I'm going to keep an eye on the put warrant. Esok, dalam sebulan-dua ni rasa-rasa tinggi lagi - investment bank mesti nak cuba pau mahal. Call warrants pun sama sebab expiry date lama lagi. Nak kena tengok Astro camana minggu depan, lepas tu decide call atau put. Atau dua-dua tidak... tunggu investment bank yang lain punya. Kalau ada rezeki dapat harga baik, lepas tu dia perform, warrants ni boleh dapat 50% lebih profit. Silap masuk, boleh kena ketuk 50% Haha!
A question ..1st day million shares sold..who r d buyers Qing to buy @ 3.09-3.10?? Who sold & who bought it? Sold by cornerstone investors ? Tats means 1st day those cornerstone investors earned & quit already ?? Now only Astro staffs wif margin & public facing price lower than their bought price??
The other investment banks have also listed their warrants today. AM Investment Bank's warrants as mentioned previously are CE, CF, CG & HA. The most active at the moment is CB (Maybank) - 3:1; 3.75; 31/10/13. Now selling at 0.035.
wif ths price,astro staffs get caught again.given many lots also no use.can buy from market now.however it's still high.let it drop another dollar can only can buy.
pathew, will have to calculate the premiums and weigh the possibilities of their reaching the exercise price. I hope those with more experience and knowledge like @Passerby, @kcchongnz, @richman etc. can give their opinions here.
Looks like the CG has become the most popular at the moment. This is one of AMIB's call warrants I mentioned yesterday, now selling at 0.03. Is this "CW-III"? No info of it at BSKL's website. Strange. If it is, then the ratio is 5:1; 4.18. At this price, Astro will have to reach 4.33 for you to break even. Always *possible* but...
The HA put warrant (ratio 4) - At 0.10 now, exercise price of 2.28, if I'm not wrong, Astro will have to fall to 1.88 before you break even. If my calculations are correct, 0.10 is too high to take this risk. The HA will have to go much lower to make it attractive enough to punt.
Astro CB is looking very attractive ..... no wonder easily supported at 3.5 given that the first day of trading, most punters would take positions on these call warrants, especially if they offer upside potentials ......
Don't be influenced by the "sharp fall" of today - all call warrants tend to be priced at 0.15. Since all are below their exercise prices, with some miles and miles away, the only way to go is south.
The only one that I feel is worth following at the moment is CE (still not traded yet) - I wonder if this is the same as the "CW-I" from AM that I mentioned yesterday...? If it is, then this one is closest to the ex price as compared to all the others. Whether it's a good buy, I don't know. This one's ratio is 8; 2.88. Seller wants 0.055. Times ratio + ex price = 3.32 to break even.
Maybe it's better to wait for The Edge's Financial Daily tomorrow so that we can have a better view and analysis of the premiums and expiry dates.
soljadu ..... that's quite some shares u holding on astro..... i don't hold astro shares, but if i m in your position now, I would probably do the following:-
1. Sell 100,000 shares at the current price, and queue back in at 2 sen lower to buy back.
2. Sell 100,000 shares at the current price, and buy in some call warrants. Say CB, and queue at 1 sen higher to sell.
The two steps above is probably to minimise some bleeding, won't stop the bleeding immediately, but it can give some confidence in trading under such high volume trade.
@kllady_fidah, since you asked and since you know that these are merely personal opinions which may or may not turn out to be right... MK Land, due to the vast discrepancy between its net tangible assets and its current price. I feel it WILL go up. But the question is how long would the investor need to wait.
Looks so at the moment. But if it loses its momentum, as has been happening so often over the past month or so, you will easily get it at that price. 0.36 seems to be a very solid support - you'll have to be very high up the Q. The problem with MK Land is that it seems to have trouble getting past 0.385 and then to test 0.40. It's all a question of momentum. When it gains this, I feel it will be like TH Heavy. Hopefully Mustapha Kamal will announce something just to create interest in this counter again - anything... sale of land for instance.
As we have seen time and time again in the stockmarket, sentiments can change just like that. Something that was previously shunned can suddenly become the darling. And regardless of what analysts and other `experts' had said. The latest is Tiger... DRB-Hicom, UEMLand, Benalec and so on. All too often, we'd shake our heads and wonder "Why didn't I buy it when it was at xxx??" BECAUSE we don't know the future, that's why. To have this gift of being able to get in at just the right moment... this is one of my fantasies:-)
Looking at the buying momentum, it could be EPF who is nimbling this counter ..... but EPF is not a substantial shareholder yet..... What if, in a few days time, the sudden announcement that EPF has accumulated more than 5%, and immediate announcement of their shareholding emerges ..... hmmmmm, that is probably in the making ...... :))
soljadu, sorry to hear that. Astro would have been a great counter had it not been for the pricing which is rather on the high side. Great for the major shareholders like Ananda Krishnan but not for newcomers. FGV - why didn't you sell it earlier??
soljadu ---- if u had sold at 2.83 this morning as we write, u can now buy back at 2.79 .... at least make 4 sen contra gains ..... hope u r feeling better by end of day :))
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Mat Cendana
2,340 posts
Posted by Mat Cendana > 2012-10-28 21:51 | Report Abuse
I'm going to keep an eye on the put warrant. Esok, dalam sebulan-dua ni rasa-rasa tinggi lagi - investment bank mesti nak cuba pau mahal. Call warrants pun sama sebab expiry date lama lagi. Nak kena tengok Astro camana minggu depan, lepas tu decide call atau put. Atau dua-dua tidak... tunggu investment bank yang lain punya. Kalau ada rezeki dapat harga baik, lepas tu dia perform, warrants ni boleh dapat 50% lebih profit. Silap masuk, boleh kena ketuk 50% Haha!