Round & Surge Operator Analysis

Risk Management - The First Lesson to Learn in Investment

roundnsurge
Publish date: Sun, 27 Jun 2021, 09:45 PM
"True trader react to the market" is the core of our Operator analysis. Operator Analysis analyze the price and volume of the big boys in equity market, where we currently using our analysis in gold market, Bitcoin and Malaysia market.

We will be sharing education material here such as to become a successful trader & investor, corporate action explanation, the financial instrument in the market you can utilize for your investment and more. We are here to help you understand the stock market.

 

 

 

 
Thank you for reading this blog post, many investors will often ignore articles about risk management. If you are reading this I would like to congratulate you for being a rational investor who understands the importance of risk management. 
 
Risk management is a very important lesson for investors to achieve consistent profit and not getting trapped in a bear market (like now). If you suffer from the current bear market, then you should look into risk management & also learned from your trades. Don't waste the "tuition fees" in the stock market.
 
Investors & traders often ignore or pay very little attention to risk management. Which puts them in situations where losses incur bigger than profit is made. 
 
A small change in risk management will have a huge impact on your portfolio performance. By managing your risk, it is not only manage your losses but also manage your emotions in trading. Proper risk management will help you to trade or invest with more rational decision making in entry, cut loss, & profit-taking. Most importantly, it will help you to achieve consistent profit & beat the market like what we have been practising for many years. 
 
 
Risk management is more important than knowing what stocks to buy. It's about protecting ourselves and not exposing too much risk in each trade. That’s why risk management is the first lesson we share in our Operator Analysis training course. Retail investors usually ask "What stocks to buy?", there are plenty of stocks in the market for you to invest in, there will always be new stocks share by many analyst or "guru". Without knowing how to protect ourselves, you will end up losing more than you earned. 
 
Therefore, we are going to share the theory that we follow strictly in order to achieve consistent profit in the Malaysia stock market.
 
Investing in the stock market is about understanding ourselves first, then understanding the market. Know yourself to understand your capability and minimize the losses from the battle, know your enemy to find a way to defeat him (stock market, which we need to understand and follow the big boys.)! 
 
We will share with you the important things you need to know when you invest in the stock market. Risk management will be the 1st lesson:
 

 
Understand ourselves: Risk Management
 
Risk management is about understanding how much risk we can take for a particular investment. But our greed is always bigger than our fear and always chooses to look at the potential profit and blind by the "potential" profit. 
 
Risk management is not just setting cut loss points or avoid looking at your losing stocks. It is more about understanding ourselves, how much can we afford to lose?
 
If you suffered enough from losing money in the stock market, let's click the reset button and start over again with the right steps.
 
  1. Understand your own risk. 
  • ​Don't over-trade! Invest within your capability by knowing how much you can afford to lose. If you have 100,000 savings and losing 10,000 is the amount you can afford and doesn't affect your life or having too much emotional attachment losing that 10,000. Then that will be the amount for you to invest in the stock market.

  • The objective of investing is to let our money work harder, not let ourselves takes 2 jobs at the same time. Worrying about your money whether it is working or not.

  • Never trade more than you have. We are always against the idea of borrowing money to trade. Especially when the market is good, many investors tasted the excitement of making a profit and became overconfident about their investing skills. They start to think the stock market is easy gameplay and start to borrow to invest or get margin accounts. Start with what you have, request a cash account from your broker. There are information on cash account opening at the end of this blog. 

 

  1.  Position Sizing (Control your profit/ loss in each trade)
  • Many traders or investors allocate their funds in different stocks in the wrong way. 
  • For example: (Normal Investors Fund Allocation) 

Your Capital: RM20,000, many traders will allocate their funds like below:

Stock Name Share Price/unit Total Value Quantitiy (unit)
Stock A RM0.20 RM5,000 25,000
Stock B RM0.50 RM5,000 10,000
Stock C RM0.80 RM5,000 6,200
Stock D RM1.00 RM5,000 5,000
  • By managing your portfolio like the above, you are exposing yourself to a cheaper price range stock. Don't understand? Watch the below:
Stock Name Share Price/unit Total Value Quantity (unit) Price Drop by RM0.01
Stock A RM0.20 RM5,000 25,000

-RM250

Stock B RM0.50 RM5,000 10,000

-RM100

      Gross Loss

-RM350

 

Stock Name Share Price/unit Total Value Quantity (unit) Price Up by RM0.01
Stock C RM0.80 RM5,000 6,200

RM62

Stock D RM1.00 RM5,000 5,000

RM50

      Gross Loss

RM112

  • Now the total amount in loss in lower price range stocks is more than the amount that you are profting in higher range stocks. 
  • At the end of the day, you are still losing RM238 (-RM350-RM112).
  • Now, do you know what is the reason that you can't make a consistent profit? 
  • Because of your imbalance in risk management.
  • Our risk management rule is to have an even spread of risk and follow Warren Buffet rule #1: Never lose money. 

3. Setting the amount you can afford to lose for each trade.

  1. Once you have decided the total fund that you can afford to lose, then we look into each trade risk management. How much are you willing to risk in each trade? From my personal observation of myself, I find that each price point movement losses should stay around 0.4% of your total investment capital. Example: 

 

  1. The losses on each price point move will not offer your emotion. Even if the stocks fall 10 price points, it is only RM800 from the example. It is still the price that you can afford compared to your monthly income. You spend more on online shopping, mobile games or entertainment expenses than this amount. 
  2. The first and foremost thing in investment, you should not give yourself too much stress. Or else you will end up gambling on each trade.

  1.  Risk and reward for each trade.
    1. This part will need everyone to take into consideration of the market volatility and investment strategy. Please take note, don’t misunderstand that you should focus on the reward with your expectation. Because we are not the market, we can’t decide how much the stock price can increase but we can follow the market with the right strategy implemented. Let's just focus on risk management first, we will share more about strategy in the future.
    2. For example: if you are willing to risk 1 dollar in a trade to achieve 10 dollars of reward. The market you are investing in must be volatile enough to provide you with a 1 to 10 risk and reward. If the volatility is low, it is difficult for you to achieve a 10 dollars reward. Therefore, you must understand how much the market fluctuates before setting your reward too high to achieve in the market. 
    3. For example at the table below, if we set the risk and reward at 1:3 reward & 7 losing trade out of 10 trades, with each of the trade maximum losses at -$800 :
 
  1. The previous table is an example to show you the importance of risk management. With the right risk management, you can even make a profit with 7 losing trades.
  2. But of course, you need to understand your market volatility first. So you will roughly know the potential profit you can make. That's why some traders find it difficult to hit their take profit target without realising the price volatility has changed.
  3. The lesson is, understand the market and changes. Because we are not the market, we can't move the market but we can apply changes to ourselves and follow the market by change of strategy, the risk to reward ratio, or even stop trading until the market favours you.
  4. Our investment & trading principle always follows the market. With the set of rules we have, it can help us to determine cut loss point, profit point, and entry point differently in each trade based on the market changes. We don’t set a fixed profit point or cut loss point, we follow the market.

Understand the Stock Market

  1. Trading Direction: 
  • Who are you following in the market? The chart pattern? The indicators?
  • The News or Rumours? Do you understand the stock market that you are trading in?
  • The current analysis that you are using, does it give you a very clear picture of the price direction? Or just left you hanging and relying on hope after the entry signal?
  • Now think back every time after your entry, do you always hope the price will move higher?
  • If you are having this feeling, you are lost in the stock market. Is time to find your way out buddy!
  • The direction we have in the stock market is to follow the Operator. Are you following them?
  1. Understand the market: 
  • When you understand how the operators work, you will have more confidence to move in and out of a trade.
  • By knowing the market you can increase the probability of winning trade over the losing trade. Because you can avoid moving into false signal stocks.
  • Because you understand their intention by looking at the price & volume movement!
  • Like how we did, we understand the market (Operator) and this is how we can move in and out in the stock market with confidence!
  • This is how we can achieve consistent profit.
  1. Discipline on the Facts, not Expectation:
  • You must be wondering what we mean by Discipline on the facts, not expectation?
  • Ask yourself, are you disciplined now? Or have you tried to be disciplined before but sometimes missed out on some profit because of strictly following the rules?
  • If the above happens to you, you are using the wrong analysis and risk management.
  • The difference between us and what the other traders commonly use in the market is:

  • Do you see the difference? Basically, most of the traders and investors are not following the market. From the entry rules to risk management is just about their expectation.
  • We, as a True Trader, follow the market, we always watch what is the intention of the operator and we React to it.
  • Are you reacting to the market?
  • We hope after reading this article, you will understand more about your trading behaviour and find ways to improve it.

 

If you enjoy reading our articles, follow us on Facebook or YouTube to learn more about how we follow the operators in the stock market. Feel free to share this article to your trading buddies. Let’s help each other in the stock market!

Trading Account Opening


They are offering IntraDay trade brokerage rate at 0.05% or RM8 whichever is higher for day trading stocks RM 50,000 & above transacted volume (buy sell the same stocks in the same day). Buy & hold at 0.08%or RM8 whichever is higher.


Open a cash account now at the link below : 

*Do read & understnad the account opening T&C before register. For further question may contact Kelvin for more information*

https://registration.mplusonline.com/?ref-id=R311


As Kelvin’s trading client, you will be exclusively invited to join Kelvin’s weekly webinar and telegram channel.


For more inquiry contact him by email: kelvinyap.remisier@gmail.com or 019-5567829 


If we have missed out on any important information, feel free to let us know and feel free to share this information out but it will be much appreciated if you can put us as the reference for our effort and respect, thank you in advance!



Find out more about how we track big boys effectively in our Facebook and YouTube Channel :


This blog is for sharing our point of view about the market movement only. Shall not be construed as an offer, invitation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Viewers and readers are responsible for your own trading decision. The author of this blog and/ its associated persons will not liable for any losses incurred from any investment or trading.

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