Today buy some padini at 3.35, Based on the revenue Q1, 2018 is 315m and 2019 is 329m. With this information it show the company is still growing. However, only 2019 Q2 can prove right or wrong.
Upgrade TP to RM4.25, from RM4.05 as we roll over our valuation basis to FY20E from CY19E. Our current TP is based on 14x FY20E EPS on its 5-year forward historical mean PER (from 14x CY19E EPS). Reiterate OUTPERFORM. Risks to our call include: (i) lower-than-expected sales, and (ii) higher-than-expected operating expenses.
Investment Highlights We maintain our UNDERWEIGHT recommendation on Padini Holdings with a lower FV of RM3.42 (vs. RM4.72 previously) based on a PE of 15x FY20F EPS. We have cut our earnings forecast for FY19F, FY20F and FY21F by 24.3%, 27.5% and 26.2% respectively to reflect a lower sales growth estimate and EBITDA margins.
The profit is because Rm appreciate so they can buy the inventories at cheaper price, this is also the reason why their inventory at record high o 372m. High inventories maybe 2 reason : 1)bad sales 2)Confident at future sales As Quarter 2 show improve in revenue and profit, therefore, no reason for bad sales
A few years ago, Padini's inventory level was also very high.
At the AGM, a fund manager asked for clarification. The management mentioned, the cotton price was low for that period and they took the opportunity to stock up a lot on the inventories at low prices.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
lizi
1,968 posts
Posted by lizi > 2019-02-13 21:08 | Report Abuse
oversold or in process of pricing in future earning slump? fine line between the 2. only wisdom can help....
sanakimpro I think the situationis getting oversold. Need the guts to hold on till the next QR comes out to justify putting more money into PADINI.
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/padini-downgraded-neutral-macqu...
12/02/2019 14:28