it's not that I'm pessimistic, it's just a very conservative method of valuation. I know that this method would filter out most if not all companies.
I did consider the cash position, which is why when I purchased lii hen, I knew it was a no brainer. the thought process and my evaluation isn't simply factoring in the numbers but a consideration of the worst case scenario and if I could still profit from such a scenario.
DCF is useless because you cannot even forecast next year cash flow, not to talk about multiple years ahead. The approach is used by theoreticians in university to carimakan. the outcome is student or professor might have scored distinction in exam but suffer extinction in the real world.
the method works well if you're good at considering possible future scenarios. it's not meant to calculate one value but a range of values. from those scenarios, you determine if th investment is worth the risk. definitely used to cari makan. it's been working well for me so far.
@Kon Lim Chai its just used as a reference to have a better vision of a range of reasonable prices, especially useful if u play it safe, since u can impose heavy discount rates to reflect a bad economy ahead, many investors use it. Just bcuz it doesnt work for u doesnt mean it doesnt work for others.
LIIHEN has all the fundamentals of a well managed company with a good level of cash hoard for immediate expansion or diversification. It is worthwhile to watch its strategic expansion plan especially based on its latest major shareholder Mr Chua acquiring substantial shareholdings in TAFI. It will be a one plus one equal to three ...
Both are good companies. Although im invested in Po Huat, I always refer to Liihen as a reference though, as Liihen is the boss when it comes to this sector.
I choose Po Huat though, because I have a more aggressive portfolio. Liihen is bigger and more stable. Po Huat being smaller has more room for growth, plus it is well positioned to benefit from US-China trade war with factories not only in Malaysia, but also Vietnam.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
focusinvesting
50 posts
Posted by focusinvesting > 2020-07-16 07:31 | Report Abuse
it's not that I'm pessimistic, it's just a very conservative method of valuation. I know that this method would filter out most if not all companies.
I did consider the cash position, which is why when I purchased lii hen, I knew it was a no brainer. the thought process and my evaluation isn't simply factoring in the numbers but a consideration of the worst case scenario and if I could still profit from such a scenario.