before announced to the Bursa.
Note 12 (Derivative Assets) showed that Poh Huat did not contract into any Forward Contract as at 31Oct2014 (as compare to RM6.7 mil as at 31Oct2013). This means they will take full advantage on the strengthening USD currency. However, the recent TheEdge interview (dated 26/1/15) on Poh Huat management indicates that "the benefit of strengthening of the USD currency may not sustainable, as customers may ask for discount to adjust the changes in the exchange rate". So, don't be "too happy", and in fact, must be more worry and "take profit" in view of the weakening USD currency recently.
Another "negative" news disclosed in the Note 31 in relation to the installment / collection of the sales proceeds from the China subsidiary disposal. It showed that no collection so far despite the fact that the purchaser suppose to pay RMB 300,000 installment per month.....
In conclusion : Given its recent surge and anticipating the coming CNY holiday, it is advised to take profit first. Its current PE valuation close to industry average of 10x. Further, assuming they maintain its dividend per share of 8sen, its yield is 3.94% which may "not attractive" for the current risk level !
Cherry88. That's why I like this company. The directors have shown time and time again to be frank and honest. I am referring to your remarks about customers wanting a discount. Its not necessary for them to say so but they did. I think it will be ok and will look fwd to its next quarterly report end March.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
tiennhieu
719 posts
Posted by tiennhieu > 2015-01-29 10:51 | Report Abuse
already down for 3 days.