Very honest comment...How to sell when u have such a big holding? From Heave, Lattitude, CSCSTEEL, Gadang etc...use the same tactic....Choose to swim with shark..always has to be think rationally.
as thief gets smarter...the police need to be equally smart... cheetah's speed credit goes to the gazelles too... koon yew YIN & YOUNG bloggers at work.
Beside looking at Jaks share price....u need to understand their Business & risk loh.....!!
Power Plant risk in Vietnam
Long gestation period Forex exposure....use USD and RM.....and invest into DONG Completion risk Sovereign Risk Cost of completion within budget Potential dispute n bullying by clients and Joint Venture partner Jaks corporate governance risk....they have not been paying div & going fwd may not share with u even profits KYY risk..he may dump...the share & cut loss...which he usually do.
Any of the many factors mentioned....above may drastic affect the value of JAKS
bjcorp...vietlott shorter gestation period Same forex exposure as if JAKS ....earnings start very much earlier completion risk....already up n going and doing business...now expansion phase Sovereign risk....same as JAKS Cost of completion risk....lesser already up & going Potential dispute same as Jaks Div.....bjcorp had been paying div
The margin of safety is that Bjcorp NAB is Rm 1.70 but u r buying at a discount of rm 0.39 mah....!! Vietlott comprises least than 20% of Bjcorp assets loh....!!
Remember ....anything can happen in a green field....like the case of Jeju island casino project which is JV with the korean govt....can fail too...!! But even JEJU project fail....bjcorp can survive.....whereas Jaks cannot failed loh......bcos it is big chunked of its assets loh...!!
An investment in vietnam like Jaks.....invest for long term with no income and comprises at high portion of its assets......very high risk mah...!!
In the book " Super forecasting" by Philip Tetlock, they talk about successful investors being Sceptical Optimists....the correct balance between skepticism and optimism. You need both.
Too skeptical, nothing will ever be achieved unless your job is to be a professional critic. Too optimist , they say you run the risk of being naive.
The only solution....go back to first principles, go back to the source, check and double check the source.
This is the most comprehensive source of information on the project
Well kyy is an old geezer and an opportunist.. Otb is the sidekick.. Batman and robin.. Sifu and sidai as some put it.. If u enter jaks now at 1.51 - high chance will get caught when he suddenly start selling..
I believe Kyy use margin account to buy in case something happen he will use his few hundred million of cash to defend. Just buy Jaks and dump dump hold
Uncle KYY doesn't have much money left on his name. A vast portion of his fortune already distributed to his family members, relatives and yeema gooche. Remember when he said whats left of his fortune will be given to charity when he dies?
Doing well but ur pick is useless like UMWOG loh....!! Either....u r dishonest or u r not telling truth on ur recommendation loh......!! So people....do not believe what mammy says....bcos they are hidden agenda and scheme out to get U....!!
How come Jaks directors put jaks into a hand of an Opportunists ?
Jaks should answer this question for the best interest of Malaysia investors public. Is there a letter of restrictions to sell their share by a new emerged shareholder ? If it does, Jaks should release it to the public.
But, 1 thing I like Kyy is... at least he release part true of the doing. The less of action , he is enjoying to sit back and wacth hiw public and Sc reaction. .. Games on .... what is the probability ? It's not about juz figure anymore .
KYY had told us the reasons why he bounght into Jaks, like every one of us also had reasons to buy into any stocks whether is 1 share, 10k shares or a substantial shareholder which must a declaration to Busar. The prediction of the future earnings of this company in Vietnam depend on many factors which KYY thought that he was able to comprehence but one thing for sure that he was able to influence the share price mvements of this company whilst he was accumulating this huge substantial 18% holding. As now it's too early to find out whether IPP in Vietnam making profit as predicted and planned ; and smoothness of partnership with the Chinese company. Lastly everybody has the rights to promote any counter but we as the investor after the analysis make our own decisions not blindly follow for any so called super or genius investor gurus os sifus as in share market there is no sure things as guarantee or sure to happen! It's the probability of happening!
hi newie66, you can wait till 2020, when the power plant is up and running. Which is safer but your capital gain will be reduced, as everyone know already. If you buy now, there is some risks but your capital gain is much more. It depends on your risk appetite and your investment strategy.
when someone own a share of X company, if given the chances to spread the news, he will do just that to promote the stock. all of us has done just that, so who is right or wrong? i can't judege KYY wrong when we ourselfve did just that.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
CharlesT
14,951 posts
Posted by CharlesT > 2017-03-19 10:07 | Report Abuse
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