Lets explores good and emerging stock ideas with high growth potential. We leverage on Fundamental Analysis techniques in identifying hidden gems on Bursa Malaysia.
"I had made what I believe was one of the more valuable decisions of my business life. This was to confine all efforts solely to making major gains in the long-run." - Philip Arthur Fisher -
FORMOSA PROSONIC - A Significantly Undervalued Technology EMS Player with enormous Growth Potential
We have seen the spike in share prices of various electronics manufacturing services (EMS) players such as VS Industry, ATAINS and PIE Industrial and SKP.
These are solid companies which have been exhibiting strong growth and consistent earnings over the years. Not surprisingly, most of the EMS players are trading at price earnings ratios (PERs) of between 30x to 40x.
It is almost impossible to find a cheap EMS player, as most are usually very established players.
One example of a technology company which is also an EMS player, but is exhibiting SIMILAR growth, but has an even higher ROE, higher dividend yield but lower PER is Formosa Prosonic Industries (FPI).
This company is 27.99% owned by Taiwan based Wistron Corp the 2nd biggest company in technology after flextronics.
Wistron Corp is a major original design manufacturer in Taiwan, and was the manufacturing arm of Acer Inc. before being spun off in 2000.
FPI has rightfully recently gone into a new business segment covering the Internet of Things considering it is an Associate of Winstron, so it isn't just EMS player anymore. This is also one reason why its profits have significantly improved despite the Covid-19 pandemic.
At FPI's current share price of RM2.39, the stock is trading at a historical PER of 12.14x and offering a dividend yield of 4.6%. It's also in NET CASH position of RM226mil. Borrowing are ZERO.
Furthermore at this price, the stock still only has a market capitalisation RM590M. Most of the other EMS players have market capitalisations of a few billion ringgits.
Despite its low valuations, the company is still able to deliver a superior return of equity (ROE) of 15.15%.
FPI is the leading manufacturers of high quality sound systems in Malaysia with a strong team of audio experts.
Its manufacturing facilities strategically located in Port Klang and Sungai Petani, both in Malaysia. FPI has also established a design and engineering centre in Taiwan.
The group has evolved from the manufacturing of speaker systems to smart audio systems and musical instrument components including the design and development of wireless and bluetooth speakers with cutting edge functionality and seamless connectivity to recently internet of things.
It specialises in Original Equipment Manufacturing (OEM) services including woodworking, plastic injection, driver units, PCB assembly and finished-products assembly plus technology products in cooperations with winstron and serves the requirements for Joint Design Manufacturing (JDM), EMS and Contract Manufacturing (CM).
How To Invest in FPI
It is opportunity that FPI is not be in most investors' radar.
The stock has been 'stuck' (for lack of a better word) over the last 7 years, and has only moved in a range between RM1 to RM1.50 price.
It has finally 'broken out' of its 'deep value' phase, this is the BEST time to invest in the stock to enjoy the more exciting growth phase moving forward. If u followed Koon Yew Yin's Dynamic investment Rule FPI fit into the investment criteria.
Earnings
The 3rd quarter to Sep 30, 2020, net profit was up 62.66% to RM25.84mil on the back of a 7.84% jump in revenue to RM281.05mil this tremendous out performance is achieved despite covid19 challenges.For the 9 month period, net profit was up 21.23% to RM39.69mil.
It recorded EBITDA of RM60mil for the 9-month period ended Sep 30, 2020 compared to RM51.6mil in the previous year’s corresponding period mainly due to change in sales mix. The current strong growth of FPI is due to a new profit segment covering the Internet of Things.
These segments have contributed to its strong exponential growth. In view of its exposure to the technology industry which is growing, along with its affiliation to Wistron, FPI should register sustained strong eps growth
Hence, ride the stock this way:
Deep value stock: RM1.30 to RM1.50 break through
Yield stock: RM1.50 to RM3 current range with dividend yield 5% pa
IF YOU INVEST IN FPI YOU ARE ACTUALLY INVESTING INTO SPEAKERS, HEADPHONE & INTERNET OF THINGS THAT ARE IN BIG DEMAND.
Headphones: a world on demand
So much for the emotional story of the podcast. But underneath lies another story. The story of "on-demand", where all activities are available when one wants, where one wants, at the speed one chooses. Thanks to our smartphones, we have become the centre of our own world. There is no longer "the program", there is "my program". The biggest audience hits in France are actually radio programmes made available to the public on replay; listeners enjoy them at the time that suits them (this represents three-quarters of podcast listening in France).
Online audio, social audio, is first and foremost, "audio when I want it". It is also the convergence of an ultra-fast connection and a pair of headphones, now in (almost) every ear. Since the first Walkman in 1979 became a runaway success, we've gotten into the habit of walking through life with our own soundtrack. And the constant improvement of headphones up to the current AirPods, which are almost like augmented ears, obviously boosts listening.
The increasing popularity of digital audio is also due to the development of new smartphones with greater download capabilities.
"In February 2019, 76.3% of individuals owned a smartphone in France. And most of them have a capacity of up to 256 GB, going up to 512 GB on the latest models launched in France. This represents all the more content available offline on audio streaming applications," explains consultancy firm Sia in its report on to the development of digital audio, released in August 2020.
Ever higher-performance headphones, smartphones as powerful as the computers that sent the first rocket to the moon, and ultra-fast connections: audio has thus crept into every moment of our lives.
Half of US residents are regular listeners
In the United States, nearly half the population of listening age listens to digital audio every day and in November, 75% listened to some form of online audio, according to the recent The Spoken Word Audio Report by NPR and Edison Research. Digital audio use is spreading and becoming morewidespread. Today, podcasts are no longer reserved for the educated elite across the Atlantic.
In France, the age ranges of listeners are broadening and podcast consumption is slowly spreading beyond the upper middle classes. Listening to audio content on digital (streaming platforms, websites, applications) has increased by 20% since the beginning of the lockdowns. More than eight out of 10 French people now prefer this medium to listen to music, radio or podcasts, compared to six out of 10 before, according to a study by trend consultancy Viuz.
Audio, the multitasking medium
And this enthusiasm will not peter out, because podcasts are becoming more and more qualitative and more adapted to our lifestyles every day. For Kamel El Hadef, co-founder of Audion, an agency specialising in audio monetisation, "the vitality of digital audio consumption despite the change in French people's habits allows us to predict an increase in consumption in the future. It is noticeable that, although the French do not have daily commutes, are working from home and don't go out much at the moment, podcast consumption remains very active."
The use of audio responds to our connected lifestyles. It is the companion medium par excellence. Studies worldwide show usage coupled with another activity - walking, in public transport, driving, hanging up the washing, and working. It is the medium of multitasking. Which isn't necessarily good for our already wrung-out brains, but it is considered "practical" by 50% of Americans, who explain their appetite for audio thus.
As for reading books aloud, which was thought to be for children or the visually impaired, it is becoming unexpectedly popular.
"I listen in the evening before going to sleep, or in moments of insomnia," says Lionel, 49 years old, while avid reader Fabrice, 53 years old, says, "I don't have time to read, so I listen when I'm out and about."
The age of the voice
After the keyboard and the tactile, it is the voice with which we will soon activate all the objects that surround us. "Connected speakers represent the advent of voice as a new media in its own right," believes Sia. Artificial intelligence (AI) has made it possible to develop voice assistants like Siri or Alexa, capable of understanding our oral requests and transforming them into action or response."
Emergency state is confirmed till Aug 2021. Stocks exporting to the world would continue to do very well... Lots of money will n must flow to the growing stocks, making EXPORT.THEME.PLAY for 2021...
Stocks in the running r: i. Semicon ii. EMS iii. Metals iv. Gloves v. Packaging
If u see their Qtrly sales trend... their 3rd Qtr sales often highest in the year.. the following Qtr (i.e. 4th Qtr) sales often drop sizeable .. So becareful... 4th Qtr is the next annoucement...
Siapa cepat realise profit dia dapat... don't get trapped..
Just sell before the next QR is out like what INVEST_AA said. This counter QR is cyclical. The record earnings/revenue in the last QR most likely will not be repeated in the next quarter
This year profit is expected to be more than last year. So, why afraid of seasonal (not cyclical) patterns in profit? High possibility that dividend will not be less than last year.
FPI is a Malaysia-based company that is involved in the manufacturing and sales of speaker systems. The group produces products such as wireless speakers, conventional speakers, musical instrument products and acoustic products. In view of the rising Covid-19 cases globally, we foresee FPI may benefit from upgrades by consumers of their home-office sound systems as they spend more time at home. The group registered a better 3QFY20 sales of RM281.1m ( 161% QoQ) following the resumption in business activities post the MCO lockdown. Its net income rose in tandem to RM25.8m ( 206%) due to better sales mix and economies of scales which resulted in better operational efficiency. Financially, the group has a strong balance sheet with short term funds and cash holdings of RM226.1m or 91 sen per share as of end-3QFY20. Chart-wise, the stock has been in a range-bound between the 20-day and 50-day SMA lines recently. Yesterday’s bullish engulfing candlestick has lifted the stock to an all-time high of RM2.58. Given that the shorter-term key SMA continues to stand above the longer-term key SMA, we thus believe the stock could continue its upward momentum. Based on our Fibonacci projections, our resistance levels are set at RM2.90 (R1; 14% upside potential) and RM3.10 (R2; 22% upside potential). Meanwhile, our stop loss is set at RM2.20 (-13% downside risk).
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
spectre007
1,410 posts
Posted by spectre007 > 2020-12-05 02:37 | Report Abuse
RM3 and potential bonus issue