@johny khong my point was when the price is 2.42, the 1.13s and 2.60s mentality is totally different. there is nothing do with value investor. its human behaviour psychology. no meant to offence
@Johny Khong relak lah. we knew karex is a good company with a lot potential but all factors show coming report not going to be nice, increased latex price and strengthened ringgit. i know your cost is low, that is why you feel nothing panic about drop as it never drop to your cost yet.
Guys the share usually tanks post bonus now is still 3.60 pre bonus which isn't much of a drop can go back to $2 and I don't mind I'm in it for long term invest with what you believe in. Currently is alll noise to me. I am adding more soon. Is my own view.
wtf?? i just said she follow the analysis report and bought at 2.58, karex is dropping to 2.42. all are facts, what pissed off her?? i said i dont know who is she??? shes so famous and i should know her??? i also dont know who is south african president. how can i know all the celebrities.
The example of MAS is spot on! Although they didn't stop operations after share price tanked... The long term investors heart certainly stopped a few seconds.
@littlelolita and all who r concerned abt MYR appreciation, hv u guys forgotten tht Karex already has a hedging policy in place to mitigate such FX volatility? So, I wud say Karex's financials w not b significantly affected by it in the upcoming QR. More importantly is for it to maintain or improve its production efficiency and plant utilization rates. I hv analysed d exchg rate and price movements as follows:
Date---------Exchange rate----Karex pre-bonus----Karex post-bonus 7 May '16----------4.01-----------------3.63------------------2.42 31 Mar '16---------3.87-----------------3.90------------------2.60 31 Dec '15---------4.30-----------------4.15------------------2.77 30 Sep '15---------4.39-----------------3.18------------------2.12 30 Jun '15----------3.78-----------------3.08------------------2.05
In summary, appreciation of MYR does not necessarily adversely affect Karex share price.
@kiasuinvestor, I wish to correct wat u said earlier tht " "long term investing" is just an excuse for denying the share price dropping ". It is not an excuse for denying but, merely a strategy for not being too overly concerned the share price dropping.
i think you misunderstanding what i meant. long term investing is the most common mistake for not cutting loss. im not saying u r right or wrong. it just base on current situation karex is overvalued for short term as a lot people already pointed out the coming report isnt good. when report come out and if not good, the share price will drop. of course if the report is good share price go up. if hold karex for 3 yrs 5 yrs or 10 yrs could be make profit or could be second malaysia airlines. long term investing is the misconception for holding long time will make profit.
btw you exchange rate and karex price comparison could be flawed. share price could be delay. the report is delay about 2 months time. so coming report is reflect on jan-mar. and at the time the myr is about 3.9x. so people expecting the report is weaker than previous as oct-dec myr is about 4.3x. and jan-mar the latex price is also increased 40+%. so profit margin will shrink. people expecting low profit margin, revenue is unknown as karex is expanding production output. so could be increase. but profit margin should be lesser.
some people prefer hold when uptrend and sell when downtrend and buy back when uptrend again to make sure avoid the "malaysia airlines" problem. some people like to hold forever. it is personal preference.
lol.. i thought shes mad because i didnt know her. so it is i called her aunty. i thought she is older than me and i respect her so calls her aunty. my bad.. never realise women are so allergic to "aunty" My apologies, i should called her lenglui.
rm2.37 now is about the time to buy. i promised i will buy at rm2.4 but i missed. i will buy now. with current emotion i think it may drop more but rm2.37 is fair price. any price below i would consider cheap.
If entry price is low then no worry, Karex for long term. If anyone want to buy now should consider it after QR is out. For those buy at 2.5x and 2.6x level I suggest cut lost.
my source of news is this time QR below expectation, hence you see price keep dropping. 1 reason only, big player and fund house are reducing their portion now as they are expecting a big drop during qr announcement date...yea..cut it first.. rm2 can buy back surely ..
i don't consider as "big fund" selling like appleby said, no announcement until now. Karex is already dropping 5 days in a row (since last tues, how come no news?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Smart Investor
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Posted by Smart Investor > 2016-05-07 13:51 | Report Abuse
When is next FOMC meeting?