I think 2015 will be a good year for exporters whose products are mainly locally sourced. Furniture companies should do well. I look forward t the further 3 sens dividend and especially the 1st quarter results.
Posted by KBYap > Dec 28, 2014 08:50 AM | Report Abuse
Furniture makers face labour and rubberwood shortage
By CHONG CHEE SEONG MUAR johor@nstp.com.my
MALAYSIAN furniture manufacturers are facing two acute problems -- shortage of labour and rubberwood -- resulting in a 4.6 per cent drop in the country's total export last year. Johor Furniture Association president Bo Eng Chee said the country's export from January to November in 2010 was RM7.3 billion as compared with RM6.9 billion in the same period of last year.
He said the drop affected the export of wooden, metal and plastic furniture.
Bo, who is also the Muar Furniture Association (MFA) president, said the MFA and the Malaysian Timber Industry Board would jointly submit a memorandum to the Plantation Industries and Commodities Ministry next month to address the two problems.
He said the shortage of rubberwood in the country had resulted in the price of the wood going up from RM1,400 to RM1,800 per metric tonne since last October.
He called on the government to stop the export of rubberwood and ensure a sufficient supply for the domestic market.
On the shortage of foreign labour, Bo said the implementation of the amnesty programme (codenamed 6P) for legal and illegal foreign workers was the main cause.
He said the shortage compelled furniture manufacturers to reject foreign orders for fear of it affecting their production and delivery of export goods.
Bo said it had a significant impact on export, adding that the furniture industry is one of Muar's economic lifelines and accounted for about 45 per cent of national furniture export.
He said a good opportunity had come to Malaysia in recent years when China's furniture industry lost its competitive edge and manufactuers in Thailand were affected by floods.
"Unfortunately, we are unable to capitalise on it because of the lack of workers and rubberwood."
Bo said the government should formulate a plan to ensure a sustainable supply of foreign workers and rubberwood to avoid interruptions in plant operations which have adverse effects on productivity.
He said with the introduction of the 6P programme, the industry was facing a 30 to 50 per cent drop in foreign labour, forcing small factories to close down.
The 6P programme comprises registration, legalisation, amnesty, supervision, enforcement and deportation of foreign workers.
Bo called on the government to monitor the programme closely to prevent job-hopping of legalised foreign workers.
i am not selling so soon. It is so difficult to identify a good stock. Cannot sell too early. Otherwise will take the money and put in some other stupid stocks. End up worse off.
Target price RM2.20
Arrived at based on coming year EPS of 28 sen and 8 times PER.
In FY2014, if not because of Vietnam riot in May 2014, full year EPS would be 25 sen already. If FY2015 EPS grows by 10%, EPS can touch 28 sen (US economy is strong, Ringgit is weak. 10% increase in EPS is actually not impossible).
The 8 times PE is arrived at based on those of Homeritz and Lii Hen. Both companies paid out good dividend, hence their PE multiple is higher than Hevea and Latitude of approximately 5 times.
As Poh Huat also declares excellent dividend, it should trade at same PE as Homeritz and Lii Hen.
Of course, the above is merely a theoretical calculation. Very much dependent on market sentiment. As long as market don't crash in 2015, there is a chance the above target price is achievable
Poh Huat director sold 25,000 shares at RM1.386. Maybe it is time to take profit before buy back later. Nobody else will know better than those directors......CCCL wish you Happy New Year. I totally agreed your statement on the foreign currency earnings to shine....
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
sangharimau
1,568 posts
Posted by sangharimau > 2014-12-24 23:02 | Report Abuse
But a low volume stock compare to its issued shares