As for why BA is still not paying any dividends even though the business has been generating loads of cash is obvious. It still has net debt of 3.65B. Also need to conserve cash for future projects. Just simple good cash management.
Big impairment at the most profitable quarter or year may have its tax benefits as it reduces the taxable income for the year. Is this one of the hidden reasons for the timing ?
Also on whether the Income tax dept recognizes this concept of PV Project cash value. If capital allowance for the asset has been fully claimed in the first few years, then the former has no impact on taxable profits
Regardless, the depreciation in the upcoming quarters will be reduced. As such, barring any unforseen circumstances, FY2024 might just be the most profitable year, with each quarter's profits above RM250mil.
Let's see where this takes us. I do believe short of a disaster, long-term investors will still be rewarded at current share price levels (assuming zero new business other than extension contracts for existing projects).
Also, I have checked in with Navigator Gas, and according to them, there will be an update on the Bluestreak CO2 JV when their Q4 2023 results are released in the 2nd half of March 2024.
Another update, the Mumbai FSRU project is officially DEAD.
There is no mention of it in the Bumi Armada investor deck, and also SP Energy has removed the project from the "ongoing projects" section of their website.
@Zonefinder, cashflows will not change due to this "impartment" as it is non-cash in nature. However, the future profits are likely to be inflated at the cost of the tanking we saw today.
Niki, the cashflow is not impacted by "impairment" or depreciation but is affected by the fact that the loan for this project has been fully paid up....the cashflow for this project in 2024 is dramatic but overall has already been projected base on the expected debt reduction for BA as a whole.
Niki, you are right...fully paid up March 2023. Kraken project wise, the full benefit cash wise is 2024. Any case, we are looking at BA not just Kraken. Accounting profits will be shitty from 2025 if we do not get new projects to offset the drop in Kraken revenue of 70% during the extension tenure.
This guy copy and paste the same statement every QR.
"Moving forward, we will continue to explore ways to enhance shareholder value, including new projects and possible corporate activities,” Christenson said.
I do NOT remember Greedy Gary showing any concerns for shareholders. He was always preoccupied with the personal gain - free or subsidized shares for himself. He never even cared to exercise basic decency. Special resolutions were made for HIS SOLE benefit, not including others in management. And as I do not trust this greedy clown, I am not going to let him induce me to sell. I will wait a bit. We shall see what his scheme is all about. Sure not about concerns for shareholders.
The more I think about the depreciation, the worse it seems to be. I recall reading previously that vessels usually see greater depreciation in the firm period, such that by the option period, the depreciation reduces.
Why then based on the analyst presentation slides, are the depreciation for Kraken constant throughout the firm + option period? Makes zero absolute sense. I've never heard of Yinson or any of the global FPSO giants facing this issue.
Hi, may I know how much of the Kraken contributes to group revenue? Assuming worse case scenario after 2025 no new contract, and it drop to 30% of current revenue, how much damage it will cost the group.
Also, it seems that Armada will have 7 FPSO/FSU combined, we can only assume that this type of impairment might happen in the future to the other 6 (since Kraken impairment had happened in this quarter)
Weighted average term loan interest rate as at 31 Dec 2023: 8.67% Weighted average term loan interest rate as at 30 Sep 2023: 8.75%
Another small but positive thing going forward. Debt servicing cost will now slowly start going down assuming no change in US Fed rates. Shows that the loans with the highest interest rates are being paid down / refinanced, which is sound credit management.
If the US Fed cuts rate, the servicing cost will go down even faster. On the other hand, if the US Fed increases rate, the debt servicing cost will increase once again.
niki, I share ur frustration with the bad management. even the board must be taken to task. when u have an accounting policy, u should stick till the end and not move the goal post halfway. credibility down the drain.
@Joshua, the Kraken contract will definitely be extended for some years. Safe to say, at least it will be extended for another 3 - 5 years, even in the absence of any new wells being drilled whatsoever. Whether it gets extended until 2042 is a question mark though. The Kraken field is still producing >20k barrels per day and additional drilling has been budgeted for into the field operator's FY2025 planning.
Given that Enquest has indicated it will exercise 1-yearly extensions to the charter, the question then really is, how long will they continue exercising those extensions for? Per their last update, the plan is still until early 2040s. However, Enquest can terminate the contract in the option period with a one year advance notice, and will need to pay for demobilization costs.
In the slides presentation, next possible impairment will be Armada TGT 1 FPSO and Armada Sterling II FPSO (50% JV). The rest is under contract for many years to go.
@Joshua, Armada TGT1 FPSO will unlikely face such impairment, as it is already at the end of its option period. Highly likely the carrying value of the FPSO is almost next to nothing.
As for Armada Sterling II, it is hard to say, but again, unlikely. There was already some adjustment done in the past for Armada Sterling II. Even if any, the impact should be a lot smaller as it's a significantly smaller project, and Bumi Armada only has a 50% stake.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
zonefinder
233 posts
Posted by zonefinder > 2 months ago | Report Abuse
As for why BA is still not paying any dividends even though the business has been generating loads of cash is obvious. It still has net debt of 3.65B. Also need to conserve cash for future projects. Just simple good cash management.