An El Nino weather pattern is likely to cut palm oil output in Indonesia and Malaysia by 5-6 percent in 2016 and lift prices to 2,500 ringgit ($606.06) per tonne in the first quarter, the chief executive of plantation firm Felda Global Ventures said.
2 target price adjustment by RHB-Osk in Oct'15. 5th Oct raise target price fr 1.18 to 1.25. On 26 oct, it raised the target price further to 1.40. Weaker RM benefit sector timber and EL nino push CPO price higher benefit plantation sectors...
Take a look at jtiasa timber & palm oil output and compare it with taan and wtk, at the same time compare the stock price performance, you will understand it is safe to accumulate at current low price. Appreciation for this stock could be much higher in future.
TAAN released quarterly result yesterday... super good.. mainly driven by timber sector & higher FFB..
Main factors contributing to the better performance were as follow:
(i) Higher fresh fruit bunch (‘FFB’) production by 8% from the increasing mature palms; (ii) Better export logs and plywood average selling prices which in Ringgit terms were 41% and 26% higher though their respective sales volumes were 31% and 9% lower; and
It benefit from depreciation of RM and this has been boosting its revenue and profit as furniture counters have performed well; I think the coming result for Q1FY2016 is better than previous result. cheer !
This stock had been on downtrend since April 2014...It closed LOWEST Low @ RM 1.07 on 26/8/2015 but closed with HIGHER Low@ RM 1.19 on 9/11/2015. It had been under performing the KLCI index since April 2014 and had been on sideways consolidation since 26/8/2015. It is now attempting to breakout of its consolidation mode to begin its UPTREND.
Its upcoming Q3 report will be due on 27/11/2015 or 28/11/2015. The recent price movement maybe indicating that the upcoming financial results will be better than previous quarter.
Looking forward, this stock will most likely breakout of consolidation and resume its long awaited uptrend soon as today it hit a HIGHER High price @RM 1.35 which is a good indicator of further upside to come.
Today JTIASA outperformed KLCI index after a long hiatus. It had been bullish for the past 2 days...looks like this is the beginning of the commencement of the long awaited trend change. If the forthcoming Q3 result is better than Q2 and if future palm oil price firmed up further, this stock has legs to run further
Immediate resistance @ RM 1.36. Next major resistance @ RM 1.49
Some output data latest Quarter compare to previous quarter... I believe the latest Quarter result should be much better than last announced quarterly result... IMO.
Just browsed through Genting Plantation quarterly results. Malaysia plantation quarterly revenue - RM 217 mil and EBITDA RM 78.5 mil. Palm oil estate area in Malaysia - > 66,000 ha oil palm tree at Prime mature stage.
JayaTiasa Palm oil planted area : 68,446 ha 40% (30 June 2015) prime mature stage... June 2016 - prime mature stage 55% June 2017 - prime mature stage 65% June 2018 - prime mature stage 76%
palm oil business contribution to Jayatiasa will be quite significant in future couple will palm oil price recover due to EL Nino for the next 2 years...
The Group’s pre-tax profit for the current quarter had improved by 75% to RM32.6 million from RM18.6 million reported in the preceding quarter. Improvement in pre-tax profit was contributed by:- 39% and 25% increase in FFB and CPO sales volume respectively; and 23% and 21% reduction in FFB and CPO unit production cost as a result of 42% and 46% increase in production volume respectively.
The main reason for no surprise could be due to lower log sales.
Lower revenue was resulted from:- 43% and 11% decrease in log and plywood sales volume respectively.
Great improvement for palm oil business ... Volume for CPO up 46% but sales volume only up 23%. May be the extra sales transfer to following Quarter at better sale price than Q1'16. Palm oil business is profitable in Q1'16 compare 3 Q consecutive loss in FY15. Recovery of FFB volume and even though with lower sales price but still manage to turn to profit for this Q.(Q4'15 - oil palm business loss RM 10.76 mil) Q1'16 palm oil business profit RM 2.36 mil. CPO price has been recovered from RM 1800+ MT in Aug'15 to RM 2200 + MT in Oct'15. CPO price uptrend in 2016 still intact.
RM is weaker in current quarter Q2'16 than previous quarter, once the log sales pick up in current quarter and we should expect better result in current quarter.
Revenue, RM k Profit/loss, RM k Logs business RM62,802 RM25,089 Wood processing RM95,693 RM12,665 oil palm business RM89,114 RM2,360 Others business RM 15 RM875 admin and overhead -RM8,387
Profit before Tax RM32,602
Looking forward for better earning in coming quarter for both timber and palm oil business...
Log price is up... USD to RM is still strong. CPO price continue up. soybean oil continue going up....AMMB suddenly upgrade the target price from RM1.18 to RM1.96 on 27/11/2015... it is ok to buy and hold till next quarter...
Just now my mother is trimming the orchid in the pot, but for unknown reason, she cracked the new bud of the orchid located middle in the branch. She scold me like angry bird... What should I do now?? I did nothing all the time, still get punished..
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
weng77
412 posts
Posted by weng77 > 2015-10-12 14:32 | Report Abuse
Sep output...Jayatiasa
1) Log - 62,164 cubic metres
2) Fresh Fruit Bunches - 96,925 metric tonnes
3) Crude Palm Oil - 12,063 metric tonnes
4) Palm Kemel - 1,924 metric tonnes