Action speak louder than word. If you are so confident then just keep quiet and collecting. Not go other counter and promote......... Over doing it just show you are in fact not confident enough.....
Maikia la....hengyuan will hengheng la....Easy to cross rm10 above...Buy n diamdiam jiuho ma.....If front Kia wolf, back Kia tiger, middle Kia mouse....Then put ur money in milo tin lo......
Petron got good governance is doubtful. The only sweet spot is the dividend. HY got higher potential but chinaman doesn’t like its profit being shared.
Hengyuan and Petronm Q2 gross profit will be explosive and if management manage the derivatives well then Hengyuan' NPAT will be higher than Petronm due to Hengyuan bigger capacity refinery.
Lol who know they did it purposely to promote other counter. Shortly after article published then out of sudden so many promoter pop out promoting the other counter. Coincidentally or pre planned? Only those active promoter that pop out suddenly will know the truth
In 2020 when crack spread about USD 1.70 Hengyuan make RM 251 million due to derivatives gain but when Q1 2022 hengyuan only make RM 47.5 million due to derivatives loss and inventories written down you are quick to make unfair judgement.
Can't you withhold your judgement till q2 result when high Crack spread will surely result in an explosive gross profit. You can then judge them on how they manage their derivatives on result of NPAT.
Do note that the duration for those derivatives that hrc entered since last year end are up to 3 years with crack spread of usd8-12 whereas Petron is less than 1 year. think that makes the difference between them due to different hedging strategy applied.
The main hedging loss in Q1 2022 is in Refining Margin Swap Contracts which is tied to rising crack spread from about USD11 early Jan 2022 to about USD15 as at 31/3/2022. (pls refer to note A18 in QR for the breakdown of the various types of hedges and their respective position) As at today, crack spread has surged passed USd32 . If it continue to stay high or go higher , I suppose Refining Margion swap contracts will suffer huge hedging losses that will offset the operating margin like we see in Q1. Can any financial accountant comment ?
For Q1: The 1Q 2022 performance was mainly contributed by improved crack for Mogas, Gasoil and Jet Oil fuel, coupled with increase in sales volume as compared to the corresponding period in 1Q 2021.
Yes. what we know is the duration of the derivatives. How much % of locked in/hedged over total output is not being disclosed. just hope it's not extensive, else hrc will not fully enjoy the crack spread spike.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ngjack1991
53 posts
Posted by ngjack1991 > 2022-06-03 08:21 | Report Abuse
Action speak louder than word. If you are so confident then just keep quiet and collecting. Not go other counter and promote......... Over doing it just show you are in fact not confident enough.....