@Gabriel Khoo .Thanks for the update. This is an additional commercial and market reinforcement of the earlier news announced in Mid last month. Nothing technical about it that requires any validation and is a good fanning update by the bosses to get everyone excited and i think it should go down well for BM and hopefully in the foreseeable next few qtrs some thing more tangible can happen . I agree with recommendation to start collecting even at 50c. I think the <50 boat just left.
60% turndown is the typical numbers for any plant design. Let's hope BA is working towards full capacity real soon be it hydraulic constraints or mechanical constraints
Oil prices have been slowly moving higher in recent weeks as bullish sentiment begins to build on the back of Saudi Arabia's supply cut and Russia's pledge to cut its oil exports.
@mabel meow . I think where BA is standing now its rather insensitive to movement of oil. There were many seasons where oil was above 80 did not cause investor to get excited. To get excited, some substantial job announcement will be gamechanger (like total) . contract extensions will reinforced some of the confidence . Concrete progress on Stirling in the months ahead can be prime mover. Of course Kraken back to normal pre disruption production level will create immediate knee jerk but market can still be cautious. That's why BA management is careful managing this , to make sure they get to the bottom of it. This calls for patience. But i take the silence as good tiding. You are wise to have collected below 50c. Barring any surprise , we are in a good place now. Taking position now is not a bad idea.
- One of the original HSP transformer units has been refurbished and has arrived offshore at the FPSO - We hope to install that unit and return it to service in the next 1-2 weeks, restoring production to c.80% - Options enabling a return to full production are under evaluation and will be actioned as soon as possible
1. 3 weeks after shut-in, production was restored to 50% 2. 4 weeks after shut-in, production was restored to 60% 3. 9 weeks after shut-in, production is expected to be restored to 80% 4. xx weeks after shut-in, production is expected to be restored to 100%
It's not as bad as initially feared, with many analysts penciling in 6 months of zero production.
Question now is, what's the hold up to 100% production, and when will that happen?
In support of USD85/bbl..... ⛽NATO stock fuel for more protracted conflict & migraine in Ukraine, ⛽Biden starts replenishment of US oil reserves (SPR) as US opens bidding for SPR purchase, ⛽Kiwis in NZ queue for fuel as discount come to an end, ⛽Nigerian motorists queue for petrol as fuel subsidy is abolished, ⛽Pakistan braces for fuel shortage of diesel from panic buying amid liquidity crisis.
Nick. Thanks for update. Based on the info gather from here. With 2nd hsp they prodiction can reach 100% anytime without 3rd hsp in near term Also noted that the lead time to look for refurbish hsp ald shortern than expected. All things looking good.
@RobRouser 88-Jasongks don't know how to talk kok. But if you check your historical facts correctly, its true BA is less sensitive to movement in Oil price compared to Hibiscus. I have always maintain Hibiscus has elastic reaction to oil, not so BA. Maybe you misread BA upward movement the last 2 days as attributable to Oil. I always have great faith in Niki's data. If Niki can have access to the latest info that kraken will hit 80%in the coming week , i'm sure market has its own feelers . Which therefore you think is more credible to move BA. Oil or Kraken? I leave it to you. whichever way i'm still making money , talking kok or no kok doesn't matter. Moh Siong Kon !!!
Don't have to talk kok, go to Google finance search Armada and add comparison Brent oil price. You can see the correlation between the 2 price. Repeat again with Hibiscus VS Brent oil price.
Or upload the price history into statistical software like SPSS. Run correlation check with Brent Oil price.
I believe you will get the answer, hibiscus is highly correlated with Brent oil price compare to Armada.
The development of Lac Da Vang went on hold at the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic, just as the project was building momentum.
Now it has returned, according to multiple market sources, with Murphy inviting regional oilfield services contractors to bid for the two major offshore facilities; a leased FSO vessel, and an offshore processing platform.
The FSO opportunity has been opened up to suppliers in Southeast Asia and #Vietnam including the Malaysian companies MISC, BumiArmada, Yinson Production and the established Vietnamese players PetroVietnam Transportation Corporation (PV Trans) and PetroVietnam Technical Services Corporation, said market sources.
As for the offshore production platform (topsides processing deck weighing about 6000 tonnes), Murphy has somewhat surprisingly opened the bidding process to international contractors rather than reserving the work for Vietnamese builders which is often the case.
Regional sources informed that one reason Murphy has opened up the bid internationally is that the Vietnamese yards are filling up with work orders and are forecast to get even busier as work from additional major resources projects such as Block B materialises.
@RR88 so much for oil at 80 . Armada going in reverse . Look whose talking kok. You are telling others to make money and don't be hero. I reckon you are speaking to yourself. Many ways to make money. There is the riskier way , some prefer longer distance , some hit an run, yet some stop look go, whichever the way , we dont talk kok .
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
jasongks
23 posts
Posted by jasongks > 2023-07-10 13:59 | Report Abuse
@Gabriel Khoo .Thanks for the update. This is an additional commercial and market reinforcement of the earlier news announced in Mid last month. Nothing technical about it that requires any validation and is a good fanning update by the bosses to get everyone excited and i think it should go down well for BM and hopefully in the foreseeable next few qtrs some thing more tangible can happen . I agree with recommendation to start collecting even at 50c. I think the <50 boat just left.