I have no doubt it will get to 10b, just a matter of time. But present gain lower future return, hence I'm confused when people get excited it is going up.
ICULS trading price will follow the mother share price. If Aeoncr is trading at RM13.96 ( yesterday closing price) and based on conversion of RM10.99, the ICUL reference price will be RM1.27. The ICUL right issue is at RM1.00
The ICULS Right issue price is RM1.00. The trading price for ICULS upon listing is determined by Mother price divided by 10.99. Hence, if mother price is traded at RM13.96, ICULS reference price will be RM13.96 / 10.99 = RM1.27
I think wrong calculation. This exercise Aeoncr will raise Rm 432M fresh fund from the ICULS. 432M / 10.99 = 39.31 M new shares will be added to current shares holding if all converted. So total shares at the end will be 216M + 39.31M = 255.31M. So if you have existing 100 Aeoncr shares now, you need to pay Rm 200 to susbsribe the ICULS and the number of share you will get after converting to mother shares is 200 / 10.99 = 18.19 shares. And with existing 100 shares , you hold total 118.19 shares after conversion.
The new shares of 39.31M added to the market will have a dilution effect if you don't subscribe the right. The money is being transfer from those who susbsribe the right and to those who didn't susbsribe the right. But if you choose to susbsribe then no dilution for your existing shares. Adding to the previous example , if you pay Rm 200 for 18.19 shares. At current shares price = 13.7 , 18.19 shares worth Rm 249.2. If you immediately convert the ICULS in the market and sell the shares at 13.7 , you make a good profit of Rm 49.2.
Patrick, Think I will go along with yr reasoning. So you have to subscribe to enjoy the future growth of the co. As to the share price movement after ICULS listed,will depend on market forces and the no of ICULS converted to mother share
Actually for short term it depends on market sentiment, If investors/speculators think the share is still undervalued then they will drive the price up. On the hand, drive the price down if think overvalued. You have asked a million dollar question .
KClow yup you are right. I thought it's non renounceable. So meaning if you want to take up the right , you need to pay the exercise price to convert to ICULS. And then convert from ICULS to mother shares.
Another question, as the conversion price has been fixed to 10.99, does it matter when the ICULs is subscribed?
Since the time period of ICULs is 3 years, will there be any significant change between if a person subscribed today versus say 2 years down the road? Trying to wrap my head around this as this concept is new to me.
When you subscribe today, you will receive the 3.5% dividend for three years. If you susbsribe two years later then you only entitle last year dividend. Coz after 3 years, the ICULS will be converted to shares.
My understanding. Soon there will be a form sent to shareholders to subscribe for their entitlement of ICULS. After that the ICULS will be traded on Bursa as a stock just like Thong Guan ICULS. Anyone can then buy the shares.Shareholders who dont convert to mother share will be entitled to interest payment of 3.5% for the next 3 years. On the 3rd anniversary 2020 there will be mandatory convesion to mother share.
thanks Patrick Ngian, KClow and pputeh for the above info. Can I say that, by ignoring the subscribe and conversion expense, and dun talk about business outlook, it is worth to subscribe and convert to mother share if the share price is above 10.99? No adjustment of share price after ICULS?
If you intend to take part in this cos growth, progress and profits you have no choice but to subscribe to the ICULS and take up yr entitlement. Sort term may have some hiccups & pain, but over the next 2 to 3 years you will see the 'flowers bloom'. I have held Aeon Cr since 2010 and have no regrets.My only regret was not investing more in the company. Just remember that the stock market is where ' wealth is moved from the impatient to the person who exercise patience" However yr choice of stock is VERY important and has to be a 'growth' stock.
Just to give a balanced view here. Getting the ICULS is far from a 'sure gain'. Yes theoretically you can pay $10.99 for ICULS, convert immediately and sell at market price, but if all the ICULS subscribers collectively think this way, the market price will hit $10.99 in no time. Perhaps the 'early queue sellers' managed to make some gains, but it is far from absolute that every seller will.
2nd, there's a 3 years time risk built into ICULS. If something causes the share price to fall below what the true value of the business is over the next 3 years, you will be forced to convert at a price lower than $10.99. And there's the opportunity cost that had you never subscribe ICULS and something happen to the market, you get to buy the mother share cheaper than ICULS price.
3rd, as I've posted previously I'll repost again. This is something to take into consideration.
The key point of the paper is that - they found that most ICULS issued in Malaysia are either overpriced and underpriced, or 50/50. Buying underpriced ICULS by right should result in superior return however that's not the case.
And of course, I think everyone already mentioned, if you don't subscribe, dilution on your ownership is a sure thing.
Yes. I agreed. 10.99 is the exercise price, win or lose depends on if the shares price will go below 10.99 or more than 10.99. One thing for sure is the the largest shareholder who holds more than 50% of Aeoncr shares already confirmed will subscribe all its allocated ICULS. And they committed will not reduce their Aeoncr share holding before the right is issued (I think it help to boost some confident for small investor) . Since the Market already know the conversion is 10.99, if Market is efficient , let see if the price will go to 10.99 since there are more seller than buyer in the market now,as everyone is waiting to buy below 10.99.
the Renounceable Rights details has been spell out. important dates :Date for commencement of trading of rights 16 Aug 2017. Date for cessation of trading of rights 28 Aug 2017 , if you choose not to subscribe the ICULS, pls sell your right before 28/8/17 and use the proceed to buy ordinary shares of AEONCR, if not your existing share will get diluted. the right will be worthless after 28/8/2017.
on the other hand, if you choose to subscribe the ICULS, prepare the cash and inform your broker before the dates of Acceptance and payment 06 Sep 2017.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
mudwyx
164 posts
Posted by mudwyx > 2017-07-27 15:25 | Report Abuse
where is kclow comment. All gone dy?