12 people like this.

118 comment(s). Last comment by timetokoon 2015-12-04 13:10

Icon8888

18,659 posts

Posted by Icon8888 > 2014-02-24 21:03 | Report Abuse

You are right !!! He is talking as though he is Uncle !!!! Spooky !!!!!!

kk123

1,964 posts

Posted by kk123 > 2014-02-24 21:04 | Report Abuse

Last year the champion counter is datasonic 1000% returns or inari 400% returns
So this year it's still early to tell which stocks will be the best

Icon8888

18,659 posts

Posted by Icon8888 > 2014-02-24 21:04 | Report Abuse

I almost can't recognize the Up Down that discussed innoprise with me !!! Yau Kwai Ah !!!!

kk123

1,964 posts

Posted by kk123 > 2014-02-24 21:06 | Report Abuse

Once u can find a datasonic or inari can inform me hahahaha

optimus8

405 posts

Posted by optimus8 > 2014-02-24 21:07 |

Post removed.Why?

Icon8888

18,659 posts

Posted by Icon8888 > 2014-02-24 21:09 |

Post removed.Why?

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-24 21:10 | Report Abuse

Icon8888. Stock market has been always behaving irrationally and full of emotions. Sometimes, we can't make a lot money if we know or foresee the factual too early. That's why some stocks are overvalue whereas some undervalue. People goreng this and that to make money.

Icon8888

18,659 posts

Posted by Icon8888 > 2014-02-24 21:12 | Report Abuse

Ok.... Good to hear your normal voice again, just now I think u have been jumbi... Never mind the market, safety first. Ping ping on on

kk123

1,964 posts

Posted by kk123 > 2014-02-24 21:13 | Report Abuse

U shld think year of horse , what counter will fly
Logically horse is a fast animal
So any stocks which looks like starting to gallop better ride it
Else will be left behind and underperform
I can see many already flying

Icon8888

18,659 posts

Posted by Icon8888 > 2014-02-24 21:14 | Report Abuse

Which one which one ? Pray tell

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-24 21:14 | Report Abuse

Again, theoretically, I believe INNO is the most undervalue stock in plantation sector. Wakaaaa

Icon8888

18,659 posts

Posted by Icon8888 > 2014-02-24 21:16 | Report Abuse

To be honest, I am surprised that Uncle Koon is still promoting jtiasa (after so many posts). Sian already, see you guys. I am out

kk123

1,964 posts

Posted by kk123 > 2014-02-24 21:18 | Report Abuse

U shld look at stocks with some "wood" element ..

Icon8888

18,659 posts

Posted by Icon8888 > 2014-02-24 21:19 | Report Abuse

Nice try kk123, ka ka ka it is funny

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-24 21:29 | Report Abuse

Equity investment is an art. Uncle Khoon has mastered it

" Equity investment is an art as well as a science. The selection of an underlying is an art and selecting the right strategy to participate is a science. Clients often ask us: 'How do I participate in equities? Markets are near all-time high. Should I invest now or wait for the markets to correct? There is a lot of uncertainty in the markets', etc.

My reply to them is that equity markets are always going to be uncertain, that there will always be volatility. But that is why equities give higher returns than other asset classes. Play smartly and take the benefit of volatility. "

speakup

27,028 posts

Posted by speakup > 2014-02-24 22:51 | Report Abuse

If Mr Koon is guilty of promoting his own counter, so is 99% of the forumers here.

speakup

27,028 posts

Posted by speakup > 2014-02-24 22:53 | Report Abuse

why single out Mr Koon for promoting his JTiasa when others also promote their Iris, Mkh, Inno, dll also.

Duitbesar

915 posts

Posted by Duitbesar > 2014-02-24 23:16 | Report Abuse

Abang tau banyak dah meluak dengan Uncle Koon. Jtiasa dah terover expose promosi. Macam promosi 70% tapi buat 29 hari dalam sebulan. Ada satu Master yang tak buat promosi tapi semua saham dia rekomen meletop-letop! Abang intro Master Superinvestor Uncle Z. Ya, ramai sudah kenal ini Master, tak buat promo tapi dia punya result sampai abang mengalir air mata. Memang sah legend!! http://unclezmalaysia.blogspot.com/2014/

Duitbesar

915 posts

Posted by Duitbesar > 2014-02-24 23:19 | Report Abuse

So samada korang ikut Uncle Koon atau Uncle Z, itu korang punya pasal. Tapi so far dari segi return, Uncle Z paling rembat dalam bursa!

pilindo

867 posts

Posted by pilindo > 2014-02-25 02:01 | Report Abuse

What do you think about Inari Uncle Koon? Good for long term or not?

Posted by Foresight123 > 2014-02-25 14:37 | Report Abuse

well said, well said

datuk

4,935 posts

Posted by datuk > 2014-02-25 15:58 | Report Abuse

Mr Koon had indicated the historical growth in FFB production and forecasted the next 5 years CAGR at 30%......what is the impact to the bottom line in JT financial position?

Perhaps that correlation can leads us to uncover the real value in JT...

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-25 16:08 | Report Abuse

Oh no. You don't need a good forecast for next few years. It's not so important. What most important is Uncle Koon supported behind. The rest is pretty issues.

Monica

164 posts

Posted by Monica > 2014-02-25 16:14 | Report Abuse

DuitBear, siapa itu uncle Z? what "rembat" means?

datuk

4,935 posts

Posted by datuk > 2014-02-25 16:25 | Report Abuse

palm oil is a commodity business. There will be no selling price differentiation within the same grade of FFB. Hence, there are several deciding factors influencing the bottom line:

I) The cost efficiency per acre

II)The fruit recovery per acre

III) The source of growth in FFB production mature, un mature and green trees

IV) Unplanted land to support future growth.


JT is a relative small size FFB player now and still a rather small player in future after factor in CAG at 30% for the next 5 years

The other business segment is timber...perhaps that would be more attractive in future...

I won't buy JT if just based on FFB story alone...

datuk

4,935 posts

Posted by datuk > 2014-02-25 16:29 | Report Abuse

i am in the opinion if you can't translate the growth in FFB into bottom line during the bull cycle....likes any other FFB players in the industry.....be cautious....need to examine further the details as i outlined above..

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-25 16:37 | Report Abuse

Don't waste your time to do the calculation. You can't prove you are right because you are not able to drive the share price up. Uncle's Koon 30% compound growth is confirmed corrected because we must judge from the share price up or down to prove your power.

datuk

4,935 posts

Posted by datuk > 2014-02-25 16:38 | Report Abuse

There is a business tycoon experienced failure in gua musang because of soil there is not suitable for palm plantation.....very low in recovery per acre....

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-25 16:45 | Report Abuse

How can you compare that business tycoon with Jtiasa. That tycoon is a typical failure. You know Jtiasa historical data cannot lie. You must have solid proven records. The FFB production has been growing more than 30% for the past few years. The peat land of Jtiasa is guaranteed for the high yield.

datuk

4,935 posts

Posted by datuk > 2014-02-25 17:12 | Report Abuse

Oic.....I had a friend sit in senior position....perhaps....let me dig more info...

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-25 17:21 | Report Abuse

Your info is merely for passing time. It can't do anything with the movements of Jtiasa share price. You must know the information come out from whose mouth and who has more influential power to charge up the share price.

datuk

4,935 posts

Posted by datuk > 2014-02-25 17:29 | Report Abuse

there is no tokong in share market! you will lose yr pant if you follow blindly in equity market....anyway, that's yr right....I no comment....I will continuous to furnish my info...once avai.

You dun care ....others care.

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-25 17:37 | Report Abuse

Something you may not know good tips recently. I heard that uncle has invested 100 million in Jtiasa. Some more, he may have another 100 million to back up so Jtiasa is guaranteed up up.

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-25 18:05 | Report Abuse

It's not worthwhile to find more excuses if you want to be super investor. If you want find, there more than 100 excuses out there. What important is its share price up. The rest is history.

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-25 19:23 | Report Abuse

Jtiasa posted a good results of 2.05 cents per share in the last quarter. You can’t find any great plantation company to perform so well. Don't forget its FFB production would grow 30% CAG. You guys can imagine how well it would perform in near future.

Icon8888

18,659 posts

Posted by Icon8888 > 2014-02-25 19:24 | Report Abuse

cough cough

tribaleps

23 posts

Posted by tribaleps > 2014-02-26 10:24 | Report Abuse

People who think JTIASA's results yesterday were great are delusional. Ta Ann made more money last quarter with only half of the oil palm acreage and it was still bleeding like mad on the timber side.

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-26 11:18 | Report Abuse

Be positive. The results of Jtiasa is very encouraging. Don't forget the magic of El Nino. We must judge from the share price. If the price up means good. The rest is history.

Posted by Koon Yew Yin > 2014-02-26 11:45 | Report Abuse

Out of 88 commentaries, Up_down made 25. I think you are the same person or have the same level of intelligence as optimus 1,7 or 8. Please stop making a fool of yourself by exposing your stupidity. You accused me of buying JT continuously to push up the price.

As you can see the daily turnover for Jaya Tiasa is so much, I cannot be keep buying to push the price up from Rm 2.04 from start of 2014 to around Rm 2.50, an increase of more than 20% within 2 months. Many long term investors, are beginning to see the good profit growth prospect. Of course the current poor earning would discourage short tern players. As I said to be able to make more money than ordinary investors, you must have good foresight and guts to buy for long term, like any successful businessman.

Saturn101

681 posts

Posted by Saturn101 > 2014-02-26 11:47 | Report Abuse

Fair statement.....

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-26 12:18 | Report Abuse

Your statement :

" Since the average age of the palms is only about 6 years and palm will produce the maximum fruits at the age of 11 years, I can foresee the FFB production will increase by about 30% per year compound for the next 5 years. "

How to justify the growth?

Assume Jtiasa completing its planting this year. The total planted area is 70,900 hectare.

FFB production compound growth for 5 years:
Year 2013 - 664,000 Mt
Year 2014 - 863,000 ( 664,000 x 1.3 )
Year 2015 - 1,122,000 ( 664,000 x 1.3 x 1.3 )
Year 2016 - 1,458,000 ( 664,000 x 1.3 x 1.3 x 1.3 )
Year 2017 - 1,895,000 ( 664,000 x 1.3 x 1.3 x 1.3 x 1.3 )
Year 2018 - 2,463,000 ( 664,000 x 1.3 x 1.3 x 1.3 x 1.3 x 1.3)

Is it mean that after 5 years, Jtiasa would achieve FFB production 2,463,000 per year? If we take a maximum scenario, Jtiasa is only able to produce FFB 1,772,500Mt ( 70,900 hectare x 25Mt ).

Is it your projection realistic?

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-26 12:23 | Report Abuse

Your statement:

"
As I said historical record cannot lie. That includes you own track record in making money from the stock market. If you have not been very successful, you must change your attitude or mindset, especially the above commentators who seem to know a lot about Jaya Tiasa.

While you are still finding excuses not to buy JT, it has already gone up from Rm 2.04 from beginning of 2014 to close at Rm 2.54 today, an increase of 50 sens equivalent to about 25%. "

Do you meant I have to change my attitude or mindset to follow your projection blindly?

Ricky Kiat

1,356 posts

Posted by Ricky Kiat > 2014-02-26 12:33 | Report Abuse

Agree with Mr Koon, time will prove it.

Up_down

4,346 posts

Posted by Up_down > 2014-02-26 12:37 | Report Abuse

I also agreed with uncle Koon too because i make some profit from Jtiasa. It is just the figures not agree with his statement. wakaaaaa

Ricky Kiat

1,356 posts

Posted by Ricky Kiat > 2014-02-26 12:43 | Report Abuse

Be patient, Jtiasa result will be very good on early 2015 after 2 new mill fully operational & end of new planting.

datuk

4,935 posts

Posted by datuk > 2014-02-26 15:38 | Report Abuse

In my opinion,

1) The current poor earning in JT as against its industry peers will discourage the short term speculator or shy away the potential uninformed long term investor. After all, the layman does not have the competency to spot the "hidden gem" or "hidden risk" beyond the current financial position.

2) There is no standard formula in equity valuation. The variables influenced the valuation changes from time to time such as the performance against industry peers, industry cyclical and the general market sentiment. If you do own homework against its peers, you may be able to appraise the valuation more accurately.

3) The growth that funded by debt is always welcome as long as the earning generated is enough to service the debt. However, there is always a risk associated in financing the growth particularly in commodity business that are cyclical driven.


4) The behavioural of controlling shareholder is critical in realizing the potential of the company. It must be business like.

Posted by KinSoon Kok > 2014-02-26 16:13 | Report Abuse

If JTiasa is planning to set up oil mills then it's outlook is much brighter. Any documents on this issue? When is mil expected to star operating? Would it miss the current high cpo rally? If it starts operating 2-3 yrs from now then it might not be able to enjoy the current cpo rally. Timing is important.

Posted by KinSoon Kok > 2014-02-26 16:18 | Report Abuse

Where did u get the infor, Ricky?

denden

11 posts

Posted by denden > 2014-02-26 16:43 | Report Abuse

Look at the notes of the q announcement. rm155m used for oil mills

Ricky Kiat

1,356 posts

Posted by Ricky Kiat > 2014-02-26 17:51 | Report Abuse

kin soon,u can get the info from ambank or cimb report about jtiasa,

Jaya Tiasa currently has two CPO mills with a combined
processing capacity of 150 tonnes/hour.
The latest mill, with a capacity of 60 tonnes/hour, was
commissioned in April last year, at a total cost of RM70mil.

The group is currently constructing two more mills with a
combined capacity of 180 tonnes/hour, at a total cost of
RM165mil. This would translate to an additional annual
capacity of 972,000 tonnes of FFB.

With the current two mills, the group has an annual
capacity to process 810,100 tonnes of FFB (based on 2-
nine hour shifts per day and 25 days/month).

The new one at Lassa Plantation is expected to be
completed by April this year, while the fourth mill at
Hariyama Plantation is scheduled to be completed by yearend.
All four mills are strategically located within the group’s
cluster of oil palm estates, to cater to logistical efficiencies
and minimisation of transportation costs.

Along with the first one at the Wealth House estate, the
addition mills could potentially slash transportation
costs by at least 40%, if not more.
Transportation cost now accounts for between RM45-
RM50/tonne.

Given its annual FFB production of over 1mil tonnes in the
next two years, Jaya Tiasa could resort to buying FFB from
third parties towards raising the utilisation rate of the
additional mill capacity.

Declining capex beyond FY15F will improve cash flow to
the firm, decrease gearing and boost its ability to pay cash
dividends. Regardless, the acquisition of more
plantation land is not ruled out.

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