Bab did not reach a final agreement on the cameia fpso contract despite being chosen as the preferred bidder Disappointed but prudent not to move forward on the project because costs and risks were high and potential returns low
I just returned from a regasification terminal where I spent 2 months this year. This terminal is now installing a liquefaction train. There are many such conversion projects in the USA. Bumi Armada seem to be out of sync with the times. There is much more profit to be made on the liquefaction side of things. Little point of expanding regasification which is very simple - just a tank and a vaporizer that can be done by air and sun (it is a big column with many fins that collect heat without any power needed). LNG project would be viable on the client side of value chain as demand is high, not sure about upstream part as installation may be pricey.
Not sure, but I reckon it'd be relatively small. Not as lucrative as a FPSO contract for sure. Maybe something like the LNG FSU in Malta that they have.
Greedy Gary fails again. This guy has no business sense. He chases latest fads. He disposed of OSV part of the business, which is blooming now. For example, Icon offshore went up 150% in the past year. Yinson bought them out. See post below... ____________________________________ Yinson boss {Lim} is a season businessmen with an excellent track record. Paying MYR 173 million to Ekuinas for the 50.2% stake in Icon {using Liannex as his investment arm} maybe just the beginning. Liannex, Yinson and Icon all have their niche in marine logistics and engineering. Certainly Yinson boss{Lim} have plans for Icon. You don't paid 174 million just for the sake to acquire a company. Something big must be brewing in his mind
Bumi Armada Berhad, an opinion on financial and technical analyses:
FA - YoY growth +2.97% (okay-ish) - YoY net income -178.55% (not great, red flag) - RoE 6% (just meh)
TA - Below 50MA, having breached the previous support of 0.580 - Stale day-to-day volume, at most ranging 12-17M (last rally to 0.630 peaked at 60M), which is good for me because I know the sellers are getting tired of pushing down the prices further - (Cont.) float percentage of shares is 55% - the lower the % figure, the lesser amount of volume needed to push the price upwards - (Cont.) so in other words, if you see Bumi reaching 20M shares and above, you might want to peel your eyes and monitor price action - ATR% multiple from MA is -0.2, signaling a possible bottom (>7.0 is peak price based on algo)
So what I learned from these analyses is: - YoY net income is an ugly sight for investors - Next QR must be a positive % for a rally - If there is a rally before the QR announcement obviously the insiders are aware of the figures - 0.560-0.580 is the cushion for support - Any news is just bonus (FPSO, Brent CO, etc.), I trust the figures, I think in probability and I respect risk management - TAYOR and good luck
Greedy Gary got himself 5 million shares. It is outrageous, as the management got 60k. Look at the official anouncement on this site. Someone needs to ask him about it in the annual meeting. The guy simply cannot control his greed and lost all the shame. So no shame in asking. ____________________________________________________ 08-May-2024 Others 5,147,400 Registered Name Gary Neal Christenson
I also believe 1Q2024 profit may be the best ever... remember last Q the numbers were the best but got hit by a crazy accounting write down... as long as no surprises this Q1 may surpass even Q4 profit w/out write down as interest and depreciation cost would be lower.
may be the write down was the 1st episode, and the following one is coming, press harder fly higher ma. If i were the garyzai, of couse i will sell but not now, may be after a rocketing event? look at those buying a significant amount, then know d lol
I hope Gary doesn't take our needling to heart. However, the fact remains Bumi Armada is unable to secure new business. If so, the best course of action would be to downsize the staff and remove the fluff - just focus on the core operations. We'd be in for a windfall if they switched focus.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Gabriel Khoo
957 posts
Posted by Gabriel Khoo > 1 week ago | Report Abuse
Bab did not reach a final agreement on the cameia fpso contract despite being chosen as the preferred bidder
Disappointed but prudent not to move forward on the project because costs and risks were high and potential returns low
I think is a good move