@1start The crude oil price is related to supply and demand. now oil price drop is caused by over suppply of oil. If price drop to USD 60, OPEC will cut the demand, so price wont go to USD 45.
exercise price is 0.51.... if u wanna convert to mother add rm0.51 exercise price for each wa to convert to mother share. but now mother share 0.345, convert also no use. lose more money..
And so ends another chapter of TH Heavy aka Ramunia. I had bought into it during the time of the rights issue - bought the mother at 0.42 if I remember correctly and subscribed to the rights. My biggest regret - selling these shares WAY too early at 0.50. It then became one of the punters favourites, especially after Tan Sri Quek came on board and went up and up.
I should have re-entered when it entered those periods of weakness, which turned out to be temporary. But I didn't, and I'm angry with myself for missing the opportunities. What held me back was this: "It has already gone up". At least I had learned a very precious lesson: The price itself is secondary - it's the TREND that is everything. TH Heavy, as with the O&G counters, were on an uptrend. It doesn't matter what price they were at that time - just buy, especially during those temporary periods of weakness when they become a bit cheaper.
This lesson of "The Trend is Everything" - it also works the other way. When the technical charts started to indicate a downtrend (trading below 20, 50-day moving averages, among other things), that's the time to sell. And stay away although these counters appear to be a bargain. They only seem to be a bargain or `cheap' when you compare the price to its peak. Very tempting, but stay away. Remember "the trend"...
@pirate99: Yup, long time. I went out too early and watched with a lot of jealousy the O&G counters going up. After that, I was also too quick to take profits in the telcos (Digi and TM). Had missed great opportunities to make serious profits. That's another lesson: Next time, must hold my nerves and let the winning counters run to the maximum instead of being too cautious and cashing in too early. But at least I didn't jump in when prices were at their peak.
Mat C.. gud profit.. as long not losses.. i sense opportunities in o&g counter like this where the price looks irresistable.. would take about 2-3months to know the local job award result i would guess.. q4 result is not much excitement.. plus the layoff of their employees.. moving south my bet.. ready bullet aje.. :)
It's gloomy now but I believe there will be another positive chapter to THH. The last financial results were very disappointing, true. But its FPSO business is actually promising. Have to remember that Tabung Haji, Quek and Mara (had they already bought at 0.80??) are shareholders - they are in for the long-term.
Worth following the developments, especially the proposed rights and bonus. Must see what the pricing will be, and then evaluate. For the moment, due to the negative sentiments concerning the O&G sector, it may be prudent to just sit at the sidelines for the time being. But like you, I sense opportunities here too. Never mind things like CIMB's previous TP of 1.48 (and recently downgrading to 0.43. Way too late la), which create bitterness among some. I believe its time will come again, and I hope I'll be able to recognise the change in course and trend. We keep ourselves updated here ya?
I bought today also.....after all I still got hope even if it comes to 5 sen .... at that time I will try to buy th company if Im allowed...I didn't put much in th ...only couple of million ringgit....im enjoing my holiday now....cheers !!! sell sell sell those who wishes so....
Must admit it's very tough staying at the sidelines and just watching, not making use of the idle capital. My hands get itchy, wanting to buy a few O&G counters. Especially when you know how high they had been just a few months ago. Have to force myself to just watch for now despite the very attractive prices and the possibility of a technical rebound. That's why I just watch the counters and prices here, not through the online trading platform (so easy to make a few clicks and buy).
If one's strategy is to buy at this perceived low price and wait - well, that's also a good strategy. No one can say whether you are right or wrong. It's for the individual to create his own strategy and make the decisions. After all, *we* will suffer or gain from these, not anyone else. With me, I've decided upon "The Trend" so I must stick to this. Good luck to everyone, whatever your strategy and decisions may be.
this is disgusting cimb analyst TP from 1.48 to 0.43. She been sleeping all this while? Suddenly change from Add to Reduce....thats 180 degree turn...she should be shot
buy when people is selling...strong support at 32 and 25sen, NTA at 0.461, little to worry...even big investors are losing...they have much more to lose than retailers ...they will definitely buy to average...big investors like tabung haji and Mr Quek are losing big on this stock right now...they are not stupid, they will buy to average through proxy...
Phew, gratefully I listened to my gut feeling rather than my so called knowledgeable friends' thought about TH. Bought at 72 & sold at 90. I could sell it at RM1.00, but I was too greedy after listening the 'friends'. They're crying like a little baby girl right now....
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
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Posted by 1star > 2014-12-04 21:12 | Report Abuse
Next year oil price can down to US$45, then u know wat will happen to KLCI ??