AVALAND BERHAD
KLSE (MYR): AVALAND (5182)
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Last Price
0.285
Today's Change
-0.005 (1.72%)
Day's Change
0.285 - 0.285
Trading Volume
388,200
Analysis
Price Target
A price target is an analyst's projection of a share's future price.
Average Target Price, Price Call and Upside/Downside here are derived from Price Targets in the past 6 months.
Last Price
0.285
Avg Target Price
0.21
Upside/Downside
-0.075 (26.32%)Price Call
0
SELL
0
HOLD
0
BUY
| Date | Open Price | Target Price | Upside/Downside | Price Call | Firm | View | Action |
|---|
Discussions
5 people like this. Showing 50 of 3,161 comments
Avaland is set to be the next growth stock in the property sector...it makes sense to acquire as much as you can before it becomes reality...
2024-05-23 11:54
nemesis Quarterly Fin Results is releasing soon which is expected to propel its EPS to new high...Buy
23/05/2024 9:44 AM
Y24Q1 PAT 21,173
Y23Q4 PAT 37,522
Y23Q3 PAT 17,230
Y23Q2 PAT 11,116
Y23Q1 PAT 136
2024-05-23 17:48
Mmmm, overall I'll say it's a slightly positive result, I was hoping an EPS of 1.8 cents personally.
However, besides just looking at the PAT, there is additional information that can be deduced to aid your investment outlook.
Good
1st Q total property sales of RM 211 million, if sustainable, that'll be RM 800 million of property sales in a year.
Unbilled sales RM 852m is still very high, now transitioning to Alora and Amika which have not yet entered high progress billing stage.
Aetas seputeh 50% booking (soft launch) seems to be still 'unbilled' yet as of now, depending on if APDL is approved by end of June, there's a potential of up 250m in unbilled sales just from Aetas Seputeh added in next quarter.
Direct Operating and General Admin Expense have dropped quite significantly QoQ from 13% of revenue to 10% of revenue.
Selling and marketing expenses drop from 4% to 3% of revenue
Cash flow from Operations positive
Still trading around 6.53 PER, vs other property stocks trading at PER of 8.11 (LBS), 16.76 (SIMEPROP), 22.8 (SPSETIA), 21.37 (IOIPG), 22.74 (ECOWORLD), 17.48 (MAHSING), 18.36 (GUOCO)
Bad
Gross profit margin dropped from 34.6% to 31%
income tax on profit increase to 32% (But should be one off)
Revenue may only peak up again in 2nd to 3rd Q as Amika and Alora enters the billable progress stages
The Good points, unfortunately will still require patience to be realized, and this will expose the share to short term weakness potentially.
Let's see how the market (especially the funds) reacts then, will they buy on weakness and sustain the share price around 36 cents until next QR release.
2024-05-23 18:36
Also, take note during the RHB 20 jewels report,
It's stated that
Sales guidance of MYR700-800m represents almost 30% YoY growth
211m sales in the 1st quarter is already
30% of 700m full year forecast
26.3% of 800m full year forecast
2024-05-23 18:55
Overall full year forecast for 2024 we can expect total EPS of 7-8 Sen per share which should propel the share price to 0.70-0.80 in comparison to LBS or other mid cap developers...Reiterate BUYYY!!!
2024-05-23 19:31
Market a bit irrational, take Hua Yang for example, 4 quarter EPS 1.6 cents, revenue 191 million, net profit 6 million, but share price can be 42 cents as of now.
Maybe due to Avaland's previous times when a lot sold around 23 cents, so it's still a good exit point for those who still holding since then.
Will need a period of above 35 cents for a 2, 3 months to increase average shareholder entry price/allow those who hold the shares < 25 cents to exit fully before it can normalize back to market.
2024-05-24 09:51
this share has a low amount of floating shares, hence when some people take profit, the price drops. Time to buy more :)
2024-05-28 10:08
for now, till the release of the 2Q..
fundamentally week..
technically week..
+ external and internal factors.. few red flag for me..
few major risk and red flags,. but still, undervalued by price evaluation..
so i will be sideway with my popcorn watching bull vs bear..
2024-05-28 11:20
Current share price retreat provides buying opportunities for long term holder...Reiterate BUY!!!
2024-05-29 08:51
Lack of catalyst plus technical showing weak signals. MACD and RSI showing negative. Expect sideway trading for the near term
2024-06-05 08:56
We just hope Avaland will venture into Data centre development just like Mahsing...
2024-06-07 01:52
It is time to Skyrocket as Property Recovery turning into boom is near...Avaland is catching up
2024-06-10 14:10
Big property counters with big land banks riding on DC wave. Ecoworld , YTL , IOIP, Sime or Mah Sing riding the DC wave. Small caps with limited land banks hard to play the DC wave
2024-06-11 14:05
HLIB calling a buy on the big cap property counters. Sunway , IOIP or Sime darby that may or benefit from the relaxation MM2H program. Not the small cap counters.
2024-06-19 17:01
Avaland is developing high end too...High end properties will be on high demand soon...
2024-06-19 18:52
Mundane affair. All resolution passed. Directors reelected , auditors reappointed, no issue raised
2024-06-20 17:44
Almost there {32 sen }at the lower end of the chart. DJ drop 299 points. Tech heavy Nasdaq up. Mixed market signals.
2024-06-26 07:52
Rebound is on the way...at 0.35 it is trading at a huge discount to its future earnings which is expected to increase in coming financial quarters
2024-07-01 09:46
Trending upP...Ayala Land will surely transform Avaland from a small cap developer to be one of the largest developers in Msia...Strong management team coupled with sheer determination to always be the best...I have full confident in their powerful management and leadership from the Philippines...This is easily a 1.00 stock in 2-3 years to come...Reiterate BUY!
2024-07-04 01:37
KUALA LUMPUR (July 30): Avaland Bhd (KL:AVALAND) topped out Alira Subang Jaya, a serviced residence in Tropicana Metropark, Subang Jaya, which has achieved a 95% take-up rate, on Monday (July 29), according to a press statement on Tuesday.
https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/720923
2024-07-31 17:12
might as well say 0.17 :p With the P/E of 4.63 (compared to Mahsing, P/E of 20, or SP Setia, P/E of 10), Avaland is undervalued
2 months ago
Actually, the problem with Avaland is due to our own fellow Avaland investors themselves, as long as we have fellow investors willing to take quick few % profits, or worst cut loss, the share price will hard to appreciate. Don't say Mahsing etc in the property area, plenty of other shares in KLSE that doesn't make sense or justified with high PE, but people keep buy into them, and eventually get burned like the recent tech crash.
With the latest unbilled sales of 950m locked, 1H new property sales of about 470m, Avaland is on track to finish 2024 with ~900m new sales for the year, supporting consistent EPS of 1.5-1.7 per share, reducing finance charges, improving cash flow and net cash per share to eventually possible dividends 1 year+ later, but these are long term goals, and I really doubt most of the investors look at such horizon anymore.
2 months ago
Having said that, there are some positive indicators if you study the top 30 shareholders.
We start to have more big names, international funds buying in, one of the MCT founders Berry Goh have already reduced his shares YoY, and maybe disposed all already by now, another MCT founder Tong could be the only source of 'big sales' pressure only.
What could sustain the share price, and stage a long term rise would mostly depend on these 2 groups of large shareholders, if QoQ the financial performance is good, the funds may continue to increase their stake, buying out the retailers.
The fed rate cut may also contribute positively as well, as it will free up more funds from the US to be invested elsewhere, hopefully Malaysia can be the beneficiary of the inflow as well
2 months ago
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nemesis
Quarterly Fin Results is releasing soon which is expected to propel its EPS to new high...Buy
2024-05-23 09:44