There are some funny hidden losses here. If you look at share of results for JV for “Others” segment in Q4 2023 (Page 15), there is a staggering loss of RM56mil.
This likely is related to front-loaded expenses for the Akia JV and/or Bluestreak JV. Good thing cause it shows there is some progress, though not mentioned explicitly.
HUGE loss and impairment like the one during the worst days of Kraken delays. Greedy Gary in utter deparation starts talking future projects. Only now he realizes that something needs to be done ? _______________________________________________ Moving forward, we continue to explore ways to enhance shareholder value including new projects and possible corporate activities.”
Everything looks good except for the impairment. Too many impairments done for Kraken and SC vessels. Now all research houses will mark down target prices cause you never know when more impairments are due. Especially for Armada Olombendo.
The market value of oil assets are going down more rapidly than depreciation budgeted for. Impairments are provided when 1) asset is not used or 2) when projected revenue profitablility returns are way less than terminal asset values plus scrap values. Likely many oil assets will be permanently locked down forever.
I won’t be surprised if this is just a blip. After all the impairment charges are completely non-cash in nature. The cash generating power of the business was the best it has ever been in Q4 2023
BA is not an asset company la.. asset is just accounting. what's important is the cashflow and debt outstanding. as long as Cashflow is strong why worry abt asset. I rather BA write offball asset one time and just collect money without anymore depreciation. even company got asset and no cashflow who wants. BA earned 1.5B cashflow in 2023.. isn't that good enough?
Still the impairment seems silly. Surely the carrying value should be conservative. I don’t see other FPSO operators facing this issue. Simply means we as investors need to be wary that Bumi Armada’s FPSOs carrying values are likely overstated on their balance sheet. Especially Armada Olombendo, which is their golden goose. I shudder to think what the impairment for that would be come 2029.
Impairment means bringing the depreciation costs forward earlier hence future depreciation costs are going to be lower. Cash flow is not immediately affected negatively next few quarters before Kraken new extension contract kicks in after 1 April 2025. Armada still has about a year before the management finds new source of income though I cant see where can they find it.
A brief study of the financial deck given by Niki reveal that the "Impairment" is not what we normally understand as write down in value of the FPSO. What it is here is the adjustment needed to reflect the difference between the PV project cash value of the asset vs the NBV. The former is sensitive to prevailing capital cost ie interest rates while NBV is calculated base on the accounting policy on depreciation ie straight line. I suspect that they need to make this adjustment due to accounting convention ie has to provide for any known adverse impact. Note however that the cash flow for the next few quarters up to expiry of the Firm period will be a real shit load of cash as the Project loan for this FPSO has been fully paid up in March 2023. Even the cash flow for this project will more than during the first 7 years of the Firm period as there is no more finance cost ( for this FPSO) involved for the "Extension" period.
Whether there is any further such "Impairment" charges will depend on prevailing capital cost. However this is probably unlikely as likelihood of interest rate increases is low ...in fact it is expected to reduce...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
nikicheong
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Posted by nikicheong > 2 months ago | Report Abuse
There are some funny hidden losses here. If you look at share of results for JV for “Others” segment in Q4 2023 (Page 15), there is a staggering loss of RM56mil.
This likely is related to front-loaded expenses for the Akia JV and/or Bluestreak JV. Good thing cause it shows there is some progress, though not mentioned explicitly.